RIA Valuation Insights

A weekly update on issues important to the Investment Management industry

Category

Current Events


How Will Trump’s Second Term Affect the RIA Industry?

Now that the dust has finally settled on the 2024 election, we can turn our attention to its expected impact on the investment management industry. One of the most impactful expected changes is new leadership at the SEC and a reversal of the prior administration’s ESG and crypto initiatives. It’s difficult to say how the market is digesting these prospective changes in the RIA industry, but the coming weeks will likely determine if the current SEC chairman is stepping down and who Trump’s appointee might be. In this week’s post we review these potential changes and their expected impact on the industry.

Alternative Asset Managers Transactions

RIA Aggregator Investments Trick or Treat

Are Longer Holding Periods a Viable PE Strategy or Just an Extend-and-Pretend Tactic?

A recent CityWire article noted that private equity firms are extending their holding periods for RIA aggregator firms to take advantage of the industry’s higher margins and long-term growth prospects. This stalling tactic shouldn’t spook their LPs since the RIA sector is renowned for its recurring revenue, above-average margins, and demonstrated ability to grow cash flows over an extended period of time. Not many industries have businesses that can sustain The Rule of 40, which posits that venture investors prefer to invest in businesses in which the profit margin plus the growth rate adds up to at least 40%. The investment management industry is a notable exception since it typically boasts EBITDA margins in the 20% to 30% range and annualized growth in revenue on the order of 10% to 15%. So what’s so scary about paying +15x EBITDA for these businesses? We explore in this week’s post.

Does This Presidential Election Matter to the RIA Industry?

For some reason, we get this question every four years or so: does this election matter to the RIA industry? Let’s start by saying that with all of the hot-button issues the candidates are currently squabbling about, the RIA industry does not appear to be top of mind for the former president and current vice president. We, therefore, have to step back and think about what either candidate’s election would mean for the broader financial services industry, taxes, and stock market returns, which we cover in this week’s post.

Practice Management

Funding Your RIA’s Buy-Sell with Life Insurance Just Got Much Harder

SCOTUS Compels Closely-Held Business Owners to Review a Potential Problem in Their Ownership Agreement

As long as I can remember, RIAs and other closely-held businesses have used corporate owned life insurance to fund redemption provisions in buy-sell agreements. That practice is now in doubt, as the U.S. Supreme Court recently ruled that entity-purchased life insurance is additive to value for fair market value purposes. Has SCOTUS rendered what was long-standing conventional wisdom useless, or is the ruling subject to interpretation? Time will tell. For now, readers of this blog post will want to study the ruling and its implications for their own buy-sell agreements.

Transactions

Why Haven’t Higher Interest Rates and Inflation Derailed RIA Dealmaking Activity?

Just over 30 years ago, the Memphis Area Transit Authority (“MATA”) made the dubious decision to construct a trolley line traversing most of the city’s downtown area, and it hasn’t gone well. If MATA could do it all over again, I suspect they would permanently closed the trolley system altogether, given the issues they’ve had over the years. Last year, many RIA industry participants expected a similar cessation to dealmaking in the sector following the adverse impact of higher interest rates and inflation on investment managers’ AUM balances and profitability in 2022.  Fortunately for the industry’s bankers, these economic headwinds haven’t derailed the sector’s M&A momentum.

Will RIAs Be Subject to Anti-Money Laundering Rules?

The Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) is proposing a rule that would require investment advisors to comply with Bank Secrecy Act requirements, including implementing anti-money laundering controls and filing suspicious activity reports. Unlike previous attempts, this proposal does not hold investment advisors accountable for identifying their clients, but FinCEN is considering a separate proposal with the SEC for future customer ID requirements. With an increased push from regulators and illicit actors’ growing utilization of RIA intermediaries for AML purposes, the investment advisory sector may soon face stricter regulations, particularly regarding customer identification.

Industry Trends Transactions

Quality of Earnings Analysis for RIAs

The M&A space in the RIA sector has seen a marked increase in transaction activity over the past ten years, along with advancements in its supporting infrastructure. Professionalization of the buyer market has led to a more detailed examination of target companies’ earnings. Mercer Capital’s whitepaper highlights the importance of Quality of Earnings (QofE) analysis in presenting a more accurate picture of a company’s earnings and cash flows for both potential buyers and sellers.

Industry Trends

Navigating the Shifting Tides

Trends Shaping the RIA Industry in 2023 and Beyond

In 2023, the RIA industry witnessed growth and rebounded from the previous year’s slump, despite earlier concerns about inflation and high interest rates. This growth occurred alongside a shift in the financial landscape, where public firms in wealth management underperformed compared to the broader market and alternative asset managers. Additionally, RIAs have found the importance of data use, with many advisors using data to enhance portfolio decisions, operational efficiencies, and client relationships.

Munger Games: Charlie Munger’s Legacy

And His Common Sense Approach to Business and Investing

As a tribute to the late Charlie Munger, we reflect on his legacy and wisdom. His distinctive perspective on cryptocurrency, diversification, and financial projections offers a unique approach to managing investments, contrasting with conventional practices. We provide our thoughts on his lasting Munger-isms.

