Essential Financial Documents to Gather During Divorce

We have written about the benefits of hiring an expert in family law cases, whether it’s expected to settle or go to trial.

This booklet is designed to be a resource that will assist you and your clients during one of the most difficult times in their lives, both emotionally and financially.

Mercer Capital has compiled a list of financial documents that are typically needed in the divorce process and decoded common financial terms helpful to attorneys and their clients.

Financial experts can assist in determining the relevant documents based on the facts and circumstances of the case, which can reduce the burden of hunting down extraneous documents.

Most financial documents fall into one (or multiple) of the following categories, so we have organized this booklet to address each:

  • Determining the value of the marital estate (aka marital balance sheet or net worth), and the individual assets and liabilities which comprise such
  • Determining income and expenses for spousal and/or child support (akin to an income statement or budget)
  • Determining the value of the business(es) or business interest(s)
  • Providing support for forensic services

This information originally appeared in Mercer Capital’s Family Law Valuation and Forensics Insights newsletter, a monthly publication distributed by email as well as located on our website.  Mercer Capital is a national business valuation and advisory firm and we provide expertise in the areas of financial, valuation, and forensic services.

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How Does a Quality of Earnings Report Differ From an Audit?

A quality of earnings (“QoE”) report and an audit are both essential tools in the business world, but they serve distinct purposes and offer varying insights.  Audits are broader and regulatory in nature, whereas QoE analyses are more focused and strategic, catering to the needs of investors and decision-makers who require a deeper understanding of a company’s true financial health and future potential.

Purpose

The purpose of an audit is to form an opinion as to whether the financial statements are fairly presented in conformity with appropriate accounting principles.  An audit is not intended to look at business trends and the future outlook of the company.  These engagements provide assurance that financial records are free from material misstatements.

While an audit provides general assurance of financial statement accuracy and compliance, a QoE analysis offers a nuanced evaluation of the earnings’ quality and sustainability.

“Quality of earnings” is a term that refers to the overall health and sustainability of a company’s earnings, typically evaluated as part of the due diligence process in a merger or acquisition transaction.  The objective of a quality of earnings report is to “translate” historical financial information into a relevant picture of earnings and cash flow that is useful in developing a credible view through the windshield.

For sellers, an independent QoE report is vital to advancing and defending their asset’s value in the marketplace.  For buyers, a QoE analysis is a cornerstone of their broader diligence efforts to avoid overpaying for earnings that are not sustainable.

Scope

The scope for a quality of earnings analysis will typically take the form of “Agreed Upon Procedures” that includes financial review of company performance, and analyses that focus on earnings, cash flow, non-recurring revenue and expense, working capital, net fixed assets, and other relevant attributes.

A quality of earnings report diverges from the sole financial scope of an audit and considers key operating metrics, sustainability of the business, potential uncovered risks, as well as the impact non-financial aspects may have on earning power, to create a more accurate picture of a company’s financial health.

QoE reports analyze the underlying factors driving earnings, identifying different adjustments that might need to be made to the historical earnings to identify a measure of pro forma run rate earnings that is relevant to buyers and sellers. These adjustments can be classified into discretionary expenses, nonrecurring items, timing / accounting policy adjustments, major customer adjustments, and M&A run rate adjustments.

In contrast, audits assess the reliability of a company’s historical financial records.  The process involves testing transactions, verifying account balances, and assessing internal controls. The scope of each individual audit, as well as items like overall materiality and tolerable misstatement, is determined during the planning stage.

The scope of an audit will differ for a financial audit and an integrated audit.  An integrated audit includes a financial audit (audit of the financial statements) as well as an audit of internal control over financial reporting.  For an integrated audit, the auditor will design tests of controls to obtain sufficient evidence to support the opinion on internal control over financial reporting and support the auditor’s control risk assessments for the audit of financial statements.

Perspective

An audit focuses on reported earnings in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”).  GAAP earnings are backward looking: they report how a business has performed in the past under specific rules.

Although quality of earnings analyses are developed based on historical financial statements, the main focus is on the economic earnings of the business on a normalized going-forward basis.  Credible perspectives on the future must be grounded in a reliable base of historical information.  However, not every dollar of GAAP earnings is equally relevant to establishing that base.  Buyers and sellers care about the view through the windshield, not the rearview mirror.

Reporting & Timing

The outcome of an audit is an audit report, which expresses an opinion on whether the financial statements are free from material misstatement.  Audit engagements are typically conducted annually and are often required by law or regulation, especially for publicly traded companies.

Depending upon the size of the proposed transaction and requested procedures, the timing of a QoE report can range around 45-60 days.  The report itself will contain sections including Executive Summary, Quality of Earnings Analysis, Income Statement Analysis, Working Capital Analysis, as well as accompanying Excel exhibits.  Included are assumptions, limiting conditions, and the scope of services provided.  The report and procedures performed are tailored to the user of the report and the needs of the engagement.

Conclusion

A QoE report analyzes the company to assess sustainable earnings on a going-forward basis, while an audit forms an opinion as to whether the historical financial statements are fairly presented in conformity with appropriate accounting principles.

A comprehensive QoE analysis helps investors and shareholders understand the true economic performance and future earning potential of a business, offering a more nuanced view that extends beyond the scope of a traditional audit.

Highlights from the 2024 AAML National Family Law Conference

Ingredients for an Expert

We were proud to sponsor and attend the AAML’s inaugural National Family Law Conference in Nashville, Tennessee on May 16-18, 2024. As usual, the sessions and attendees did not disappoint. The full program can be found here.

Our biggest takeaway was that successful cases include the right recipe: the right attorney and the right expert – essentially, the right team.

But how do you choose the right team?  A former colleague taught me the “good, fast, cheap principle.” This is a useful tool to use when discussing fees whether you are the family law attorney talking with clients or the valuation and/or forensic expert talking with attorneys or other referral sources.

We all know this principle – if you want it good and fast, it won’t be cheap. If you want it cheap and fast, it won’t be good.

Let’s focus on three sessions of note with this principle in mind:

The Art of Attraction

While the focus of this presentation centered on drawing clients, referrals, and profits to the family law practice of attorneys, the key themes also apply to assembling the entire team for a family law engagement, including the selection of the expert(s). The session also provided marketing and business development takeaways for many client-interfacing professional industries. The presenters focused on the principle of “Know, Like, Trust.” The ideal expert will exist at the intersection of all three of these concepts. Let’s examine each of the three components from the angle of working with a financial expert.

Know

There’s truth in the saying “it’s all in who you know.” The concept of “Know” is two-pronged: relationships and awareness.  Relationships are the living, breathing network of all service professionals. Nurturing involves making consistent and intentional efforts to maintain existing relationships, while also finding time to create and form new relationships. These activities can be challenging during periods of heavy case load work. But just like withholding water from a plant for a few months, letting these relationships lie dormant for months at a time may lead to their decline and worse, death.  Focusing on primacy and recency can reinforce these referral relationships.

The second phase of the “know” concept is awareness. Just knowing people is only part of the equation and may limit opportunities to only those within your own network.  Building awareness of you and the services you provide (as well as awareness of your firm and the services of the firm) expands your network and allows opportunities to grow exponentially. The visual image here is instead of fishing with one pole in the water, by focusing on awareness, you are fishing with hundreds of poles in the water. You can imagine the difference in results in those two scenarios. The presenters offered the tip to make a goal to connect with one new person a week, this can lead to over 50 new connections in one year.

Like

Divorce cases can be high stress with uncomfortable conversations at times and are not for the faint of heart.  Just as the likeability of our co-workers is a major influence on our satisfaction at work, the team for a family law engagement should consider the likeability factor. These engagements require the individuals to spend considerable time together so when faced with a choice of two equally qualified experts, why not choose the one that you actually enjoy working with?

Trust

Finally, attorneys hire experts whose professional reputation, judgement, work product, character, and abilities in depositions, mediations, and/or court they can trust. Building a professional reputation involves credibility, competency, exercising professional judgement, holding the proper credentials, and having deep experience. Many attorneys develop a personal relationship with an expert from working together on different cases and, thereby, know and trust the capabilities and character of the expert. That personal relationship can be an important deciding factor in choosing the expert.

The ability of the expert to communicate effectively is also important. Litigation can involve high-stress work with complex concepts under tremendous pressure and compressed timelines. While an expert’s work product is fact-based, effective experts take those facts and craft them into an understandable story for the mediator or judge. Think of it as the ability to summarize complex topics into smaller digestible spoonfuls of information.  You can have the smartest expert with the most thorough analysis and complex conclusions, but if he/she can’t communicate it at a layperson’s level, all of that hard work risks getting lost in the mix.

Effective experts are also diligent, both in communication and in the work. Follow-through is important as well. Imagine the height of a case as a crisis, attorneys want experts that will be in the proverbial ditch with them, following through and doing what they say they will do when they say they will do it.

Pulling It Together

Unlike the “good, fast, cheap principle,” attorneys aren’t satisfied with the notion of picking two and not having all three.  Let’s analyze. If you know someone and you trust them, but don’t like them, how does that play out?  The hired gun in a particular market comes to mind here.  He/she might be a veteran expert that everyone knows with a lengthy testimony experience during their career, but the like factor is missing.  Would you enjoy working with this type of expert?  What about an expert that you know and like, but don’t trust?  He/she might be a pleasant person you enjoy interacting with in social circles, but is the trust factor there?  Would you want an expert that you generally like but one that won’t work hard and doesn’t follow through and do the things they say they are going to do when they say they will do them?

Business, Bucks, and Breakups

There’s more to a business valuation than simply hiring and outsourcing to the valuation expert. Attorneys and appraisers ought to communicate during the planning phase for scope and ironing out critical details such as valuation date, standard and premise of value, subject interest, and more.

Valuation date may seem like a simple detail, but jurisdictions can vary on guidance and/or requirements – so then is it the date of separation, current date, a post-trial date, or some other mutually-determined date? What if multiple valuation dates need to be analyzed and considered? We wrote on this very topic in Family Lawyer Magazine, linked here.

Next, do you need a consulting expert, a valuation expert, or perhaps both? This may vary and depend on the matter, and the Federal Rules of Evidence – 702 should be used as guidance. Furthermore, who exactly should be your expert? Things to consider include subject matter expertise, general demeanor, credentials, experience, and possibly location if that is deemed important in the virtual world of today.

Lastly, experts want attorneys to prepare with them for testimony – whether deposition and/or trial, and they also want to help attorneys prepare for another expert’s deposition and/or trial.

Crypto, Cash, and Concealment

Attorneys face all types of unusual assets and businesses in their family law cases.  Some cases involve businesses that need to be valued.  Some businesses are more unusual than others, some might be emerging industries like artificial intelligence, some may be early-stage companies that depend on the ability to execute strategies and achieve forecasted results, and some involve unique industries like auto dealerships, bank/financial institutions or registered investment advisors (RIAs).

Some cases also involve eccentric and valuable assets outside of the normal run of the mill furniture, vehicles, etc.  Cases may involve fine art, luxury or collector automobiles, cryptocurrency, high-end rare sneaker collections, or rare coins/jewelry just to name a few.

Be cautious of any expert who claims to have the ability to value all of these assets.  The key is maintaining some specialties, but also maintaining a network of other respected professionals around the country.

Just as it is important for experts to maintain and develop their referral relationships, it is equally important to develop and interact with specialty professionals around the country.  Think of it like this:  would you rather have an expert that is entering a battle by himself/herself, or one that is equipped with an army of supporting experts and resources?

Conclusion

Family law cases have similar ingredients – high stress, deadlines, complex assets, and financial concepts.  In selecting an expert and the entire team for a family law engagement, following the right recipe is key. Keep in mind the “good, fast, cheap principle” and the “know, like, trust principle” that we have highlighted in this article.

SEC Fairness Opinion Requirement Has Not Slowed GP-Led Secondaries

Rising regulatory burdens contributed to the stunning growth in private equity the last two decades and private credit in recent years. PE investors ultimately require liquidity, however.

Subdued M&A and IPO markets since mid-2022 have spurred growth for private equity secondaries, which mostly consists of GP-initiated transactions for continuation funds and LP-initiated transactions for portfolio interests.

As shown in Figure 1, secondary transactions rose to $109 billion in 2023 from $102 billion in 2022 based upon data compiled by Lazard as volume soared 57% in 2H23 to $67 billion following depressed activity of about $43 billion in 2H22 and 1H23. Lazard expects secondary volume will improve further in 2024 and 2025 as the investor base for secondaries expands and buoyant markets support narrower bid-ask spreads. The need for LP liquidity also has driven the rise of NAV lending in which the GP arranges for a fund-level loan to fund distributions and/or acquisitions.

Figure 1

Lazard reports that LP secondaries of buyout funds realized ~88% of NAV whereas LPs realized only ~60% of NAV for interests in funds focused on early stage venture capital assuming NAV was not materially overestimated. LPs averaged 85% for interest in private credit funds, which is less than we would have guessed.

LP investors can decide whether it makes sense to transact at a price that is less than NAV and thereby convey to the buyer additional return from investing in an illiquid asset. The LP investor will weigh the cost against the expected return from the current investment, the need for liquidity, and the opportunity to deploy the returned capital in new ventures.

GP-led transactions for continuation funds create a corporate governance can of worms because the GP sits on both sides of the transaction as adviser to the fund that is selling an asset and as adviser to the fund that will buy it. LPs can choose liquidity on the terms offered, or they can roll their interest into the continuation fund. Whether a single asset or multi asset investment, presumably the GP is using a continuation vehicle because the exit price for an attractive asset is presently unattractive.

The SEC addressed the issue through adopting Rule 211(h)(2)-2 in August 2023 which requires the GP adviser to: (a) obtain a fairness opinion or valuation from an independent valuation firm; and (b) disclose any material business relationships between the GP and opinion provider. Given the increase in GP-led secondaries to $31 billion in 2H23 from $17 billion in 1H23, the SEC governance requirement has not slowed the market.

Although not mandated by law, fairness opinions for significant corporate transactions effectively have been required since 1985 when the Delaware Supreme Court ruled in Smith v. Van Gorkom, (Trans Union), (488 A. 2d Del. 1985) that directors were grossly negligent for approving a merger without sufficient inquiry. The Court suggested directors could have addressed their duty of care (informed decision making) by obtaining a fairness opinion.

The SEC rule takes aim at the corporate duty of loyalty, which with the duty of care and good faith form the triad that underpins the Business Judgement Rule in which courts defer to the decision making of directors provided they have not violated one of their duties. As far as we know, there has been no widespread finger pointing that GP-led transactions have intentionally disadvantaged LPs. Nonetheless, the SEC rule is a regulatory means to address the issue of loyalty.

Fairness opinions involve a review of a transaction from a financial point of view that considers value (as a range concept) and the process the board followed. Due diligence work is crucial to the development of the opinion because there is no bright line test that consideration to be received or paid is fair or not.  Mercer Capital has over four decades of experience as an independent valuation and financial advisory firm in valuing illiquid equity and credit, assessing transactions and issuing fairness opinions. Please call if we can be of assistance in valuing your funds private equity and credit investments or evaluating a proposed GP-led transaction.

FASB Provides Clarity on Accounting for Profits Interest Awards Under ASC 718

In March 2024, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) issued ASU 2024-01, which clarifies the accounting treatment of profits interest awards. This move aims to enhance the consistency and understanding of Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) related to such awards. The ASU update helps entities ascertain whether certain awards need to be measured at fair value under ASC 718 or if they should be accounted for under other guidance. In this article, we summarize the new FASB guidance and discuss common methods for valuing profits interests under ASC 718.

