A weekly update on issues important to the Investment Management industry
Organic growth is a key metric for the RIA industry, and it’s one that varies widely across firms. As such, it’s a key differentiator between firms, and it’s also an impactful assumption in determining a firm’s value. In this week’s post we explore organic growth trends in the industry and the impact of organic growth on valuation.
A racecar is an example of something that, as a whole, is greater than the sum of its parts. An RIA is another example. But, breaking down an RIA into constituent functions yields certain understandings that cannot be seen clearly by focusing on the whole. In this post, we think about what can be learned from component analysis of RIA returns.
Read our updated complimentary whitepaper on valuing asset managers. Understanding the value of an asset management business requires some appreciation for what is simple and what is complex. On one level, a business with almost no balance sheet, a recurring revenue stream, and an expense base that mainly consists of personnel costs could not be more straightforward. At the same time, investment management firms exist in a narrow space between client allocations and the capital markets. They depend on revenue streams that rarely carry contractual obligations and valuable staff members who often are not subject to employment agreements. In essence, RIAs may be both highly profitable and prospectively ephemeral. Balancing the risks and opportunities of a particular investment management firm is fundamental to developing a valuation.
When RIA owners can’t agree on the appropriate price for a shareholder buyout, we’re often jointly retained to value the departing member’s interest in the business pursuant to a buy-sell agreement. Whether we’ve been court-appointed or mutually chosen by the parties to do the project, we’ve done enough of these over the years to learn that the process matters as much as the outcome. In this week’s post we describe the overall valuation process and common issues we’ve experienced surrounding RIA ownership disputes.
For several years, RIA consolidation was fueled by cheap debt, compelling acquisition multiples, and AUM growth underpinned by rising markets. Today, debt isn’t free, acquisition multiples have been bid up, and public markets have become dependent on a very narrow list of equities for growth. Despite headwinds, the P.E. thesis of investing in the RIA space: sticky revenue, low capital intensity, and dependable margins, has survived the pandemic and rough market years like 2022. The missing element was and is the inaccessibility of public market equity to cash out the P.E. investment thesis and to provide replenishment capital to do new deals.
For this week’s post we’re introducing our whitepaper on quality of earnings analysis in the investment management industry. For RIA buyers and sellers, commissioning a QofE report is an essential element of the due diligence process. In essence, a well-executed QofE analysis not only reveals why a firm is profitable but also assesses the likelihood of maintaining and enhancing that profitability after the transaction. This comprehensive approach ensures that both buyers and sellers make well-informed, strategic decisions in the RIA industry.
Before parties to an RIA transaction can close, they must first agree on a price. Narrowing that bid/ask spread is tricky, which is often why negotiations between prospective buyers and sellers fail. Buyers and sellers naturally have different perspectives that lead to different opinions on value: Where a seller sees a strong management team, a buyer sees key person risk. Unsurprisingly, these different perspectives on the same firm lead to varying opinions on value, and the gap can be substantial. Bridging that gap is key to getting a deal done. We address five ways buyers and sellers can bridge a valuation gap.