Industry Trends Transactions

RIA M&A Update

Although inflation has begun to subside and the stock market has rallied after a turbulent start to 2023, elevated interest rates and macroeconomic uncertainty have contributed to a slight decline in deal volume so far in 2023. Despite the slight decline in deal volume, total transacted AUM increased. In this week’s post we discuss some of the contributing factors of this, and what it means for your RIA.

Industry Trends Practice Management Transactions

ISO: Cheap Capital

All Models Are Wrong, Some Are Useful

The much-ballyhooed consolidation trend in the RIA space is in a state of transition. Many acquisition platforms, fine-tuned in an era of zero interest rates and plentiful equity capital, are challenged in the post-ZIRP environment. Picking up on economist George Box’s observation that “all models are wrong, some are useful,” it’s worthwhile to survey the acquisition landscape and see what worked and what still works.

Transactions

The Devil in the Details

Diving into the CI US/Bain Transaction

CI Financial’s pivot from a planned IPO to the sale of a 20% convertible preferred stake of its US wealth management division to a consortium of institutional investors is not only a significant move for CI Financial but also sends ripples through the wealth management industry. In this post, we explore the details of this transaction, the potential consequences for CI Financial, and the broader implications for the wealth management industry.

Industry Trends Practice Management

Common Valuation Misconceptions about Your RIA

Old Rules of Thumb, Recent Headlines, and the Endowment Effect

The endowment effect has an impact on your RIA and oftentimes rules of thumb and recent headlines can lead to overvaluation. We share the nuances of valuing your firm, from assessing cash flow, growth, and risk to understanding the relevance of non-systematic risks. Uncover the factors that truly influence your RIA’s value and learn how an independent valuation can help you make informed decisions for your firm’s future.

Asset Management

Challenging Year Ahead for Asset Managers

Asset Management Firms Struggle as Market Downturn and Fund Outflows Persist

2022 was a tough year for the RIA industry and the stock market, as persistent inflation, rising interest rates, and geopolitical tensions shook the economy. Asset management firms felt the pressure, but what factors drove this decline and how did it impact the industry? Discover the challenges faced by both active and passive funds, and explore the outlook for asset managers in the face of an uncertain future.

Practice Management

An RIA’s Independence Is Valuable

Selling Control Is Losing Control

Harry Truman kept a sign with his personal slogan, “The Buck Stops Here,” on his desk. The reverse side of his sign, which faced the President, says, “I’m from Missouri.” Specifically, Truman grew up in Independence, Missouri, and took pride in his hometown. RIAs would be well advised to value their independence as much.

Industry Trends Wealth Management

As Deal Momentum Slows, What’s Next for Wealth Management Consolidation?

Early last year, as market conditions began to deteriorate, we (along with many others) predicted a coming slowdown in RIA M&A activity. Despite this environment, we were initially proven wrong: RIA M&A activity seemingly defied gravity as the pace of deal activity continued to keep pace with record 2021 levels. Now, the data suggests that deal activity is beginning to lose momentum. So, is the slowdown here to stay?  What does this mean for the future of deal activity?  In this week’s post, we discuss a few predictions for the year ahead.

Buyer’s Remorse? CI Financial’s M&A Binge

On the earnings call last week, CI Financial reiterated intentions to separate its U.S. wealth management business and Canadian asset management business through an IPO of its U.S. wealth management business. While CI has had apparent success at completing deals, investors have not been on board with the strategy. The firm’s deal pace is slowing, and the focus has shifted to deleveraging and attempting to unlock the value of the U.S. wealth management business built through the planned spinoff.

Industry Trends

Rough Quarter in a Rough Year

Q3 RIA Performance Was Mostly Bad, But in Lots of Different Ways

Most of the 9/30 quarterly results are in, and public RIA performance was all over the map.  Mostly, it was a rough quarter in a rough year.  Sagging AUM led to revenue cuts which dropped straight to the bottom line.  Some firms mitigated their downside by cutting bonus compensation and marking down earnout payments for acquisitions.  We did a survey of a cross-section of asset and wealth management firms.  Ultimately, it appears some business models are working better than others.

Industry Trends Wealth Management

Market Indications of RIA Value are Mixed, To Say the Least

Unicorn or Glue Horse?

The differential in interest in public investment management businesses and private investment management businesses isn’t sustainable. Will higher interest rates eventually wear down leveraged acquirers, as they have in other growth-and-income sectors? Will PE investors start to question the merits of trading companies from fund to fund instead of testing valuations in the open market? Will the public RIA group follow Pzena’s lead and go private? Or will public investors’ newfound interest in dividend stocks lead them to RIAs? It’s tough to forecast a public RIA resurgence but never say never.

Asset Management Industry Trends Practice Management

Schwab’s 2022 Benchmarking Study Offers Insights Into the RIA Industry

How Does Your RIA Measure Up?

Schwab recently released its 2022 RIA Benchmarking Study.  The survey contains responses from over 1,200 RIAs representing $1.8 trillion in AUM to questions about firm operating performance, strategy, and practice management.  The survey is a great resource for RIA principals to see how their firm’s performance and direction measure up against the average firm.  In our blog post this week, we highlight some of the key results of the survey.

Investment Management

Mercer Capital provides RIAs, trust companies, and investment consultants with corporate valuation, litigation support, transaction advisory, and related services