Background

Profits interest awards are commonly utilized by businesses, especially in the private sector, to incentivize employees or non-employees. These awards align compensation with the entity’s performance and provide the holders with a stake in future profits and equity appreciation. Determining the appropriate accounting treatment for profits interest awards can be challenging because profits interest holders solely partake in future profits and/or equity appreciation without possessing rights to the partnership’s net assets existing at the grant date. Nuances in the nature of the eventual payoffs can complicate the decision to either classify such awards as share-based payment arrangements (under Topic 718) or liken them to cash bonuses or profit-sharing arrangements (under Topic 710). FASB issued ASU 2024-01 to clarify how an entity should determine whether a profits interest or similar award is within the scope of ASC 718.

Scope Guidance Clarification

ASU 2024-01 includes certain amendments and the addition of an illustrative example aimed at demonstrating how entities should apply the scope guidance in paragraph 718-10-15-3 of Topic 718.

Key Provisions and Effective Date

The main provisions of the clarification include:

  1. Illustrative Example: The addition of Example 10 provides four distinct fact patterns to illustrate the application of the scope guidance in paragraph 718-10-15-3. These examples help reduce complexity and address existing diversity in practice.
  2. Focus on Scope Conditions: The illustrative example emphasizes the scope conditions outlined in paragraph 718-10-15-3, aiding entities in determining whether profits interest awards fall within the scope of Topic 718.
  3. Improved Clarity: Certain language in the Scope and Scope Exceptions Section of Topic 718 has been amended to enhance clarity and operability without altering the underlying guidance.

For public companies, the ASU is effective for annual periods beginning after December 15, 2024. For all other entities, the amendments are effective for annual periods beginning after December 15, 2025. Early adoption is permitted.

Amended ASC 718 Excerpt

718-10-15-3 The guidance in [this] Topic applies to all share-based payment transactions in which a grantor acquires goods or services to be used or consumed in the grantor’s own operations or provides consideration payable to a customer by either of the following:

a. Issuing (or offering to issue) its shares, share options, or other equity instruments to an employee or a non-employee.

b. Incurring liabilities to an employee or a non-employee that meet either of the following conditions:

      1. The amounts are based, at least in part, on the price of the entity’s shares or other equity instruments. (The phrase at least in part is used because an award of share-based compensation may be indexed to both the price of an entity’s shares and something else that is neither the price of the entity’s shares nor a market, performance, or service condition.)
      2. The awards require or may require settlement by issuing the entity’s equity shares or other equity instruments.

Discussion around Illustrative Example

The illustrative example provided in ASU 2024-01 (Cases A, B, C, and D) offer valuable insights into scenarios that entities may encounter when assessing the accounting treatment for profits interest awards. The first two cases describe profits interests that fall within the scope of ASC 718. The second two cases describe phantom share unit awards, one of which would be accounted for under ASC 718 and one that would not.

Cases A, B, C, and D share the following assumptions:

a. Entity X is a partnership. Before June 1, 20X1, Entity X had Class A units outstanding. On June 1, 20X1, Entity X grants Class B incentive units to employees of a subsidiary of Entity X in exchange for services.

b. An exit event may include an initial public offering, a change in control, or a liquidation of Entity X’s

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Interpretation Under ASC 718

Case A: The Class B units meet the conditions outlined in paragraph 718-10-15-3(a) as the Class B units represent equity instruments in Entity X. This is because the Class B unit holders have the right to participate in the residual interest of Entity X through periodic distributions, upon an exit event, or upon settlement proportionate to ownership of Class B units of Entity X. Therefore, the Class B units are within the scope of ASC 718.

Case B: Despite the vesting criteria, the Class B units still meet the conditions of paragraph 718-10-15-3(a), as they entitle the holder to participate in the residual interest of Entity X upon an exit event. The analysis takes into account the conditions for vesting, forfeiture, and participation in distributions to conclude that these units should be accounted for under ASC 718.

Case C: While the Class B units do not meet the condition of paragraph 718-10-15-3(a) because they do not entitle the grantee to shares or other equity instruments of Entity X, they still fall within the scope of ASC 718 due to the cash settlement being based on the entity’s share price, meeting the condition in paragraph 718-10-15-3(b)(1). Therefore, the Class B phantom share units are within the scope of ASC 718.

Case D: Under this scenario the Class B units do not meet the condition in paragraph 718-10-15-3(a) because they do not entitle the grantee to shares or other equity instruments of Entity X. Additionally, the condition in paragraph 718-10-15-3(b) is not met because distributions that are paid to the grantee are based on operating metrics rather than the price of Entity X’s shares. Therefore, under this scenario, the Class B phantom share units are not within the scope of ASC 718 and would be accounted for in accordance with other Topics.

Valuation Considerations

While ASU 2024-01 does not directly discuss fair value measurement, entities should be aware of the techniques and methods used to value profits interests.

The first step in the valuation of profits interest awards is the valuation of the company as a whole using accepted methods under the income approach, market approach, and asset-based approach. Following the valuation of the company comes the more challenging step of valuing the individual classes of equity and profits interests. The situations where the payoff structures are straightforward enough, the most tractable method to value these various classes of equity involves the use of the Option Pricing Model (OPM).

The OPM treats each class of equity as call options on the company’s total equity value, with exercise prices based on the liquidation preferences of each class of equity/profits interest. For profits interests, their value is linked to the residual equity that remains after other equity holders, such as preferred shareholders or common unit holders, have received their predetermined distributions. This residual value represents the potential upside that profits interest holders stand to gain, contingent upon the company’s performance and the occurrence of a liquidity event. The OPM typically uses the Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model to price the various call options. Inputs into the Black-Sholes Option Pricing Model include:

  • Stock price: Total equity value of the company as determined using traditional valuation approaches.
  • Term: The anticipated timing of future liquidation events.
  • Volatility: Total equity volatility of the company, which may be determined by looking at the equity volatility of similar publicly traded companies (adjusting for leverage).
  • Risk-Free Rate: Typically, a risk-free rate with a term matching the anticipated time until a liquidity event
  • Strike Price: The predetermined distribution threshold after which the profits interest participates pro rata with common units.

More complex payoff structures around profits interests may require the use of more involved techniques, such as Monte Carlo simulations, that build on similar fundamental insights as the OPM but are flexible enough to accommodate nuances in awards design.

Conclusion

FASB’s issuance of ASU 2024-01 represents a significant step towards enhancing consistency and understanding in accounting for profits interest awards. Clearer guidance and the illustrative example will help entities can make more informed decisions regarding the treatment of these awards, ultimately benefiting stakeholders and investors alike.

If you have questions regarding the accounting or valuation of profits interests, please contact a Mercer Capital professional.

Is It Time to Eat the Golden Goose?

It was ten years ago in these very pages of Bank Watch that we wrote an article entitledIs It Time for Banks to Rethink Insurance?” The year was 2014. Interest rates were near zero, the S&P 500 was in the neighborhood of 1,600, and Bitcoin finished the year at a mere $300.

The narrative at the time was that the lingering effects of the great recession, higher capital requirements for banks, and frothy valuations for insurance agencies driven by private equity bidders had firmly crowded out the banks from the agency M&A market. Indeed, bank acquisitions of insurance agencies had been declining for several years at that point. We suggested at the time that banks could still benefit from the recurring revenue stream offered by an insurance subsidiary, not to mention the higher growth and diversification in non-interest income.

In the decade since, a few banks did invest in their insurance agency operations, though mostly through organic means as opposed to M&A. At the same time, market multiples and private equity’s appetite for insurance agencies only increased. The net effect has led to some very favorable outcomes for banks willing to part with their insurance units.

Just last month, Trustmark (TRMK) announced an agreement to sell Fisher Brown Bottrell Insurance to Marsh McLennan Agency for approximately $316 million in cash, resulting in after-tax proceeds to TRMK of $228 million. The reported deal value implies a multiple of 5.4x revenue, 18.6x earnings-before-interest-taxes-depreciation-and-amortization (EBITDA), and 25.7x net income. TRMK intends to use proceeds from the deal to reposition lower-yielding securities to higher-yielding, market-rate securities, and meaningfully improve its capital ratios.

So how did we get to this point? And what is the next step in this cycle? As shown in Exhibit 1, the differential between PE multiples for banks and insurance brokers has been widening for several years. Part of this is attributable to market dynamics and interest rates, leading to lower returns (and expectations) for banks when compared to public insurance brokers.

Through mid-May 2024, the median PE multiple for the public insurance broker group was 25.9x, which is roughly double that of the S&P U.S. BMI Bank Index at 13.0x. Thus, it would only be natural for a bank with a significant insurance operation to wonder if the value realization of a dollar of insurance income would be better captured outside the bank’s typical pricing multiples.

Exhibit 1: PE Multiple Differential Between Banks and Insurance Brokers

This arbitrage of earnings multiples has undoubtedly influenced many sellers of bank-owned agencies in recent years. As observed by S&P Global Market Intelligence, 2023 marked the first time in at least eight years that U.S. banks divested more insurance agencies than they acquired (see Exhibit 2).

Exhibit 2: Bank Divestitures and Acquisitions of Insurance Agencies

The strategic rationale behind the latest group of divestitures has been largely consistent. Capitalizing on the sale of an insurance subsidiary at a favorable valuation provides several benefits, potentially including:

  1. Capital redeployment from lower-yielding to higher-yielding securities;
  2. The ability to offset losses from bond portfolio repositioning with the gain on the insurance unit sale;
  3. Enhancements to capital ratios;
  4. Tangible book value per share accretion; and,
  5. Additional support and focus for the core banking business.

In certain circumstances, the driving force behind a transaction might be the strategic imperative of a particular acquirer (such as the desire to bolster presence in a geographic market or to double down on a particular line of business).

Exhibit 3: Revenue Multiples for Select Bank / Insurance Agency Divestitures Since 2022

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Exhibit 4: Earnings and EBITDA Multiples for Select Bank / Insurance Agency Divestitures Since 2022

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On Exhibit 3, we have summarized the revenue multiples and other metrics for select insurance agency divestitures since 2022. Six of the eleven agencies had insurance revenue of under $20 million. At the other end of the spectrum, Truist’s sale of its insurance division to private equity buyers Stone Point and CD&R is one of the largest insurance brokerage transactions of all time (and was achieved in 20% and 80% stages). Public acquirer Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. has been the most prolific bank agency acquirer, inking large deals for M&T Insurance, Eastern Insurance, and Cadence Insurance.

One interesting observation is that the price paid as a multiple of insurance revenue is only loosely correlated with size. The median revenue multiple for the group is 3.9x.

Exhibit 4 presents the earnings multiples (where available) for the same group of agency transactions. Obviously, not all buyers/sellers choose to disclose earnings multiples and not all of the bank sellers report segment-level financial statements for their insurance subsidiaries. Further, transactions in the insurance brokerage industry are often struck on the basis of pro forma earnings (or EBITDA) to the buyer.

It is likely that these buyers (most of whom are either strategic or private equity sponsored consolidators) would anticipate a modest amount of add-backs for reduced back-office expenses and other industry synergies. While there is greater dispersion in these observations, the median EBITDA and earnings multiples for the group are 15.8x and 28.3x, respectively.

So are bank acquisitions of insurance agencies a thing of the past now? Not necessarily. Hindsight is always 20/20. Perhaps banks should have pushed back against the private equity buyers over the last decade and been willing to bid higher on acquisitions. In retrospect, paying 8x or 10x or even 12x EBITDA for a small insurance agency doesn’t seem that crazy when the consolidated unit can now be monetized at 15x.

Often, the best determinant of total return in an M&A deal is entry price, and so if a bank has the ability to source proprietary off-market agencies or books of business through local connections, that strategy is still well worth considering.

What about banks that already have an insurance subsidiary? What steps should you take? Here are a few suggestions:

  • Conduct a strategic evaluation of the agency in the context of the bank’s overall strategy. Does the agency fit into the long-term vision of the bank? Is the sum of the parts greater than the whole?
  • What is the agency’s true earning power or valuation as a stand-alone entiy? Consider obtaining an independent valuation or Quality of Earnings study to analyze the financials, ask the difficult questions, and examine the business in the way that a potential acquirer would.
  • If sale is a possibility, is the business actually ready for sale? Is the corporate structure clean or messy? Do you have a collection of third-party producer arrangements that need to be consolidated? Are there minority owners? How does the expense allocation and/or resource sharing between the bank and agency work?
  • Do you have alignment between the agency and bank management? Are there separate boards? Intertwined management and/or ownership? Would a sale create potential issues of conflict or necessitate a fairness opinion?

Even if all the other boxes are checked, is selling the bank’s agency that took 20 years to build the right long-term move? Maybe. Is it shortsighted to sell off the golden goose agency in the name of “balance sheet repositioning”? Maybe not. Every situation and every transaction is unique. Clearly, the banking and insurance industries are at an interesting place right now – and if you are a participant in both then you have a few options to consider.

If you have questions about these topics or would like to discuss a situation in confidence, please contact a Mercer Capital professional.

Essential Financial Documents to Gather During Divorce – Part 4

Documents Needed to Perform Forensic Analysis


Prepared by Mercer Capital’s Family Law Services Team

Previously in this series, we discussed the importance of hiring an expert and the documents needed to prepare the marital balance sheet, analyze support and need in a Lifestyle Analysis (aka Pay & Need Analysis), and perform a business valuation.

This month, we conclude our series with the documents needed for other forensics services and valuation services.  There are numerous types of forensics services with which a qualified financial expert can assist, though many of the documents utilized in these analyses are already captured in other divorce-related analyses.

In this post, we discuss documents for arithmetic determinations of separate vs. marital, active vs. passive, and asset tracing. The appraiser/financial expert does not render legal opinions, though, assists with quantifying complex financial issues, while being aware of statutory and case law in varying jurisdictions.

Separate vs. Marital

When equitably dividing the marital estate, assets and liabilities must first be identified/categorized then quantified. As with personal goodwill last month, the analysis does not always stop there as the total value of an asset may or may not be fully marital. The increase in value of a business owned and operated by a divorcing spouse is more complicated (as discussed below). However, in many jurisdictions, a retirement account balance that appreciates solely due to market forces is usually considered passive appreciation, unless, perhaps one spouse has a background in investing and is actively managing the account as part of his/her business activities.

If the appreciation of the date-of-marriage balance is deemed passive, the marital interest in an account can grow from $0 from marital contributions during the marriage and market growth/decline on said marital contributions. For example, say a spouse saves $25,000 towards retirement prior to marriage and continues to contribute post-nuptials with marital money. If the balance at divorce is $100,000, some portion of that may be marital (contributions during marriage plus growth of those contributions), while the original $25,000 plus any market gains on that initial balance during the marriage, may be separate, depending on state statutes.

To perform this analysis, we need:

  • Monthly/quarterly/annual retirement account statements, sometimes dating back to date of marriage
  • Paystubs and/or W-2s detailing contributions over time (if not shown on account statements)

The financial expert will also pull data from the market and maybe even industry indices. The math and methodology are straightforward, and it is likely that financial experts would come up with similar conclusions if each expert is given the same set of financial documents, use reasonable methodologies and both correctly understand how separate vs. marital works in the couple’s jurisdiction.

Active vs. Passive

For active vs. passive analyses of business appreciation, two valuations will usually be necessary: one valuation as of a current date, and one as of the date of marriage. In some jurisdictions, a third is necessary for the date of separation. If a valuation is not available as of the date of marriage, the appraiser can perform a retrospective appraisal. The financial expert should consult with the attorney on the matter to ensure they understand the active vs. passive precedent in the state in which he/she is providing services, as these may differ. The retrospective appraisal will require much if not all the same documentation as the current valuation, just backdated to the date of marriage.

We discussed the documents to obtain for valuation purposes in Part 3 of this series. Additional quantitative and qualitative data may need to be obtained for active vs passive analyses, including:

  • Efforts of the divorcing spouse versus efforts of others (management, leadership, owners, employees)
  • Efforts of third parties
  • Relationships with vendors, customers, etc. (held by a divorcing spouse or other members of management team)
  • Characteristics of the business at the various valuation dates (this may be already gathered in conjunction with the valuation process)
  • Source of additional funding/capital, if applicable

The financial expert will also analyze changes in the industry, regulations, tax rates/law, and the general economy between the valuation dates.

Asset Tracing

Asset Tracing services can be performed in conjunction with analyses of separate vs. marital as well as investigative services for potential dissipation/waste claims. For the latter, before we pursue these analyses, there are typically two questions to consider.

  1. What is being investigated?
  2. How much time/effort/money may be required to investigate and corroborate the dissipation analysis?
    • This can be a difficult answer for forensic professionals, as we may or may not yet have an understanding of scope, level of documentation involved, etc. In our experience, progress updates typically assist the process.

Key documents to “follow the money” in tracing exercises are monthly bank statements and credit card statements. This analysis can become complicated when there are numerous bank accounts, but money usually transfers in and out of a bank. Tracing cash that doesn’t make its way to a bank, whether personal or business-related, becomes a bit more difficult but the analysis can be handled. The documents requested will vary, but many such analyses will require relevant bank statements and general ledgers if a business is involved.

Conclusion

A financial expert can help focus the scope of a divorce case, saving time and money throughout the process, particularly if brought in early to the process with ample time to assist with the various stages of the case. We help engagements be as efficient as possible, hoping to reduce the need to update our analysis, which can drag out the process and lead to higher costs for clients. For more information or to discuss your matter with us, please don’t hesitate to contact us.


Essential Financial Documents to Gather During Divorce Series

The Noncompete Agreement Is Dead, Long Live the Noncompete Agreement

The FTC Wants to Ban Noncompete Agreements but They Will Likely Endure in Certain Circumstances

We don’t typically see news about noncompete agreements on the first page of the Wall Street Journal, much less above the fold.  But on April 24, the FTC finalized a rule that effectively prohibits the enforcement of existing noncompete agreements in most cases and disallows them going forward.  While the ruling wasn’t a complete surprise – the legality of noncompete agreements has been challenged in many states and the FTC has been discussing the topic for several months – its potential ramifications for intangible asset valuation and reporting are minimal, at least so far.

Essentially, the FTC has declared most existing noncompete agreements unenforceable.  A few exceptions have been carved out for existing agreements, namely those with “senior executives.” Additionally, entities outside of FTC purview, such as nonprofit organizations, are entirely exempt from the rule.  For the most part, however, the FTC would like most noncompete agreements to go the way of dodos and passenger pigeons.

The full rule is over 570 pages and can be viewed here. But to spare our readers that burden, here are a few key takeaways from our reading of the rule and its potential impact on financial statement reporting and valuation:

  • Noncompete agreements have occupied a fuzzy legal status for several years.  As a result,  noncompete agreements are typically ascribed minimal value during a purchase price allocation exercise. This might be due to a lack of enforceability or the particular facts and circumstances of the subject industry or covered individual.
  • With respect to a transaction, “[t]he final rule does not apply to non-competes entered into by a person pursuant to a bona fide sale of a business entity” or in the sale of a division or subsidiary of an entity.  This describes a great many of the noncompetes we encounter for purchase price allocations.  While a noncompete agreement that previously existed may become unenforceable under the FTC’s ruling, it appears that noncompete agreements arising in connection with a transaction would still be enforceable, and thus, may continue to have value.  Interestingly, the transaction exception continues to make noncompete agreements relevant within the context of Section 280G compliance.
  • Existing noncompete agreements are explicitly allowed to be enforceable for “senior executives.”  The final rule defines the term “senior executive” as someone earning more than $151,164 who is in a “policy-making position.”  The final rule does not permit new agreements with “senior executives,” but does preserve those already in effect (and, presumably, recorded as intangible assets in a firm’s financial statements).
  • The FTC has permitted non-disclosure agreements (and estimates that over 95% of noncompete agreements already have NDAs).  From a trade-secret perspective, the FTC clearly prefers NDAs to noncompete agreements.  Likewise, non-solicitation agreements are still permitted, which may continue to give rise to a distinct intangible asset.

Within a day of the issuance of the final rule, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and other business groups jointly filed a lawsuit against the FTC.  Ordinarily, the final rule would become law after 120 days, but the actual implementation may be delayed as legal proceedings continue.  At the current moment, the litigation continues the uncertainty surrounding noncompete agreements.

From a valuation perspective, eliminating the separate recognition of noncompete agreements would shift value from an identifiable, amortizable asset into goodwill.  However, because noncompete agreements often comprise a relatively small allocation of total transaction value, the overall impact of this transfer of value may be minimal. Interestingly enough, a second-order impact of the elimination of noncompete agreements could be an increase in customer attrition rates used in the valuation of customer-related intangible assets. If customer accounts are more susceptible to competition and poaching, then the fair values ascribed to those assets might go down.

Mercer Capital has significant experience in the valuation of noncompete agreements for financial reporting and other purposes, such as Section 280G compliance. To discuss other ramifications of the FTC’s new rule on noncompete agreements or any other financial reporting valuation matter, please contact a Mercer Capital professional.

Now Could Be a Great Time for Bank Investors to Consider Estate Planning

It may be an opportune time for bank investors to consider estate planning opportunities.  Rising inflation has been top of mind for business owners and bankers (and everyone for that matter) over the last few years.  While inflation has decelerated from its peak, business owners, bankers, and investors are adjusting to the new higher for longer interest rate environment.

Higher inflation and interest rates have affected every business with few exceptions.   All else equal, higher interest rates will negatively affect business value as higher discount rates are used to bring future cash flows to the present.   In some industries though, inflation-driven increases in earnings or revenue growth expectations have offset (or even outweighed) the negative impact of higher interest rates.

However, not all industries have been immune to pressure from higher interest rates and inflation on the value of their shares.  Banking is one of several industries that have underperformed broader market indices as investors remain skeptical of the “new normal” and impact of the rate environment on banks’ cost of funds and net interest margins.

As shown in the following tables, small and mid cap public bank stocks have underperformed broad market indices, and valuation multiples (as measured by P/E and P/TBV) remain below long-term historical averages.

While it remains uncertain when the interest rate easing cycle will begin, the easing cycle will likely also have divergent outcomes for different industries.  At this point between cycles and with bank valuation multiples below long-term averages, it is important to consider the potential opportunity to favorably transfer business value to future generations.

A second reason to consider estate planning transactions in the current environment is issues on the tax and policy front.  The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act enacted in December 2017 doubled the basic exclusion amounts individuals could give away without paying estate taxes.  The sunsetting of this provision on December 31, 2025 and the potential for lower exclusion amounts thereafter and higher estate taxes, makes considering transfers all the more important.

The combination of lower bank stock valuations combined with sunsetting favorable estate tax provisions make 2024 a worthwhile year for bank investors to consider estate planning strategies.  Many strategies will require a current valuation of your bank, and our professionals are here to help.

What to Look for in a Quality of Earnings Provider

The cost of corporate M&A failures is high for both buyers and sellers.

  • For buyers, overpaying for a target can hamper returns and crowd out other more attractive investment opportunities for years to come.
  • Sellers only get one chance to sell their businesses.  Failing to maximize proceeds represents a missed opportunity they can never get back.

These high stakes mean that thorough and high-quality due diligence is critical.  A Quality of Earnings (or QofE) analysis is an essential component of transaction diligence for both buyers and sellers.  Optimizing your transaction diligence requires assembling the right team.

In this article, we discuss four things buyers and sellers should look for when evaluating potential QofE providers.

1 . Transaction Experience

Don’t view your QofE analysis as a mere “check box” on your diligence list.  A QofE report should provide genuine insight about the target before you reach the closing table.  While a QofE analysis can, in some respects, feel like an audit, it is not one.  Instead, it is a component of transaction diligence, so you should inquire about a potential provider’s transaction experience.

  • Has the QofE provider represented buyers or sellers in transactions?
  • Has the QofE provider advised buyers on M&A strategy?
  • Has the QofE provider rendered fairness or solvency opinions?

2. Valuation Perspective

A quality of earnings analysis is not a valuation.  However, every valuation includes an assessment of earnings quality.  A QofE provider that brings a valuation perspective to the engagement is more likely to identify insights that matter to the proposed transaction price (i.e., valuation).  Because of the close connection between QofE analysis and valuation, you should inquire as to a potential provider’s valuation perspective.

  • Does the QofE provider have an active valuation practice?
  • Do any of the QofE provider’s team members hold recognized valuation credentials?
  • Do the members of the QofE provider’s team undertake continuing professional education
    in valuation topics?

3. Technical Expertise

A quality of earnings analysis requires attention to detail, a thorough understanding of generally accepted accounting principles, and familiarity with the practical elements of accounting practice.  Certified public accountants with audit experience are likely to possess each of these attributes.

  • Does the QofE provider’s team include one or more experienced CPAs?
  • Does the QofE provider’s team include members with audit or industry experience?

4. A Deep Bench

Transactions don’t wait.  When it is time to move on a deal, you can’t waste time waiting for your QofE provider to catch up.  When evaluating QofE service providers, you should inquire about the depth of resources they can bring to your assignment.

  • Does the QofE provider have multiple engagement leaders capable of overseeing your
    engagement?
  • Does the QofE provider have a pool of qualified staff capable of executing on the engagement on your timetable?

Conclusion

Successful buyers and sellers take Quality of Earnings analyses seriously.  This requires taking care to select a QofE provider that can be a valuable member of your transaction diligence team.  The best QofE providers generate relevant insights before you close your transaction – those insights are most likely to come from a team with a broad and deep technical skill set, transactional experience, and a valuation perspective.

 

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Quality of Earnings Analysis

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For buyers and sellers, the stakes in a transaction are high. A QofE report is an essential step in getting the transaction right.

Essential Financial Documents to Gather During Divorce – Part 3

Documents Needed to Perform a Business Valuation


Prepared by Mercer Capital’s Family Law Services Team

In Parts 1 and 2 of this series, we discussed the importance of hiring an expert and the documents needed to prepare the marital balance sheet and analyzing support and need in a Lifestyle Analysis.

In this piece, we discuss the documents needed for performing a business valuation, the core competency of Mercer Capital.

There are many unique considerations and complexities to business valuation in divorce, often requiring more documentation and analyses. This includes personal goodwill, owner/operator compensation for valuation and income division purposes, formula clauses in Buy-Sell Agreements, and active vs passive, among others.

Documents for Business Valuation

As appraisers, we provide business valuations for divorce as well as many other purposes. Regardless of the industry, there are certain documents we request in every engagement:

  • 5 years of financial statements (balance sheet, income statement, etc.)
  • 5 years of business tax returns
  • Budget/forecast/projections
  • Compensation of owners and/or key management
  • Corporate documents (operating/shareholder agreement(s), etc.)
  • Recent valuations of the business or its underlying real estate
  • List of top customers or relationships and revenue levels
  • Key suppliers and any contractual relationships
  • Available information on competition and/or industry
  • Any documents provided to/received from a lending institution (bank) to receive financing
  • Detail regarding recent transactions within the stock of the company
  • Capitalization table (detailing ownership interests)
  • Distribution policy
  • Shareholder communications/Board minutes

Sometimes some of these documents/items do not exist at the subject Company, which will not necessarily prevent us from performing our work, but the more information we receive the better.

When valuing businesses, or really any stream of cash flows, valuation comes down to three variables: expected cash flow, risk, and growth. All else equal, investors want larger cash flows, that are growing faster, and that are less risky than alternative streams of cash flows. Financial documents show historical earnings and trends, which serve as a basis for expected future cash flows. Other information requested like top customers, suppliers, and competition show both capacity for growth and risks associated with the earnings the company has recently generated. A business valuation involves both qualitative and quantitative information and analyses.

Personal vs. Enterprise Goodwill

In divorce, there are additional considerations when valuing a business. A common battleground for experts is personal goodwill, which is not a divisible asset in divorce in many states. For example, if a business is worth $5 million, but it is determined that $3 million of the value is attributable to personal goodwill, the value of the business for marital balance sheet purposes might be $2 million.

There is no one-size-fits-all methodology or approach to allocating personal vs. enterprise goodwill. It will depend on the industry, history of the company, and relative contributions of the divorcing party as well as contributions of all other employees, among other factors. From a theoretical perspective, personal goodwill should show the difference in value of the business with and without the contributions from the divorcing party. Documents to help determine personal goodwill may include:

  • Revenue generated by provider (what % of revenue is attributable to the divorcing spouse),
  • List of roles/responsibilities of the divorcing spouse, among others.

The availability of documents will vary greatly. These complex analyses can be both a quantitative and qualitative analysis, and it will depend on the facts and circumstances what documents will be relevant.

Active vs. Passive

Like personal vs enterprise goodwill, an active vs passive analysis determines whether the appreciation of an asset or investment during a marriage is considered marital property. States differ in their treatment, and this analysis may be necessary for a business owned by a divorcing party prior to the marriage, which has appreciated during the marriage. However, it can also be necessary on investments in passively held retirement accounts. We will delve more into this in Part 4 regarding documents needed based on the nature of the investment.

Owner Compensation

In all business valuations, an assessment of the reasonableness of management compensation needs to be considered relative to market rates. It is common for business owners to not pay themselves exactly in line with market rates, or perhaps the owner compensation structure includes base rates and profit sharing. We see compensation structures in many different forms and fashions, and above/below market comp is not necessarily nefarious.

In the end, the money ends up in the owner/operator’s pocket, whether as W-2 earnings or distributions from company profits. In business valuation, particularly in divorce, it is more important to make a judgment on how much of the profits should be allocated to the owner’s labor (wages) and how much to their investment in the business (return on investment). In divorce, the business owner’s market wages may be utilized in determining alimony whereas the return on the investment in the business is capitalized into the present value of the business, which is placed on the marital balance sheet.

We consult available industry benchmarks to help determine reasonable compensation, but information about compensation for other key members of management and available industry-specific data is helpful in making these determinations.

Impact of Formula Clauses in Company Agreements on Business Valuations in Divorce

It is important to consider the purpose of the valuation, as this can influence the valuation conclusion. For example, some Buy-Sell Agreements provide for how a business is to be valued upon the death of a shareholder. However, this may not be relevant to the valuation in a divorce context for a few reasons:

  1. If a formula clause is included in a Buy-Sell prescribing how the company will be valued due to a “Triggering Event,” but divorce is not listed as one of these events, then it may not be relevant to the valuation during a marital dissolution.
  2. Even if divorce is listed as a Triggering Event, if the non-business spouse is not a party to and therefore does not sign the agreement, they are not necessarily bound to being bought out based on terms in a Buy-Sell or Operating Agreement.
  3. The Standard of Value for divorce purposes is typically Fair Market Value.

Conclusion

A financial expert can help focus the scope of a divorce case, saving time and money throughout the process, particularly if brought in early to the process with ample time to assist with the various stages of the case. We help engagements be as efficient as possible, hoping to reduce the need to update our analysis, which can drag out the process and lead to higher costs for clients.

For more information or to discuss your matter with us, please don’t hesitate to contact us.

2024: Five Trends to Watch in the Medical Device Industry

Medical Devices Overview

The medical device manufacturing industry produces equipment designed to diagnose and treat patients within global healthcare systems.  Medical devices range from simple tongue depressors and bandages to complex programmable pacemakers and sophisticated imaging systems.  Major product categories include surgical implants and instruments, medical supplies, electro-medical equipment, in-vitro diagnostic equipment and reagents, irradiation apparatuses, and dental goods.

The following outlines five structural factors and trends that influence demand and supply of medical devices and related procedures.

1. Demographics

The aging population, driven by declining fertility rates and increasing life expectancy, represents a major demand driver for medical devices.  The U.S. elderly population (persons aged 65 and above) totaled 60 million in 2023 (18% of the population).  The U.S. Census Bureau estimates that the elderly will number 92.7 million by 2065, representing more than 25% of the total population.

U.S. Population Distribution by Age Group


The elderly account for nearly one third of total.  Personal healthcare spending for the population segment was approximately $22,000 per person in 2020, 5.5 times the spending per child (about $4,000) and more than double the spending per working-age person (about $9,000).

U.S. Population Distribution by Age


U.S. Healthcare Expenditure by Age


Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary, National Health Statistics Group

According to United Nations projections, the global elderly population will rise from approximately 808 million (10% of world population) in 2022 to 2.0 billion (19.4% of world population) in 2065.  Europe’s elderly made up 20% of the total population in 2022, and the proportion is projected to reach 31% by 2065, making it the world’s oldest region.  Latin American and the Caribbean is currently one of the youngest regions in the world, with its elderly at 9% of the total population in 2022, but this region is expected to undergo drastic transformations over the next several decades, with the elderly population expected to expand to 25% of the total population by 2065.  North America has an above-average elderly population as of 2022 (17%) and is projected to expand to 27% by 2065.

World Population 65 and Over (% of Total)


Click here to expand the image above

2. Healthcare Spending and the Legislative Landscape in the U.S.

Demographic shifts underlie the expected growth in total U.S. healthcare expenditure from $4.4 trillion in 2022 to $7.2 trillion in 2031, an average annual growth rate of 5.5%.  This projected average annual growth rate is slightly higher than the observed rate of 5.1% between 2013 and 2021, suggesting some acceleration in expected spending. Projected growth in annual spending for Medicare (7.5%) and Medicaid (5.0%) is expected to contribute substantially to the increase in national health expenditure over the coming decade.  Growth in national healthcare spending, after significant growth in 2020 of 10.2%, slowed to 2.7% in 2021. Healthcare spending as a percentage of GDP is expected to increase from 18.3% in 2021 to 19.6% by 2031.

Since inception, Medicare has accounted for an increasing proportion of total U.S. healthcare expenditures.  Medicare currently provides healthcare benefits for an estimated 65 million elderly and disabled people, constituting approximately 10% of the federal budget in 2021.  Spending growth is expected to average 7.8% from 2025 to 2031.  The program represents the largest portion of total healthcare costs, constituting 21% of total health spending in 2021 and 10% of the federal budget.  Medicare accounts for 26% of spending on hospital care, 26% of physician and clinical services, and 32% of retail prescription drugs sales.   

U.S. Healthcare Consumption Payor Mix and as % of GDP


Average Spending Growth Rates, Medicare and Private Health Insurance


Due to the growing influence of Medicare in aggregate healthcare consumption, legislative developments can have a potentially outsized effect on the demand and pricing for medical products and services. Medicare spending totaled $944.3 billion in 2022 and is expected to reach $1.8 trillion by 2031.

The Inflation Reduction Act (“IRA”) was signed into law on August 16, 2022 by the Biden administration.  Among other items, the IRA aims to lower prescription drug costs and improve access to prescription drugs for Medicare enrollees.  Two healthcare spending-related items in the IRA include out-of-pocket caps for insulin products (capped at $35 for each monthly subscription under Part D and Part B) and a $2,000 out-of-pocket annual spending cap for drugs under Medicare Part D.  These provisions could have significant effects on the growth rates for out-of-pocket spending for prescription drugs, which are projected to decline by 5.9% and 4.2% in 2024 and 2025, respectively.   

3. Third-Party Coverage and Reimbursement

The primary customers of medical device companies are physicians (and/or product approval committees at their hospitals), who select the appropriate equipment for consumers (patients).  In most developed economies, the consumers themselves are one step (or more) removed from interactions with manufacturers, and, therefore, pricing of medical devices.  Device manufacturers ultimately receive payments from insurers, who usually reimburse healthcare providers for routine procedures (rather than for specific components like the devices used).  Accordingly, medical device purchasing decisions tend to be largely disconnected from price.


Third-party payors (both private and government programs) are keen to reevaluate their payment policies to constrain rising healthcare costs.  Hospitals are the largest market for medical devices.  Lower reimbursement growth will likely persuade hospitals to scrutinize medical purchases by adopting 1) higher standards to evaluate the benefits of new procedures and devices, and 2) a more disciplined price bargaining stance.

The transition of the healthcare delivery paradigm from fee-for-service (FFS) to value models is expected to lead to fewer hospital admissions and procedures, given the focus on cost-cutting and efficiency.  In 2015, the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) announced goals to have 85% and 90% of all Medicare payments tied to quality or value by 2016 and 2018, respectively, and 30% and 50% of total Medicare payments tied to alternative payment models (APM) by the end of 2016 and 2018, respectively.  A report issued by the Health Care Payment Learning & Action Network (LAN), a public-private partnership launched in March 2015 by HHS, found that 48.9% of (traditional) Medicare payments were tied to Category 3 and 4 APMs in 2022, compared to 40% in 2021 and 35.8% in 2018.

In 2020, CMS released guidance for states on how to advance value-based care across their healthcare systems, emphasizing Medicaid populations, and to share pathways for adoption of such approaches.  CMS states that value-based care advances health equity by putting focus on health outcomes of every person, encouraging health providers to screen for social needs, requiring health professionals to monitor and track outcomes across populations, and engaging with providers who have historically worked in underserved communities. Ultimately, lower reimbursement rates and reduced procedure volume will likely limit pricing gains for medical devices and equipment.

The medical device industry faces similar reimbursement issues globally, as the EU and other jurisdictions face similar increasing healthcare costs.  A number of countries have instituted price ceilings on certain medical procedures, which could deflate the reimbursement rates of third-party payors, forcing down product prices.  Industry participants are required to report manufacturing costs, and medical device reimbursement rates are set potentially below those figures in certain major markets like Germany, France, Japan, Taiwan, Korea, China, and Brazil.  Whether third-party payors consider certain devices medically reasonable or necessary for operations presents a hurdle that device makers and manufacturers must overcome in bringing their devices to market.

4. Competitive Factors and Regulatory Regime

Historically, much of the growth of medical technology companies has been predicated on continual product innovations that make devices easier for doctors to use and improve health outcomes for the patients.  Successful product development usually requires significant R&D outlays and a measure of luck.  If viable, new devices can elevate average selling prices, market penetration, and market share.

Government regulations curb competition in two ways to foster an environment where firms may realize an acceptable level of returns on their R&D investments.  First, firms that are first to the market with a new product can benefit from patents and intellectual property protection giving them a competitive advantage for a finite period.  Second, regulations govern medical device design and development, preclinical and clinical testing, premarket clearance or approval, registration and listing, manufacturing, labeling, storage, advertising and promotions, sales and distribution, export and import, and post market surveillance.

Regulatory Overview in the U.S.

In the U.S., the FDA generally oversees the implementation of the second set of regulations.  Some relatively simple devices deemed to pose low risk are exempt from the FDA’s clearance requirement and can be marketed in the U.S. without prior authorization.  For the remaining devices, commercial distribution requires marketing authorization from the FDA, which comes in primarily two flavors.

  • The premarket notification (“510(k) clearance”) process requires the manufacturer to demonstrate that a device is “substantially equivalent” to an existing device (“predicate device”) that is legally marketed in the U.S.  The 510(k) clearance process may occasionally require clinical data and generally takes between 90 days and one year for completion.  In November 2018, the FDA announced plans to change elements of the 510(k) clearance process.  Specifically, the FDA plan includes measures to encourage device manufacturers to use predicate devices that have been on the market for no more than 10 years.  In early 2019, the FDA announced an alternative 510(k) program to allow medical devices an easier approval process for manufacturers of certain “well-understood device types” to demonstrate substantial equivalence through objective safety and performance criteria. In February 2020, the FDA launched its voluntary pilot program: electronic Submission Template and Resource (eSTAR) as an interactive submission template that may be used by the medical device submitters to prepare certain pre-market submissions for a device.  Starting in October 2023, all 510(k) submissions were required to be submitted using eSTAR unless exempted.
  • The premarket approval (“PMA”) process is more stringent, time-consuming, and expensive.  A PMA application must be supported by valid scientific evidence, which typically entails collection of extensive technical, preclinical, clinical, and manufacturing data.  Once the PMA is submitted and found to be complete, the FDA begins an in-depth review, which is required by statute to take no longer than 180 days.  However, the process typically takes significantly longer and may require several years to complete.

Pursuant to the Medical Device User Fee Modernization Act (MDUFA), the FDA collects user fees for the review of devices for marketing clearance or approval.  The current iteration of the Medical Device User Fee Act (MDUFA V) came into effect in October 2022.  Under MDUFA V, the FDA is authorized to collect $1.8 billion in user fee revenue for the five-year cycle, an increase from the approximately $1 billion in user fees under MDUFA IV, between 2017 and 2022.  A significant change from MDUFA IV to MDUFA V relates to performance goals for De Novo Classification requests (requests for novel medical devices for which general controls alone provide reasonable assurance of safety and effectiveness for the intended use). There has also been updated PMA guidance, with the FDA conducting substantive reviews within 90 calendar days for all original PMAs, panel-track supplements, and 180-day supplements.

Regulatory Overview Outside the U.S.

The European Union (EU), along with countries such as Japan, Canada, and Australia all operate strict regulatory regimes similar to that of the FDA, and international consensus is moving towards more stringent regulations.  Stricter regulations for new devices may slow release dates and may negatively affect companies within the industry.

Medical device manufacturers face a single regulatory body across the European Union: Regulation (EU 2017/745), also known as the European Union Medical Device Regulation (EU MDR).  The regulation was published in 2017, replacing the medical device directives regulation that was in place since the 1990s.  The requirements of the MDR became applicable to all medical devices sold in the EU as of May 26, 2021.  The EU is the second largest market for medical devices in the world with approximately €150 billion in sales in 2022, only behind the United States. The EU MDR has introduced stricter requirements for medical device manufacturers, including increased clinical evidence and post-market surveillance. Consequently, there is an increased risk for longer approval processes and delays in manufacturing of these devices.

5. Emerging Global Markets

Emerging economies are claiming a growing share of global healthcare consumption, including medical devices and related procedures, owing to relative economic prosperity, growing medical awareness, and increasing (and increasingly aging) populations.  According to the WHO, middle income countries, such as China, Turkey, and Peru, among others, are rapidly converging towards outsized levels of spending as their income scales.  When countries grow richer, the demand for health care increases along with people’s expectation for government-financed healthcare.  Upper-middle income countries accounted for 16.6% of total global healthcare spending in 2021, up from 8.2% in 2000.   

As global health expenditure continues to increase, sales to countries outside the U.S. represent a potential avenue for growth for domestic medical device companies.  According to the World Bank, all regions (except Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia) have seen an increase in healthcare spending as a percentage of total output over the last two decades.

World Health Expenditure as a % of GDP


Global medical device sales are estimated to increase 5.9% annually from 2023 to 2030, reaching nearly $800 billion according to data from Fortune Business Insights.  While the Americas are projected to remain the world’s largest medical device market, the Asia Pacific market is expected to expand at a relatively quicker pace over the next several years.

Summary

Demographic shifts underlie the long-term market opportunity for medical device manufacturers.  While efforts to control costs on the part of the government insurer in the U.S. may limit future pricing growth for incumbent products, a growing global market provides domestic device manufacturers with an opportunity to broaden and diversify their geographic revenue base.  Developing new products and procedures is risky and usually more resource intensive compared to some other growth sectors of the economy.  However, barriers to entry in the form of existing regulations provide a measure of relief from competition, especially for newly developed products.


Post-Script – 2024 Outlook

The medical device industry looked to have put the effects of COVID-19 behind by 2023.  A large number of elective procedures were deferred in the early part of the pandemic and a measure of catch-up in procedure volumes was reported in subsequent periods.  Back to focusing on the longer-term demographic and other trends?

Well, maybe not quite so fast.  It was always likely that the pandemic-induced disruptions would linger just a bit longer, creating some uncertainty around consumers’ needs and preferences.  But the industry awakened to a different type of potential disruption in mid-2023.  Would GLP-1 drugs alter long-term demographic trends by reducing massive obesity rates?  And would the industry face widespread lower demand for bariatric surgery devices, glucose monitors, cardiovascular devices, orthopedic implants and other equiptment?  A mid-year swoon in medtech stock prices was attributed, at least by some, to the wonder drugs.  As 2023 came to a close, however, many appear to have reversed course from that early response.  We may or may not get more clarity on the longer-term effects of these treatments in 2024 but, surely, they will also bring opportunities to go along with potential challenges for device makers.

Taking a broader view, some trends from recent periods will likely persist in 2024.  Companies will continue to focus on profitability and profitable growth in a (relatively) higher-interest rate environment.  Some observers suggest that an expected but measured decline in rates over 2024 (if it materializes) may not do much for medtech stock prices, further underscoring the need to shore up margins.  On the flip side, since the period of rapid interest rate increases appears to be behind us, transaction volume should pick up from the low levels of the past two years.  Finally, innovation, as always, will continue to be part of the conversation as novel treatments that serve unmet needs will help to unlock new markets.

2024 Outlook reading list:

NYCB Incurs Heavy Dilution in Its $1.0 Billion Capital Raise

The other significant industry news from the first quarter was the $1.05 billion equity investment in New York Community Bank (NYSE: NYCB) by an investor group led by former Secretary of the Treasury Steve Mnuchin. The investment was necessary to boost loss absorbing capital and to shore up confidence to stem a possible deposit run after its share price collapsed during February following a surprise fourth quarter loss that was later revised higher for a $2.4 billion goodwill write-off.

The initially reported 4Q23 loss of $252 million was not catastrophic, especially considering the company reported net income of $2.4 billion excluding the goodwill write-off as a result of the bargain gain from the purchase of the failed Signature Bank; however, the fourth quarter loss that arose from a $538 million provision for loan losses highlighted investor concerns about NYCB’s sizable exposure to NYC rent-controlled apartments and offices.

The figure on the right presents our proforma analysis of the transaction and its impact on the consolidated company (NYCB), the parent company in which the group invested, and wholly owned Flagstar Bank, N.A. The adage that capital is exorbitantly expensive if available at all when it must be raised comes to mind here with NYCB.

Source: Mercer Capital, NYCB SEC filings, and S&P Global Market Intelligence


We note the following:

  • The investor group paid $1.05 billion for 525 million common share equivalents consisting of 59.8 million common shares for $2.00 per share and $930 million of Series B and C preferred stock with a 13% dividend that is convertible into 465 million common shares at $2.00 per share.
  • Tangible book value per share (“TBVPS”) declined by about one-third from $10.03 per share as of year-end 2023 to $6.65 per share on a proforma basis.
  • Inclusive of 315 million seven-year warrants with a $2.50 per share strike price, diluted proforma TBVPS is ~$5.80 per share.
  • The 525 million common shares represent ~40% of the 1.25 billion proforma shares while dilution to existing shareholders exceeds 50% inclusive of the warrants.
  • The capital injection boosted the Company’s consolidated leverage ratio by ~80bps to 8.6% and total risk-based capital ratio by ~120bps to 13.0%.
  • NYCB will generate ~$1.4 billion of pretax, pre-provision operating income in 2024 and 2025 based upon consensus analyst estimates that will supplement the new capital to absorb loan losses.
  • Given NYCB’s shares are trading around 50% to 60% of proforma TBVPS, investors are questioning the magnitude of loan losses to be recognized; whether more capital will be required; and long-term earning power.

Our additional thoughts on the transaction can be found HERE, and a link to NYCB’s investor deck announcing the transaction can be found HERE.

If we can assist your board with a capital raise or other significant transaction, please call us.

Capital One Financial Corporation to Acquire Discover Financial Services

The four major credit card networks are American Express, Discover, Mastercard, and Visa.  In 2023, Discover had only 2.1% of the total market share in the U.S. based on the value of transactions, compared to Visa’s 61.1% market share and Mastercard’s 25.4% market share.1  Prior to its acquisition of Discover, Capital One partnered with both Visa and Mastercard for issuing their credit cards.  So, why would Capital One pay $35.3 billion to acquire Discover’s 2.1% market share?

Discover Financial Services operates as both a credit card issuer and credit card network.  By owning its own credit card network, Discover is not partnered with any payment processors (Visa, Mastercard, etc.) and avoids “swipe fees” that payment processors collect.  Therefore, one of Capital One’s primary objectives in acquiring Discover is to move its credit and debit cards onto Discover’s network over time and reduce its purchase volume on the Visa and Mastercard networks.

The two companies entered into a definitive agreement on February 19, 2024, in which Capital One Financial Corporation agreed to acquire Discover Financial Services in an all-stock transaction valued at $35.3 billion.  The deal represents a 26.6% premium to Discover’s closing price of $110.49 (2/26/24) as Discover shareholders will receive 1.0192 Capital One shares for each Discover share.  More details on the transaction as well as the companies’ financials as of fiscal 2023 are displayed on the right.

Summary of Transaction Analysis


Financial Comparison


Preparing for the Future

As technology continues to advance, both traditional, tech-heavy banks and
Fintech companies have increased competition in the global payments industry.  If the acquisition is approved, Capital One will surpass JPMorgan as the largest credit card company based on loan volume and become the third largest company based on purchase volume.  With increased volume and market share, Capital One would be better prepared to compete against these other banks and Fintech companies.  Richard Fairbank, the CEO of Capital One, strives to deal directly with merchants by owning his own payments network.  This rare asset allows Capital One to create a closed loop between consumers and merchants, which better positions the company to deal with increasing threats from buy-now, pay-later companies (Affirm, Afterpay, Klarna, etc.).

Both Capital One and Discover customers may have a lot to look forward to in the future should the deal be approved.  Capital One intends to move 25 million cardholders onto the Discover network by 2027 and offer more attractive rewards for both debit and credit cardholders.  The proposed merger would expand both issuers’ physical presence, and Discover customers would gain access to physical bank locations.  Capital One will also leverage its international presence to increase accessibility and convenience for Discover cardholders on an international scale.  In terms of credit and debit rewards, the increased competition in the industry is expected to drive companies to bolster their rewards program to seem more attractive to consumers.

Regulatory Hurdles

The proposed deal between Capital One and Discover is expected to close by the end of 2024 or the beginning of 2025.  However, the completion of the deal could depend on the results of the presidential election.  Senators Elizabeth Warren and Josh Hawley have both expressed interest in blocking the deal as they believe the deal will create a “juggernaut” in the industry and lead to the extortion of American consumers.  The Biden administration is more likely to block the deal or implement limitations and requirements in order for it to be executed.

On the other hand, the proposed deal could stop legislation that threatens credit card rewards.  Congress is considering new legislation known as the Credit Card Competition Act (CCCA).  The purpose of this legislation is to reduce the swipe fees paid by merchants by enabling access to a wider range of payment networks.  If the legislation is approved, credit card networks and issuers would face reduced transaction fees causing issuers to potentially reduce the wide range of rewards offered.  However, the primary objective of the CCCA could be accomplished through the proposed merger, as routing Capital One’s purchase volume through Discover’s payment network would create a more viable competitor to the Visa/Mastercard duopoly.

Conclusion

Mercer Capital has roughly 40 years of experience in assessing mergers, the investment merits of the buyer’s shares, and providing valuations of financial institutions. If you are considering acquisition opportunities or have questions regarding the valuation of your financial institution, please contact us.

 

  1 Statista.com; Market share of Visa, Mastercard, American Express, Discover as general purpose card brands in the United States from 2007 to 2023, based on value of transactions

Potential Impact of Baltimore Bridge Collapse on the Logistics Industry

It’s been hard to miss the news footage and video of the cargo ship Dali colliding with the Francis Scott Key Bridge across the Chesapeake Bay.  The bridge collapse – as sudden as it is surprising – is another landmark in what has been a series of tumultuous years in the logistics industry.  We recently wrote about global impacts on the supply chain, particularly East Coast ports, and this is another reminder about how unpredictable events can have a wide reach.

The Port of Baltimore

The Port of Baltimore is in the top twenty ports by volume in the United States and is the 5th largest port for foreign trade on the East Coast.  The Washington Post estimates that the port handled over 50 million tons of foreign cargo with value in excess of $80 billion during 2023.  The port is the 2nd largest exporter of coal from the U.S. (though still a relatively small player on a global scale) and is the largest port for imports of automobiles, sugar, and gypsum.  Baltimore is also equipped to handle Neo Panamax ships passing through the Panama Canal.

Sharing the fortunes of several other East Coast ports of the last several years, the Port of Baltimore posted several records in 2023, including for the largest number of TEUs handled (1.1 million) and general cargo tons (11.7 million).  Baltimore posts these growth records despite the overall decline in imports to the U.S. during 2022.

Potential Short-Term and Long-Term Impact

Short term impacts will include delays of cargo already in transit for East Coast ports, whether originally bound for Baltimore or not.  Just as we saw chokepoints on the West Coast lead to a redistribution of cargo among ports, the loss of the Baltimore port for the foreseeable future will cause ripple effects throughout the industry.


Source: The Washington Post

Other East Coast ports will likely take up the bulk of cargo previously destined for Baltimore.  In particular, soybean shipments are expected to transfer to Norfolk, Savannah, and Charleston, while containers are expected to be processed in either Philadelphia or Norfolk.  In any case, the truck routes and rail cars that previously serviced Baltimore will need to be recentered on other ports.

However, this will be somewhat mitigated by global events that were already impacting East Coast ports—namely, the ongoing drought limiting capacity through the Panama Canal and the Houthi rocket attacks in the Red Sea, both of which had diverted some cargo away from East Coast ports prior to the bridge collapse.

An additional concern is the International Longshoreman’s Association contract, which covers port workers from Texas through the Northeast.  The contract is set to expire in September 2024.  Talks stalled in early 2023 before resuming again in February 2024.

The West Coast freight bottleneck that dominated transportation headlines in 2022 was brought on by labor disputes combined with a drastic increase in demand for shipping services due to COVID-fueled shopping.  Conversely, the national freight market has been soft through 2023 and demand is not expected to rapidly escalate as it did a few years ago.  This should limit long-term bottlenecks and chokepoints from forming on the East Coast.

Conclusion

Mercer Capital’s Transportation & Logistics team constantly watches the transportation industry and global events and economic factors that can impact the overall industry, the supply chain, or various aspects of transportation.

Mercer Capital provides business valuation and financial advisory services, and our transportation and logistics team helps trucking companies, brokerages, freight forwarders, and other supply chain operators to understand the value of their business.   Contact a member of the Mercer Capital transportation and logistics team today to learn more about the value of your logistics company.

Essential Financial Documents to Gather During Divorce – Part 2

Documents Needed to Analyze Support and Need (A Lifestyle Analysis)


Prepared by Mercer Capital’s Family Law Services Team

In Part 1 of this series, we discussed the importance of hiring an expert and the documents needed to prepare the marital balance sheet including tax returns and a personal financial statement.

In this article, we discuss the documents needed for analyzing support and need, otherwise known as a Lifestyle Analysis or a Pay and Need Analysis.

Analyzing what would be a reasonable amount for alimony is based upon both a division of assets as of the divorce date (covered in Part 1 of this series) and expectations for future income and expense. We frequently perform a Lifestyle Analysis for divorcing parties. This analysis examines and documents each party’s sources of income and expenses. As noted in our article on Lifestyle Analysis, it is used in the divorce process to demonstrate the standard of living during the marriage and to determine the living expenses and spending habits of each spouse. It is typically a more in-depth analysis required in the divorce process and is prepared by an expert credentialed in forensics.

As part of the divorce proceedings, each party typically files a financial affidavit, which is simply an expected monthly budget post-marriage. The historical status quo, or lifestyle, usually serves as a basis for developing these expenses. However, two households going forward sometimes cannot be similarly supported by the historical marital budget. For example, a married couple with a mortgage provides shelter for both spouses whereas post-divorce, there will be an additional mortgage or rent expense. Sometimes the marital residence will be sold, and each party will live in accommodations more commensurate with what is affordable within the divorcing parties’ new budget.

Documents for Support Analysis or Alimony/Child Support (Comparing Marital Income vs. Budgeted Expenses)

While rent/mortgage is one of the largest monthly expenses, the financial affidavit will include a variety of categories including home, maintenance, vehicle, utilities, food costs, and other typical “fixed” or “shared” monthly expenses captured in a budget. Sometimes financial experts help with this process, while other times attorneys and clients gather and determine these budgets. Attorneys typically provide a template for monthly expenses, but clients may need to corroborate their entries with the following documents:

  • Utility bills (cable, internet, electric, water, gas)
  • Insurance (health, life, etc.) premiums
  • Mortgage statement (“PITI” – which stands for principal, interest (both from fixed monthly mortgage payment), taxes and insurance)
  • Credit card statements which may further break down:
    • Groceries
    • Gas
    • Subscriptions (Netflix, Amazon Prime, etc.)
    • Travel
    • Meals & Entertainment
    • Health & Wellness
    • Medical
    • Etc.

It’s important to note that these expenses, where possible, should reflect those of the divorcing spouses, not child-related expenses. Child expenses such as tuition, extra curriculars, etc. should be considered separately in the award of child support paid to the primary care-taker and/or spouse with lower income potential depending on the facts and circumstances of the case.

While understanding a couple’s expenses is important to determining alimony, reasonable expectations for future income is also very important. For a couple with a simple W-2 job, this analysis may be more straightforward. Still, there are many instances where income fluctuates from year-to-year based on bonuses or company performance, requiring more analysis and more documentation than what is provided on a W-2, 1099, or tax return. Helpful documents for determining income include:

  • Bi-weekly or monthly paystubs
  • Payroll registers
  • 401k/ESOP statements detailing annual contribution levels
  • Owner draws
  • Documentation about restricted stock units, phantom stock, stock options, and other equity instruments
  • Incentive-based compensation agreements such as bonus agreements
  • Employment history
  • Employment contracts
  • Non-compete agreements

As noted above, the goal of this analysis is to determine ongoing earnings capacity. If a divorcing party was recently promoted where his/her compensation structure either increased or was materially changed (i.e. equity vs. W-2), a simple average of historical compensation likely will not be sufficient.

In many divorce cases, one spouse has taken on the primary responsibility of raising children. Depending on the facts and circumstances, a vocational expert may be needed to opine on the potential earning power of that spouse based on their experience, qualifications, education, credentials, and other pertinent information. While a credentialed financial expert should be able to make a reasonable determination for someone currently in the workforce, a specialized vocational expert may be required for a spouse who has not recently worked. All else equal, a higher earnings capacity for that spouse tends to reduce the “need” in determining alimony, and it becomes a more contested area in the process, which leads to the potential use of a vocational expert.

Tip for business owners: It is important to understand how much the party’s income is from services performed in his/her capacity as an executive versus how much of the income is a return on the capital invested in the business. How this gets analyzed in a Pay and Need Analysis can become complicated and is a hotly debated topic. Triers of fact may disagree on whether valuing the business also inherently considers some of this income, known as the “double dip.” Because officer compensation can be a key discussion within the valuation of a business, we will cover it in greater detail in a future part of this series.

Conclusion

A financial expert can help focus the scope of a divorce case, saving time and money throughout the process, particularly if brought in early to the process with ample time to assist with the various stages of the case. We make our engagements as efficient as possible, in hopes of reducing the need to update our analysis, which can drag out the process and lead to higher costs for clients.

For more information or to discuss your matter with us, please don’t hesitate to contact us.


Essential Financial Documents to Gather During Divorce Series

5 Reasons Sellers Need a Quality of Earnings Report

M&A deal flow was sidelined for much of 2022 and 2023, but the economy’s soft landing, stabilizing interest rates, and pent-up M&A demand are expected to compel buyers and sellers to renew their efforts in 2024 and beyond.

As deal activity recovers, sellers need to be prepared to present their value proposition in a compelling manner.  For many sellers, an independent Quality of Earnings (“QofE”) analysis and report are vital to advancing and defending their asset’s value in the marketplace.  And it can be critical to the ensuing due diligence processes buyers apply to targets.

The scope of a QofE engagement can be tailored to the needs of the seller.  Functionally, a QofE provider examines and assesses the relevant historical and prospective performance of a business.  The process can encompass both the financial and operational attributes of the business.

In this article, we review five reasons sellers benefit from a QofE report when responding to an acquisition offer or preparing to take their businesses to market.

1. Maximize value by revealing adjusted and future sustainable profitability.

Sellers should leave no stone unturned when it comes to identifying the maximum achievable cash flow and profitability of their businesses.  Every dollar affirmed brings value to sellers at the market multiple.  Few investments yield as handsomely and as quickly as a thorough QofE report.  A lack of preparation or confused responses to a buyer’s due diligence will assuredly compromise the outcome of a transaction.  The QofE process includes examining the relevant historical period (say two or three years) to adjust for discretionary and non-recurring income and expense events, as well as depicting the future (pro forma) financial potential from the perspective of likely buyers.  The QofE process addresses the questions of why, when, and how future cash flow can benefit sellers and buyers.  Sellers need this vital information for clear decision-making, fostering transparency, and instilling trust and credibility with their prospective buyers.

2. Promote command and control of transaction negotiations and deal terms.

Sellers who understand their objective historical performance and future prospects are better prepared to communicate and achieve their expectations during the transaction process.  A robust QofE analysis can filter out bottom-dwelling opportunists while establishing the readiness of the seller to engage in efficient, meaningful negotiations on pricing and terms with qualified buyers.  After core pricing is determined, other features of the transaction, such as working capital, frameworks for roll-over ownership, thresholds for contingent consideration, and other important deal parameters, are established.  These seemingly lower-priority details can have a meaningful effect on closing cash and escrow requirements.  The QofE process assists sellers and their advisors in building the high road and keeping the deal within its guardrails.

3. Cover the bases for board members, owners, and the advisory team and optimize their ability to contribute to the best outcome.

The financial and fiduciary risk of being underinformed in the transaction process is difficult to overcome and can have real consequences.  Businesses can be lovingly nurtured with operating excellence, sometimes over generations of ownership, only to suffer from a lack of preparation, underperformance from stakeholders who lack transactional expertise, and underrepresentation when it most matters.  The QofE process is like training camp for athletes — it measures in realistic terms what the numbers and the key metrics are and helps sellers amplify strengths and mitigate weaknesses.  Without proper preparation, sellers can falter when countering an offer, placing the optimal outcome at risk.  In short, a QofE report helps position the seller’s board members, managers, and external advisors to achieve the best outcome for shareholders.

4. Financial statements and tax returns are insufficient for sophisticated buyers.

Time and timing matter.  A QofE report improves the efficiency of the transaction process for buyers and sellers.  It provides a transparent platform for defining and addressing significant reporting and compliance issues.  There is no better way to build a data set for all advisors and prospective buyers than the process of a properly administered QofE engagement.  This can be particularly important for sellers whose level of financial reporting has been lacking, changing, outmoded due to growth, or contains intricacies that are easily misunderstood.

For sellers content to work their own deals with their neighbors and friendly rivals, a QofE engagement can provide some of the disciplines and organization typically delivered by a side-side representative.  While we hesitate to promote a DIY process in this increasingly complicated world, a QofE process can touch on many of the points that are required to negotiate a deal.  Sellers who are busy running their businesses rarely have the turnkey skills to conduct an optimum exit process.  A QofE engagement can be a powerful supporting tool.

5. In one form or another, buyers are going to conduct a QofE process – what about sellers?

Buyers are remarkably efficient at finding cracks in the financial facades of targets.  Most QofE work is performed as part of the buy-side due diligence process and is often used by buyers to adjust their offering price (post-LOI) and design their terms.  It is also used to facilitate their financing and satisfy the scrutiny of underlying financial and strategic investors.  In the increasing arms race of the transaction environment, sellers need to equip themselves with a counteroffensive tool to stake their claim and defend their ground.  If a buyer’s LOI is “non-binding” and subject to change upon the completion of due diligence, sellers need to equip themselves with information to advance and hold their position.

Conclusion

The stakes are high in the transaction arena.  Whether embarking on a sale process or responding to an unsolicited inquiry, sellers have precious few opportunities to set the tone.  A QofE process equips sellers with the confidence of understanding their own position while engaging the buy-side with awareness and transparency that promotes a more efficient negotiating process and the best opportunity for a favorable outcome.  If you are considering a sale, give one of our senior professionals a call to discuss how our QofE team can help maximize your results.

 

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Quality of Earnings Analysis

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For buyers and sellers, the stakes in a transaction are high. A QofE report is an essential step in getting the transaction right.

Worldwide Impacts on Marine Shipping – Q4 2023

We discussed reshoring and nearshoring trends a bit in the last Value Focus Transportation and Logistics newsletter.  There’s been some developments on that front, especially as it relates to the ongoing battle between East Coast and West Coast ports.

As we mentioned last time, a variety of pandemic-related and regulatory issues resulted in long delays at California ports, the traditional import location for the majority of goods from East Asia.  Many carriers shifted their import handling to East Coast ports – with the port of Savannah being one of the biggest winners.  Georgia has posted three straight record–setting years for exports.   A study by Cushman Wakefield that ran through October 2023 shows that volumes at East Gulf Ports exceeded West Coast volumes for the majority of 2022 and 2023.  However, early results indicate the West Coast ports grew faster than East Coast ports in November and December 2023, and there are a couple of reasons behind that.

(click here to expand the image above)

The El Niño weather event has hit the Panama Canal hard.  Under normal conditions, between 36 and 38 ships per day will make the transit.  Due to the worst drought Panama has experienced in over 70 years, the Canal Authority began reducing the number of ships passing through on a daily basis in July 2023.  In February 2024, the Canal Authority reduced the total number of ships to 18 per day.

Meanwhile, approaching from the other direction has been made harder by attacks on vessels in the Red Sea.  About one-fifth of freight reaching East Cost ports travels through the Red Sea and the Suez Canal.  Shippers continuing to use the Suez canal route will face higher insurance charges, while shippers opting to go around the Cape of Good Hope can expect to add at least a week to transit times.  More recently, the first fully sunk ship from the conflict also disrupted underwater data cables.  So far, analysts have had mixed opinions on the overall impact that will arise from the Houthi attacks.

Between Red Sea disruptions and climate issues in Latin America the impact of worldwide current events on marine logistics cannot be ignored.

Themes From the 2024 Acquire or Be Acquired Conference

For those who haven’t been to Bank Director’s Acquire or Be Acquired conference (AOBA) before, it is a two-and-a-half-day conference in the desert (Phoenix) that typically includes great weather, golf at the end, and has broadened over the years to focus on a combination of M&A, growth, and FinTech strategies.

Cautious Optimism

While the 2024 version of AOBA included a number of discussions around headwinds facing the sector, there was optimism for 2024 when compared to 2023.  For example, the banking audience was asked during the conference: How do you feel about 2024 compared to your experience in 2023?  ~90% responded that they felt more optimistic about 2024 when compared to 2023.  Additionally, several sessions noted that optimism exists for an uptick in deal activity in the second half of 2024.

Traditional Bank M&A Tailwinds and Headwinds

While the turbulence and potential headwinds for bank M&A that slowed deal activity in 2023 continue to persist at the outset of 2024, traditional bank M&A remained a much discussed topic at the 2024 AOBA conference.  Discussions focused on the nuts and bolts of M&A from valuation to due diligence to structuring and ultimately to integration. While certain themes change and evolve, the strategy to achieve greater scale and growth through M&A and to enhance efficiency and profitability that create value over the long run, persist.  The challenging M&A landscape could present an opportunity for acquirers with the balance sheet and capacity to engage in a transaction, and the silver lining for those acquirers may be less competition for sellers as some buyers focus internally during the challenging operating environment.

Balance Sheets in Focus

There were definitely more sessions this year discussing balance sheets.  A number of sessions noted that one key to dealmaking in the current environment was managing the balance sheet, and several discussed the impact of fair value marks on sellers and pro forma combined balance sheets and the impact on deal activity.  For acquirers, a strong balance sheet and capital level can position their institution to be able to take advantage of the current deal environment.  For sellers, having a balance sheet that is less impacted from the fair value marks to loans and bonds and with more valuable deposits enhances their attractiveness to potential acquirers.  In one session, my colleagues Jeff Davis and Andy Gibbs discussed the impact of taking a loss today on low-coupon bonds that are worth less than the current market price versus holding the bonds to maturity on the value of a bank’s equity. They also reviewed an intermediate strategy referred to as the installment method.

Deposits, Deposits, Deposits

Consistent with discussions around the balance sheet, the interest rate environment, and impact on the banking industry & M&A, discussions about deposits came up often.  These discussions covered strategies to retain business or consumer deposits, the attractiveness of core deposits for acquirers in the current environment, how to grow deposits organically (some of the largest banks are even turning back the clock and building branches again), trends in core deposit intangible valuations, and how to provide your customers with the technology and digital banking solutions to onboard and retain deposits more efficiently.  One question discussed in several sessions that will be interesting to see the answer to in 2024 was: Has the cost of funds peaked?

Technology Brings Opportunities

Over the last few years, technology has been an increasing topic discussed during sessions of AOBA.  Technology topics discussed included leveraging payments to enhance retail and small business banking, using software and/or digital banking to more efficiently make loans and/or open deposit accounts and best practice for developing and managing risk of FinTech partnerships. Even AI, the market’s favorite topic of 2024, was discussed.  A consensus on how best to leverage AI in banking has not yet emerged in my view but topics discussed included leveraging AI to enhance loan growth or efficiency of common tasks in the back office.  Traditional M&A has historically focused on the potential diversification benefits of combining loan portfolios, deposit portfolios, and geographic footprints but increasingly the tech stacks of buyers and sellers are being compared to see what diversification benefits exist and what the cost may be to combine the tech stack after closing.

Technology Also Brings Potential Risks

One challenging aspect of technology for banks was how best to balance the potential benefits of technology with the risks inherent in them, particularly new technologies and FinTech partnerships.  Tech-forward banks and their valuations were also discussed.  As we have noted in the past, this tech-forward bank group has seen increased volatility in market performance than their peers as the market digests some of the tech-oriented business models (such as banking-as-a-service) and weighs the potential for higher growth and profitability against the potential risk of these business models and regulatory scrutiny.

Non-Traditional Deals

Similar to traditional bank deals, bank acquisitions in non-traditional areas like specialty finance, insurance, and asset management have been modest and challenging given the difficult operating environment, higher cost of debt, and opportunity cost of excess liquidity.  However, there were some discussions around best practices and lessons learned from specialty finance transactions and that additional opportunities may emerge as non-bank lenders also deal with the challenging funding and interest rate environment.  Additionally, Truist recently announced the sale of its insurance business to book a gain, focus on core banking, and enhance capital. The announced bank acquisitions by credit unions and private investors also illustrate that non-traditional deals remain a part of a bank’s strategic playbook.

Conclusion

We look forward to discussing these issues with clients in 2024 and monitoring how they evolve within the banking industry over the next year.  As always, Mercer Capital is available to discuss these trends as they relate to your financial institution, so feel free to call or email.

Essential Financial Documents to Gather During Divorce – Part 1

Documents Needed to Prepare the Marital Balance Sheet


Prepared by Mercer Capital’s Family Law Services Team

We have written in the past about the benefits of hiring an expert in family law cases, whether it’s expected to settle or go to trial.

In this multi-piece series, we want to provide you with a resource that will assist you and your clients during one of the most difficult times in their lives, both emotionally and financially, and inspired by a recent post we read.

Often, one spouse takes on the primary responsibility of paying bills, filing taxes, and various other management of household finances. During divorce, this can lead the other spouse to feel lost, or at least at a disadvantage.

Mercer Capital has compiled a list of financial documents that are typically needed in the divorce process and decoded common financial terms helpful to attorneys and their clients.

Financial experts can assist in determining the relevant documents based on the facts and circumstances of the case, which can reduce the burden of hunting down extraneous documents. Most financial documents fall into one (or multiple) of the following categories:

  • Determining the value of the marital estate (aka marital balance sheet or net worth), and the individual assets and liabilities which comprise such
  • Determining income and expenses for spousal and/or child support (akin to an income statement or budget)
  • Determining the value of business(es)
  • Providing support for forensic services

One of the preliminary financial documents requested, unsurprisingly, is tax returns. We’ve written about this in Mercer Capital’s Navigating Tax Returns: Tips and Key Focus Areas for Family Law Attorneys and Divorcing Individuals/Business Owners, which is a great resource for understanding and reviewing tax returns, particularly for purposes of divorce.

Tax returns report income received from various sources, which is beneficial for various financial analyses, but are also beneficial in constructing the marital balance sheet. Tax returns provide insight into other financial situations such as passive income and even hidden assets.

However, tax returns are dense and may not give as granular of detail as the source documents provided to a CPA who might prepare the returns. For example, the return may not break down W-2 wages by salary/bonus, which is important to making reasonable ongoing compensation determinations. So, while it makes sense that tax returns are a preliminary financial document, they may not be the primary source for information, depending on facts and circumstances.

Another key document to request in the divorce process is a personal financial statement (“PFS”), which is more commonly available to business owners. This is often submitted to a financial institution like a bank when seeking a loan. While usually required for a business loan, it can also be used for a mortgage, and may be required annually by the bank. The PFS provides assets, liabilities and sources of income and assets, which can shortcut the process of “finding” all assets and sources of income for the couple when building the marital balance sheet or determining income for support purposes.

A PFS can also be helpful if a spouse has opined on the value of their business. When applying for a loan, a business owner might be incentivized to view the business through rose-colored glasses. Sometimes, the opposite may be true in divorce, where a divorcing business owner retains the business post-divorce. The term “divorce recession” may come to mind, and the term exists for a reason. As with everything, facts and circumstances matter. The value of a business is not stagnant over time, and the value of a company may look different following a record year as opposed to its worst year. As one of our colleagues likes to say, while the value listed on a PFS is not the data point, it is one of many data points that valuation professionals ought to consider when evaluating a company and preparing for the due diligence interview.

Documents for Marital Balance Sheet (Dividing Up Net Estate)

In most divorce cases, either the expert or attorney will need to prepare a marital balance sheet, or statement of net worth or net estate; this may be referred to differently depending on state and jurisdiction. Divorcing couples may reasonably disagree about the value of the assets and liabilities that they own, and they may further disagree on division of these items. Experts can assist both in developing the list of assets and liabilities and reviewing division scenarios. Our job is easier once we receive documents including statements with contemporaneous balances. This includes:

  • Bank statements (checking and savings accounts)
  • Any safety deposit box and contents
  • Investments/Brokerage accounts statements
  • 401k, IRA, and other retirement account statements
  • 529 plans (good to be aware of, but commonly not analyzed as these are “separate” assets for the benefit of children)
  • List of real estate owned – these may require current appraisals if they were not recently purchased
  • List of vehicles, boats, jewelry, etc.
  • Airline miles
  • List of all business interests
  • Investments that have active interest in
  • Trusts, wills, etc.
  • Mortgage statement
  • Credit card statements along with list of credit cards and accounts
  • Student Loan statements
  • Other debt statements
  • Tax refunds/liabilities
  • Credit reports
  • Insurance (home, life, auto, other assets, etc.)
  • Others may be needed depending on circumstances

Conclusion

A financial expert can help in many ways, including focusing the scope of a divorce case, particularly if brought in early to the process with ample time to assist with the various stages of the case. This can reduce duplicative requests and can provide an understanding of why various documents are necessary.

A competent financial expert will be able to define and quantify the financial aspects of a case and effectively communicate the conclusion.

For more information or to discuss your matter with us, please don’t hesitate to contact us.


Essential Financial Documents to Gather During Divorce Series

5 Reasons Buyers Need a Quality of Earnings Report

After sitting on the sidelines for much of 2022 and 2023, the prospect of Fed rate cuts may lure buyers back onto the field in 2024.

And when deal activity heats back up, due diligence will be as critical to buyers as ever.  For many buyers, a quality of earnings (“QofE”) report is a cornerstone of their broader diligence efforts.

For businesses, an acquisition that goes sour can negatively affect family wealth for decades to come.  Obtaining a thorough QofE report as part of deal diligence can help business directors avoid such a misstep.  In this article, we review five reasons business directors need a QofE report before approving an acquisition.

1. Avoid overpaying for earnings that aren’t sustainable.

Audited financial statements provide assurance that the past performance of the target company is faithfully represented.  However, successful acquirers are focused on the future, not the past.  A thorough QofE report helps buyers extract what truly sustainable performance is from the welter of the target’s historical earnings.  Paying for historical earnings that don’t materialize in the future is a recipe for sinking returns on invested capital.  QofE reports analyze historical earnings for adjustments that convert historical earnings to the pro forma run rate earnings that make an acquisition worthwhile.

2. Identify opportunities for cost savings in the target’s expense base.

The detailed analysis of cost of sales and operating expenses in a QofE report can uncover opportunities for acquirers to boost margins at the target through cost-saving initiatives.  By observing trends in headcount by function, occupancy, and other components of operating expense, buyers can identify redundancies and develop strategies for enhancing post-acquisition cash flow from the target.

3. Find revenue synergies with your existing business.

A thorough QofE report is not just about expenses.  Observing revenue trends by product and business segment, coupled with analysis of customer churn data, can help buyers better understand how the target “fits” with the existing business of the buyer, which can open up strategies for fueling revenue growth in excess of what either company could accomplish on a standalone basis.  Armed with a better understanding of opportunities for revenue synergies, buyers can move to the closing table more confident of the upside to be unlocked through the transaction.

4. Clarify working capital needs of the target.

Incremental working capital investment is the silent killer of transaction return on investment.  A thorough QofE report will move beyond the income statement to evaluate seasonal trends in the core components of net working capital.  Doing so helps buyers plan adequately for the ongoing working capital requirements they will need to fund out of post-acquisition earnings.  Working capital analysis in the QofE report also helps buyers negotiate appropriate working capital targets in the final purchase agreement.

5. Assess capital expenditure needs at the target.

Not every dollar of EBITDA is equal.  EBITDA multiples are a function of risk, growth, and capital intensity.  Buyers cannot afford to overlook capital intensity when evaluating targets.  A thorough QofE report examines historical trends in capital expenditures and fixed asset turnover to help buyers better discern the prospective capital expenditure needs of the target and how those needs influence the transaction price and prospective returns.

Conclusion

For businesses contemplating an acquisition, the stakes are high.  You can’t eliminate risk from an M&A transaction but obtaining a thorough QofE report on the target can help directors avoid mistakes and increase the odds of a successful deal.  If you are considering an acquisition, give one of our senior professionals a call to discuss how our QofE team can generate Insights That Matter for your diligence team.

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Quality of Earnings Analysis

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For buyers and sellers, the stakes in a transaction are high. A QofE report is an essential step in getting the transaction right.

Pay Versus Performance: What’s New in Year 2?

Executive Summary

  1. The 2024 proxy season marks Year 2 under the SEC’s new Pay Versus Performance disclosure framework for public companies.
  2. The SEC issued additional guidance over the last year which clarified the requirements and commented upon registrants’ proxy filings from 2023. We discuss several of these items pertaining to valuation and equity-based compensation in this article.
  3. Newly public companies and those private companies aspiring to list in the future should be aware of the disclosure and valuation requirements related to Compensation Actually Paid for senior executives.
  4. With respect to equity-based awards such as stock options and performance shares with market conditions, the rules continue to point to alignment with ASC 718 and require the disclosure of any significant change in valuation techniques and assumptions.
  5. Registrants and their advisors should pay particular attention to the impact of changes in key assumptions on the fair value of equity awards, including volatility, realized performance, and changes in the composition of total shareholder return (TSR) peer groups.

Introduction

The SEC’s Pay Versus Performance disclosure rules introduced significant new valuation requirements related to equity-based compensation paid to company executives. As the 2024 proxy season gets underway, what lessons have been learned and what guidance has the SEC provided to registrants? We discuss some of the SEC’s recent Compliance & Disclosure Interpretations and share some best practices as companies gear up for Year 2 of the new Pay Versus Performance framework.

To recap how we got to this point, the new disclosures were mandated by the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act and were originally proposed by the SEC in 2015. These rules added a new item 402(v) to Regulation S-K and are intended to provide investors with more transparent, readily comparable, and understandable disclosure of a registrant’s executive compensation. The new provisions apply to all reporting companies other than (i) foreign private issuers, (ii) registered investment companies, and (iii) emerging growth companies.

The rules apply to any proxy and information statement where shareholders are voting on directors or executive compensation that is filed in respect of a fiscal year ending on or after December 16, 2022. As such, the vast majority of registrants were required to include these disclosures in their 2023 proxy statements, with scaled-down disclosures for smaller reporting companies.

For a more technical discussion of the rules, see our earlier article 5 Things to Know About the SEC’s New Pay Versus Performance Rules.

Valuation-Related Takeaways from the SEC Guidance

The Pay Versus Performance rules require registrants to disclose the fair value of equity awards to certain senior executives in the year granted and to report changes in the fair value of the awards until they vest. Practically speaking, this means that it is necessary to measure the year-end fair value of all outstanding and unvested equity awards under a methodology consistent with what the registrant uses in its financial statements (e.g., ASC 718, Compensation – Stock Compensation).

In 2023, the SEC issued a series of Compliance & Disclosure Interpretations (C&DIs) relating to the Pay Versus Performance disclosure requirements. The roughly 30 C&DIs issued in 2023 are structured in a question-and-answer format. While the questions address many different aspects of the requirements, we focus our summary on those that pertain to valuation-related issues. In the sections that follow, we summarize each question and answer for clarity.

Question 128D.14 (Treatment of Awards Granted Prior to a Restructuring or Spin-Off)

Should awards granted in fiscal years prior to an equity restructuring, such as a spin-off, that are retained by the holder be included in the calculation of executive compensation actually paid?

Answer: Yes. All stock awards and option awards that are outstanding and unvested at the beginning of the covered fiscal year or are granted to the principal executive officer and the remaining named executive officers during the covered fiscal year should be included in the CAP table.

Question 128D.15 (Using Private Company Prices for Newly Public Companies)

For a newly public company (e.g., IPO or SPAC) complying with the proxy statement rules for the first time, should the change in fair value of awards granted prior to IPO be based on the fair value of those awards as of the end of the prior fiscal year for purposes of determining executive compensation actually paid?

Answer: Yes. For outstanding stock awards and option awards, the calculations required by Regulation S-K should be determined based on the change in fair value from the end of the prior fiscal year. The fair value of these awards should not be determined based on other dates, such as the date of the registrant’s IPO. This means that prior private company valuations (such as for 409A or ASC 718) could come into play when preparing future Pay Versus Performance disclosures.

Questions 128D.16-17 (Inclusion of Market Conditions in Fair Value)

How should awards with a market condition consider that condition in determining whether the applicable vesting conditions have been met in performing the CAP calculations?

Answer: The effect of a market condition should be reflected in the fair value of share-based awards with such a condition. Until the market condition is satisfied, registrants must include in executive compensation actually paid any change in fair value of any awards subject to market conditions. Similarly, registrants must deduct the amount of the fair value at the end of the prior fiscal year for awards that fail to meet the market condition during the covered fiscal year if it results in forfeiture of the award. However, awards that remain outstanding and have not yet vested should not be considered forfeited.

Question 128D.20 (Use of a Different Valuation Technique)

Can a registrant use a different valuation technique for Pay Versus Performance calculations than what was used for grant date fair value?

Answer: Yes, as long as the valuation technique would be permitted under ASC 718, including that it meets the criteria for a valuation technique and the fair value measurement objective. For example, another valuation technique might provide a better estimate of fair value subsequent to the grant date. The rules require disclosure about the assumptions made in the valuation that differ materially from those disclosed as of the grant date. A change in valuation technique from the technique used at the grant date would require disclosure of the change and the reason for the change if such technique differs materially.

Question 128D.21 (Use of Non-GAAP Methods or Shortcuts)

Is it ever acceptable to value stock and/or option awards as of the end of a covered fiscal year based on methods not prescribed by GAAP?

Answer: No. The fair value of equity awards must be computed using methodology and assumptions consistent with ASC 718. For example, the expected term assumption to value options should not be determined using a “shortcut approach” that simply subtracts the elapsed actual life from the expected term assumption at the grant date. Similarly, the expected term for options referred to as “plain vanilla” should not be determined using the “simplified” method if those options do not meet the “plain vanilla” criteria at the re-measurement date, such as when the option is now out-of-the-money.

Assumptions to Watch in Year 2 Fair Value Disclosures

The procedures used to calculate fair value vary depending on the type of equity award. For stock options and stock appreciation rights (SARs), fair value is often calculated using a Black-Scholes or lattice model. When rolling prior grant valuations forward, care should be taken to ensure that the expected term appropriately considers moneyness of the options at the new date.

Performance shares and performance share units often include a performance condition (e.g., the award vests if revenues increase by 10%) or a market condition (e.g., the award vests if the registrant’s total shareholder return over a three-year period exceeds its peer group by at least 5%). The performance condition will require updated probability estimates at year-end and at the vesting date. Awards with market conditions are typically valued using Monte Carlo simulation and so a reassessment at subsequent dates using a consistent simulation model with updated assumptions will be necessary. For awards with market conditions, key assumptions to watch in Year 2 updates include:

Volatility – The volatility input should be updated to match the remaining term of the award. If the award is benchmarked to an index or group of peer companies, then the volatility (and correlation factor) for the benchmark should also be reevaluated. Shorter terms might also mean that forward-looking option-implied volatility could be more appropriate than historical approaches.

Realized Performance – When updating the fair value of a three-year award after one year of performance, one-third of the ultimate return (and potential payoff) is already locked in. For companies whose stocks have performed well (either individually or against their peer group), this could lead to a substantial increase in the fair value of the award. On the other hand, a company whose stock price has lagged its peer group could see the value of the award decline drastically, with little likelihood of favorable outcomes possible in the simulation model.

Relative TSR Peer Group Changes – For awards that link payouts to the performance of a group of peer companies or an index, some of the peers may have been acquired or merged since the grant date. The plan documentation will often describe the steps to be taken when the composition of the peer group changes or there is a change in the benchmark index. A different group (or number) of companies will affect the correlation assumption as well as the percentile calculations in a ranked plan.

These are just a few of the assumptions used in the valuation of equity awards. Ultimately, the valuation professional should assess the concluded values for reasonableness and be able to explain why the fair value moved as it did. This understanding provides the link to the calculation of Compensation Actually Paid (and the company’s explanation for it) in the Pay Versus Performance disclosures.

Summary and Next Steps

With Year 2 of the Pay Versus Performance framework underway, registrants and their advisors now have an understanding of what is expected. Further, the SEC’s additional guidance clarified several areas of potential confusion around the valuation of equity awards with market conditions and situations faced by newly public companies. Companies should pay particular attention to the impact of changes in key assumptions on the fair value of equity awards, including volatility, realized performance, and changes in the composition of total shareholder return (TSR) peer groups.

The complexity of implementing the Pay Versus Performance rules in Year 2 will vary by firm. We have already assisted clients with the transition from the initial Year 1 implementation to a roll-forward of previously-valued equity awards. And we certainly understand how the disclosure rules can seem daunting for those new firms who will be complying with the rules for the first time. Ultimately, the individual equity award characteristics will determine the complexity of the valuation process and the number of valuations that need to be performed.

If you have questions about the valuation of equity awards and how they are incorporated into the Pay Versus Performance disclosure framework, please contact a Mercer Capital professional.

Stock-Based Compensation in Volatile Markets

Employee, Management, and Investor Perspectives


Executive Summary

  • Over the past decade stock-based compensation (SBC) gained widespread popularity as a way to reward employees while conserving cash.
  • Turmoil in the stock market during 2022 resulted in employees seeing diminishing value in SBC and investors questioning its aggressive use.
  • In this article, we discuss how market volatility can affect employee, management, and investor perspectives on SBC.

For the most part, we are all familiar with the pitch for stock-based compensation (SBC). For employees, SBC supplements cash compensation with equity ownership in the employer company. Employees get to share in the upside of the company’s growth and success, aligning their interests with that of the company and other shareholders. For employers, SBC is a cash-efficient way to finance operating expenses. SBC can be particularly beneficial for startups or development-stage companies looking to compete for top talent by trading future growth prospects for current cash outlay. Further, SBC can assist with employee retention, as the shares or options granted through SBC arrangements vest over a number of years.

Everyone Seems to Agree SBC Is Good

Indeed, companies across many sectors appear to have been increasingly convinced of the benefits of SBC in the period following the financial crisis. The following charts illustrate SBC expense trends among S&P 500 companies in certain sectors between 2010 and 2022.

Overall, reported SBC for companies in the S&P 500 grew more than 10% annually between 2010 and 2022, reaching a total of $192 billion in 2022 (approximately 1.2% of revenue). Technology-focused companies, many of whom graduated from the startup stage, are among the most prolific users of SBC. The communication services sector reported $57 billion in SBC expenses in 2022, an almost 13-fold increase since 2010. The information technology sector reported the largest SBC expenses in 2010 and remained among its more prominent users in 2022. But the use of SBC has proliferated beyond the technology-focused companies, as well. For example, reported SBC as a proportion of revenue increased more than four times between 2010 and 2022 for the consumer discretionary sector.

Some sectors were holdouts, however. Reported SBC expenses by companies in the energy sector grew at a relatively paltry 3.8% annually between 2010 and 2022.

SBC Expense Trends Among S&P 500 Companies

Stocks Go Up, Stocks Go Down

So, has a consensus been reached regarding the benefits of SBC? Not quite. Until 2022, the period after the financial crisis had been marked by sustained gains in the equity markets. The S&P 500 took a tumble during 2022 (falling approximately 20% during the year) before recovering some in 2023. As it relates to SBC, it would appear that when stock prices go up, all stakeholders are similarly happy. When stock prices fall, different stakeholders are unhappy in their own ways.

S&P 500 Relative Performance (June 30, 2021 = 1)

Employee Perspective: Underwater SBC

During 2022, employees were vocal about the diminishing values of the SBC they had received in the past.

Unlike cash compensation, the value of SBC can go up or down over the holding period. For example, say an employee was granted 1,000 restricted stock units (RSUs) in Company X that vest over a 4-year period, when the stock price was $225 per share. At grant, the employee would likely believe she had received $225,000 in compensation, save for a potential haircut to reflect the likelihood of vesting. If one year after grant, Company X’s stock drops 16.7% (similar to the draw down in the S&P 500 between July 2021 and mid-October 2022) to $187 per share, the employee could feel shortchanged by about $37,575.

Also, unlike cash compensation, SBC is usually a levered instrument. Obviously, leverage magnifies gains in the good times and losses in the bad times. As another example, say an employee is granted 1,000 stock options, which vest in 3 years, in Company Y with a strike price of $150 per share (current share price of Company Y’s stock). If one year after the grant, Company Y’s stock price rises to $161 per share (7% increase), the stock options would be “in the money” and the employee would be happy with the $10,500 potential gain on the bundle of stock options. However, if Company Y’s stock price takes a hit and declines 16.7% to $137 per share, the stock options would be “underwater” and would provide no intrinsic value to the employee. If the Company’s stock price does not recover to a price higher than $150 by the end of year 3, these options would expire worthless and the employee would realize no benefit.

Management’s Dilemma: Repricing or Additional Issuances

As the examples above have demonstrated, when markets decline, the value of SBC can fall or even become zero.

This leave managers with a difficult choice. Employers could issue more SBC to make up for the decline in value of previously awarded SBC. Or companies could elect to re-price previously-granted employee stock options. Repricing employee stock options entails a company modifying the terms of the options by reducing the strike price or extending the exercise date (presumably allowing time for the company’s stock price to recover). Managers fear that if they do not re-price or issue additional SBC, key employees may not be motivated and may seek greener pastures. Re-pricing prior grants or issuing additional SBC, however, is an administrative burden. These maneuvers also worsen the terms of financing the managers would have believed they obtained for (a portion of the) operating expenses when the SBC grants were made in the first place.

Investor Concerns: Dilution

Investors, for their part, can also feel aggrieved about the aggressive use of SBC, especially when stock prices are down. SBC conserves cash at the grant date but could result in future shareholder dilution. Consider the case of Peloton, which reported $405 million in stock-based compensation expense (14% of revenue) during fiscal 2023. While Peloton did not have to pay its employees an additional $405 million in cash during the year, SBC represents significant potential dilution for its shareholders. Peloton reported that it had 42.9 million in outstanding employee stock options and 27.2 million in RSUs as of June 30, 2023. The total number of shares outstanding at that date was 356.7 million. If all the RSUs and stock options vested and were exercised immediately, Peloton’s share count would increase by approximately 20%, significantly diluting other shareholder’s ownership. The issue of shareholder dilution can be further exacerbated when stock prices decline. At lower stock prices, a company will have to issue more shares to employees to provide the same dollar-level of SBC.

Conclusion

SBC serves as a powerful tool for motivating employees and retaining talent while conserving cash but can also be difficult to manage during periods of volatile stock prices. Striking the right balance between rewarding employees and addressing other stakeholder concerns is essential to maintain the relevance and usefulness of SBC programs. Mercer Capital’s valuation experts assist in the measurement of grant-date fair value of equity-based compensation across a variety of industries for ASC 718 and tax compliance. Call us – we can help you evaluate various equity compensation structures and adjustment mechanisms, and provide a reliable opinion regarding grant date fair value.

Observations from a Buy-Sell Agreement Gone Bad

How to Increase the Value of a Non-Controlling Interest in a Closely Held Business by 338% with No Money Down


A Matter of Life (Insurance) and Death

A buy-sell agreement among family shareholders should provide clear instructions for how the company’s stock is to be valued upon the occurrence of a triggering event, such as the departure or death of a shareholder.  The United States Court of Appeals for the Eighth Circuit recently heard Thomas A. Connelly, in his Capacity as Executor of the Estate of Michael P. Connelly, Sr., Plaintiff-Appellant v. United States of America, Department of Treasury, Internal Revenue Service, Defendant-AppelleeThe Eighth Circuit court affirmed a district court decision that concluded that life insurance proceeds received by a company triggered by a shareholder’s death should be included in the valuation of the company for estate tax purposes.[1]

Connelly is an estate tax deficiency case dominated by two themes: (i) the treatment of life insurance in the valuation of stock of a private company when a shareholder dies and (ii) the consequences of executing a buy-sell agreement that fails to meet the requirements under the Internal Revenue Code, Treasury regulations, and applicable case law, for purposes of controlling the valuation of a closely held company.[2] Using Connelly as a backdrop, we first demonstrate how opposing applications of life insurance proceeds received upon the death of a shareholder impact a company valuation. We then offer observations from a study of the Connelly buy-sell agreement from a valuation perspective that private business owners and their advisors should mind when drafting, reviewing, and amending buy-sell agreements.

The Stock Purchase Agreement

Crown C Supply Company, Inc. is a roofing and siding materials company founded in 1976 and headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri.[3]  Crown C (an S corporation) and brothers Michael, Thomas, and Mark Connelly originally entered into a stock purchase agreement (“SPA”) on January 1, 1983.  Mark’s interest in Crown C was terminated prior to the stock purchase agreement being amended and restated on August 29, 2001.[4]  Crown C had 500 shares of common stock at the date of the SPA’s execution.  Michael, via a trust, owned 385.9 shares of Crown C stock representing a 77.18% ownership interest. Thomas, individually, owned the remaining 114.1 shares representing a 22.82% ownership interest.

Pursuant to the terms of the SPA, Michael and Thomas executed a certificate of agreed value that set the purchase price of Crown C’s stock upon a triggering event at $10,000 per share (see graphic below).  Based on this purchase price per share, which disregarded accepted valuation principles and methodologies, the implied aggregate market value of the company’s stock on August 29, 2001, was $5.0 million.

Therefore, at that date, Michael’s shares would have had an agreed value of approximately $3.9 million, while Thomas’s shares would have had an agreed value of approximately $1.1 million. In July 2009, with no update to the agreed value of the company’s equity, Crown C purchased life insurance policies on both Michael’s and Thomas’s lives in the amount of $3.5 million each.  The rationale for purchasing the same amount of life insurance on each brother’s life when one brother’s ownership interest was approximately 3.4x larger than the other brother’s is unclear.  The SPA dictated that life insurance proceeds were to be used to redeem a deceased shareholder’s interest.

The Sale and Purchase Agreement

Michael, who served as Crown C’s president and CEO, died on October 1, 2013.  Thomas was the executor of Michael’s estate.  Effective November 13, 2013, Thomas, as trustee of Michael’s trust and a second trust for Molly C. Connelly, Michael’s daughter, recused himself from “all matters touching upon the sale, pricing, negotiation, and transaction of any sale of the stock of Michael P. Connelly, Sr.’s interest in Crown C Supply Company, Inc.”[5]  Had Thomas not recused himself he would have been in the conflicted position of negotiating on behalf of Michael’s estate with the company, of which he was now the sole surviving shareholder.  Effective the same date, Thomas and Michael’s son, Michael P. Connelly, Jr., executed a sale and purchase agreement governing the redemption of the estate’s shares in Crown C as well as in other entities.[6]  Thomas (representing Crown C) and Michael Jr. (representing Michael Sr.’s estate) agreed, without relying upon a formal valuation, to a purchase price of $3.0 million for the estate’s shares (see graphic below).

The estate noted, however, that the $3.0 million purchase price “resulted from extensive analysis of Crown C’s books and the proper valuation of assets and liabilities of the company.  Thomas Connelly, as an experienced businessman extremely acquainted with Crown C’s finances, was able to ensure an accurate appraisal of the shares.[7] I’ll discuss the importance of engaging a qualified appraiser in matters such as these below.

The Estate’s Argument: Life Insurance Proceeds Are Not a Corporate Asset

Crown C received $3.5 million in life insurance proceeds upon Michael’s death.  Crown C immediately recognized a corporate redemption liability and used $3.0 million of the life insurance proceeds to redeem the estate’s interest in Crown C.  It is interesting to note from the graphic above that Michael’s estate’s interest originally was equal to the total cash value of the life insurance proceeds, but at some point was reduced by $500,000 because the company needed additional funding.[8]  Exhibit 1 demonstrates this narrative.

(click here to expand the figure above)

Key takeaways from this scenario:

  • One would expect to see a “top-down” valuation methodology in which the value of 100% of Crown C’s equity is established first, followed by the determination of value attributable to the estate’s shares. However, the aggregate value of Crown C’s equity of $3.9 million was implied based on the value of the estate’s interest of $3.0 million.
  • Crown C immediately recognizes a redemption liability equal to $3.0 million in life insurance proceeds and pays $3.0 million to Michael’s estate in exchange for redeeming the estate’s 385.9 shares; Michael’s estate is redeemed at $7,774 per share.[9]
  • Post-redemption, the total value of the company’s equity does not change while the share count decreases from 500 shares to 114.1 shares, all owned by Thomas.
  • Thomas now owns 100% of the company at a value of $34,067 per share,[10] which is approximately 4.4x the value at which Michael’s estate was redeemed. The value of Thomas’s ownership interest increased by 338% with no additional investment.

The IRS’ Argument: Life Insurance Proceeds Are a Corporate Asset

The IRS saw things differently, arguing that the insurance proceeds should be included in Crown C’s equity value.  See Exhibit 2 below.

(click here to expand the figure above)

Key takeaways from this scenario:

  • The equity value of the business for estate tax purposes was $6.9 million inclusive of the $3.0 million in life insurance proceeds. The IRS did not include the excess $500,000 of life insurance in its valuation.
  • The resulting value per share is $13,728[11].
  • The estate’s 385.9 shares have a total value of $5.3 million and Michael’s estate is redeemed at $13,728 per share, reducing the company’s equity value to $1,566,323.
  • Post-redemption, the share count decreases from 500 shares to 114.1 shares, all owned by Thomas at a value of $13,728 per share, which is equal to the pre-redemption value per share.
  • As the life insurance proceeds utilized only totaled $3.0 million, the redemption liability of $5.3 million would have been underfunded by approximately $2.3 million, leaving the company (in this case, solely Thomas) on the hook to finance the shortfall.

The Funding Mechanism Dilemma

It should be obvious that the manner in which life insurance proceeds are treated can have a dramatic impact on the selling shareholder, the remaining shareholders, and the company’s ability to buyout the selling shareholder.  In one scenario, the estate is redeemed relative to a windfall received by the surviving shareholder.  In the second scenario, the estate is redeemed at a higher value, but to the detriment of the company most likely having to finance a portion of the buyout.  So, what is the fair way to treat life insurance in this situation?  Ultimately, the parties to the buy-sell agreement decide what is fair with the help of their legal and other professional advisors, but such a decision must be addressed directly and without vagueness in the buy-sell agreement.

The Defining Elements of a Valuation Process Agreement

We now turn to observations of the Connelly SPA itself from a valuation perspective.  Valuation process agreements such as the Connelly SPA have six defining elements:[12] (i) standard of value; (ii) level of value; (iii) the “as of” date; (iv) qualifications of the appraiser; (v) appraisal standards; and (vi) funding mechanisms.  The first five elements are required to specify an appraisal that is consistent with prevailing business appraisal standards.  We’ve seen how the Connelly SPA addressed element #6, funding mechanisms. So, how, then, does the Connelly SPA stack up regarding defining elements #1 through #5?

Standard of Value

Per the American Society of Appraisers ASA Business Valuation Standards, the standard of value is “the identification of the type of value being used in a specific engagement; e.g. fair market value, fair value, investment value.”[13]

Fair market value, the standard that applies to nearly all federal and estate tax valuation matters and which is specified in most buy-sell agreements, is referenced in the Connelly SPA as part of the definition of appraised value per share.  Fair market value itself, however, is not defined in the SPA.  Without a specific, clear definition of fair market value, such as that from the ASA Business Valuation Standards or the Internal Revenue Code, the interpretation of fair market value is left to the appraiser(s).  In the Connelly matter, upon a triggering event two appraisers were to be engaged (one by Crown C and one by the selling shareholder).  Should the opinions of these two appraisers diverge by more than 10% of the lower appraised value, a third appraiser could have been engaged. The SPA as drafted opens the door for three interpretations of fair market value.  And with multiple interpretations comes the increased likelihood of litigation.

Level of Value

Valuation theory suggests that there are various “levels” of value applicable to a business or business ownership interest.  The graphic below depicts these levels.  A formal business valuation for gift and estate tax purposes will clearly state the level of value, and therefore, no interpretation is needed as to the applicability of control premiums or discounts for lack of control and lack of marketability.

Per the Connelly SPA, in the scenario in which appraisers are utilized in lieu of issuing a certificate of agreed value, “the appraisers shall not take into consideration premiums or minority discounts in determining their respective appraisal values.”  In the absence of minority interest discounts, Thomas’s minority interest (22.82%) would have been valued on a pro-rata basis relative to Crown C’s total value.

The As-Of Date

Every appraisal has an “as-of” date, more commonly referred to as the valuation date. Why is the valuation date important?  Business appraisers rely upon information that was “known or reasonably knowable” on the valuation date.  For purposes of filing Form 706, the valuation date is the date of death (estates may elect the alternate date, six months from the date of death, as the valuation date).  For redemption purposes, however, the Connelly SPA refers to “Appraisal Date,” which is “the date an option is exercised or a mandatory purchase is required.”  As such, the Connelly SPA does allow for a redemption to occur on a specific date.

Qualifications of Appraisers

If the qualifications of an appraiser are not specified, just about anyone can do the appraisal. The Connelly SPA mentions that an appraiser “shall have at least five years of experience in appraising businesses similar to the Company.”  That’s it.  The SPA makes no mention of formal education, valuation credentials such as ASA, ABV, or CVA, or continuing education and training requirements.

Ultimately, this was a moot point for Connelly because no appraiser was ever hired to do a valuation.  But what could happen if an unqualified appraiser is hired to perform a valuation?  A recent tax court case, Estate of Scott M. Hoensheid, deceased, Anne M. Hoensheid, Personal Representative, and Anne M. Hoensheid, Petitioners, v. Commissioner of Internal Revenue Service, Respondent (T.C. Memo 2023-34), addressed this situation head-on.  While the case was related to the donation of closely held stock, not using a qualified appraiser had a damaging impact on the taxpayer.  The company whose shares were subject to the charitable gift had been marketed for sale by an investment banker prior to the gift.  The taxpayer’s attorney suggested that the investment banker be considered to do the appraisal for the gifting because “since they have the numbers, it would seem to be the most efficient method.”[14]  In court, the petitioners argued that the investment banker was qualified because he had prepared “dozens of business valuations” over the course of his 20+ year career as an investment banker.

According to the court, an individual’s “mere familiarity with the type of property being valued does not by itself make him qualified.” The court further noted that the investment banker “does not have appraisal certifications and does not hold himself out as an appraiser.” The court relied on testimony at trial about appraisal experience to be instructive, as the investment banker testified that he conducted valuations “briefly” and only “on a limited basis” before starting at the investment bank the year before the appraisal. The investment banker also testified that he performed (presumably at no charge) business valuations for prospective clients “once or twice a year” in order to solicit their business. The court found the investment banker’s “uncontroverted testimony sufficient to establish that he does not regularly perform appraisals for which [he] receives compensation.”

The end result for the taxpayer in Hoensheid: the Tax Court found that the taxpayer failed to comply with the qualified appraisal requirements and denied the charitable deduction.

Appraisal Standards

Occasionally, buy-sell agreements lay out the specific business appraisal standards to be followed by the appraiser.  Standards most often cited in buy-sell agreements are the Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice (commonly referred to as “USPAP”), the ASA Business Valuation Standards, AICPA’s Statement on Standards for Valuation Services No. 1 (commonly referred to “SSVS”) and NACVA’s Professional Standards.  The Connelly SPA did not reference any of these standards.  Without any appraisal standards referenced, any appraiser elected to perform a valuation under the SPA who was not a member of one of the national appraisal organizations has no requirement to follow any set of standards or code of ethics.

Tax Court Conclusions

Connelly was first decided by the District Court in September 2021.  Having been appealed by the estate, the Eighth Circuit affirmed the District Court’s decision in June 2023.

The District Court Decision

The IRS had contended that the life insurance proceeds should be included in the valuation of Crown C’s equity.  The estate argued that the redemption obligation was a corporate liability that offset the life insurance proceeds dollar for dollar.  The District Court sided with the IRS, noting that “Because the insurance proceeds are not offset by Crown C’s obligation to redeem Michael’s shares, the fair market value of Crown C at the date of date of death and of Michael’s shares includes all of the insurance proceeds.”[15]

The Circuit Court Decision

The Circuit Court affirmed the District Court’s decision, noting “In sum, the brothers’ arrangement had nothing to do with corporate liabilities. The proceeds were simply an asset that increased shareholders’ equity. A fair market value of Michael’s shares must account for that reality.”[16]

Current Status

Shareholder buyouts often occur at inconvenient times, and poor planning can have financially devastating consequences.  In Connelly, a poorly drafted buy-sell agreement resulted in a notice of deficiency from the IRS in the amount of $998,155 [17] and undisclosed legal and professional fees incurred to litigate the matter.  The estate has sought a refund of $1,027,042 that it views was “erroneously, illegally, and excessively assessed against and/or collected from Plaintiff as federal estate tax…”[18]  In August 2023, counsel for the estate filed with the Supreme Court of the United States a petition for a writ of certiorari to the United States Court of Appeals for the Eight Circuit.  On December 13, 2023, the Supreme Court granted the petition for writ of certiorari, signifying its acceptance of the case for review.  As of February 2024, the case had not yet been set for argument.


[1] Courts have had differing opinions on the life insurance/valuation matter.  In Estate of George C. Blount, Deceased, Fred B. Aftergut, Executor, v. Commissioner, the United States Court of Appeals, Eleventh Circuit ruled that life insurance proceeds used to redeem a stockholder’s shares do not count towards the fair market value of the company when valuing those same shares.
[2] The buy-sell agreement that is the subject of Connelly was challenged by the IRS as invalid for controlling the valuation of the subject company’s stock in an estate tax scenario.  The district and circuit courts both agreed and deemed the buy-sell agreement invalid.
[3] Crown C was sold to SRS Distribution, Inc., a portfolio company of Leonard Green & Partners and Berkshire Partners, in 2018. Terms of the deal were not disclosed.  Crown C continued to serve the St. Louis market as of the publication date of this article.
[4] Amended and restated stock purchase agreement by and among Michael P. Connelly, trustee U/I/T dated 8/15/90, Michael P. Connelly, grantor, and Thomas A. Connelly, executed effective August 29, 2001.
[5] Sale and purchase agreement by and among Thomas A. Connelly, trustee of The Michael Connelly Irrevocable Trust dated 15 August 1990, Crown C Supply Co., Inc., a Missouri Corporation, Thomas A. Connelly, individually, Connelly Partnership/Connelly, LLC, and 5200 Manchester, LLC, executed November 13, 2013.
[6] Ibid.
[7] Connelly v. United States, Memorandum and Order, page 21, September 2021.
[8] Appeal from the United States District Court for the Eastern District of Missouri – St. Louis, No. 21-3683, page 3, filed June 2, 2023.
[9] ($3.0 million / 385.9 shares) = $7,774 / share.
[10] ($3.9 million / 114.1 shares) = $34,067 per share.
[11] ($6.9 million / 500 shares)
[12] Mercer, Z. Christopher, Buy-Sell Agreements for Closely Held and Family Business Owners (Peabody Publishing LP, 2010).
[13] American Society of Appraisers Business Valuation Standards (approved through November 2009).
[14] T.C. Memo. 2023-34; Estate of Scott M. Hoensheid, deceased, Anne M. Hoensheid, Personal Representative, and Anne M. Hoensheid, Petitioners, v. Commissioner of Internal Revenue Service, Respondent.
[15] Connelly v. United States, Memorandum and Order, page 35, September 2021.
[16] Appeal from the United States District Court for the Eastern District of Missouri – St. Louis, No. 21-3683, page 13, filed June 2, 2023
[17] Complaint of Thomas A. Connelly, Executor of the Estate of Michael P. Connelly, Sr. dated May 23, 2019.
[18] Ibid.

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