Energy Valuation Insights

A weekly update on issues important to the oil and gas industry

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Energy Valuation Insights


Current Events Domestic Production

Themes from Q3 Earnings Calls

Upstream (E&P) and Oilfield Service (“OFS”) Companies

This week, we explore the Q3 2024 earnings calls of Upstream and OFS companies, noting a focus on technological efficiency, optimized capital allocation, and expectations for natural gas demand in the long term. We examine some notable quotes from recent earnings call transcripts to gain insights into how industry leaders are navigating current challenges and positioning themselves for the future in an evolving energy landscape.

Special Topics Valuation Issues

Is There a Ticking Time Bomb Lurking in Your Buy-Sell Agreement?

Buy-sell agreements don’t matter until they do. When written well and understood by all the parties, buy-sell agreements can minimize headaches when a company hits one of life’s inevitable potholes. But far too many are written poorly and/or misunderstood. Directors are always eager to discuss best practices for buy-sell agreements. In this week’s post, we talk to Chris Mercer, Mercer Capital’s founder and author of four books on buy-sell agreements, and ask, “Is there a ticking time bomb lurking in your business?”

Current Events Mineral and Royalty Rights

National Association of Royalty Owners (NARO) National Convention

This year’s National Association of Royalty Owners (NARO) National Convention was held in Houston and Mercer Capital’s Bryce Erickson, ASA, MRICS and David Smith, CFA, ASA had the privilege of attending.  NARO has represented the interests of oil and gas royalty owners for over 40 years, seeking to support, advocate and educate for the empowerment of mineral and royalty owners. In addition to offering beneficial education opportunities, the event served as a valuable networking opportunity, connecting mineral and royalty owners with fellow owners as well as professional service providers specific to these assets. In this week’s post, we recap the event and provide valuable educational resources for our readers.

Special Topics

D CEO’s 2024 Energy Awards

This year, Mercer Capital had the privilege of attending the 2024 D CEO Energy Awards, an event that celebrates the energy sector and honors leadership and companies from across the value chain that impact the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex. In addition to celebrating individual accomplishments, the event served as a valuable networking opportunity, connecting energy leaders, innovators, and key industry players. In this week’s post, we recap the event and key award winners in the energy industry for our readers.

Special Topics

Now Available: Mercer Capital’s 2024 Energy Purchase Price Allocation Study

Mercer Capital is pleased to announce the release of the 2024 Energy Purchase Price Allocation Study. This study researches and observes publicly available purchase price allocation data from companies primarily contained in one of the four sub-sectors of the energy industry: (i) exploration & production; (ii) oilfield services; (iii) midstream; and (iv) downstream. This study is unlike any other in terms of energy industry specificity and depth.

The study provides a detailed analysis and overview of valuation and accounting trends in these sub-sectors of the energy space. It also enables key users and preparers of financial statements to better understand the asset mix, valuation methods, and useful life trends in the energy space as they pertain to business combinations under ASC 805 and GAAP fair value standards under ASC 820. We utilized transactions that reported their purchase allocation data in calendar year 2023 and not reported in previous annual filings.

Domestic Production Haynesville Shale Mergers, Acquisitions, & Divestitures

“Hayne” in There, Haynesville!

The Haynesville/Bossier Shale was discovered in 2008 in East Texas and Western Louisiana. As a play, it differs from other reserves in that it is saturated with smaller independent operators compared to plays like the Eagle Ford and the Permian over the last decade. Despite its challenges, the current market indicates brighter days ahead for the Haynesville. We explore the latest trends in the basin in this week’s post.

Mergers, Acquisitions, & Divestitures

Just Released: 3Q24 Exploration & Production Newsletter

The Q3 2024 issue of Mercer Capital’s Exploration and Production Newsletter focuses on the Appalachian basin. Appalachian production declined over the last twelve months due to reduced drilling activity, driven by low natural gas prices and high storage inventory. Consequently, Appalachian E&P stocks generally saw year-over-year price drops across the board. Despite recent setbacks, there is optimism for 2025.

Domestic Production Valuation Issues

Should Appalachian Natural Gas Producers’ Stock Price Resiliency Be Surprising?

In a year where natural gas prices have spent most of the year under $3.00, the stock prices of publicly traded Appalachian gas producers have remained remarkably stable. This could come across as surprising. Appalachia has some disadvantages to other US gas producing basins, such as takeaway capacity, logistics, and longer distances to major LNG production facilities. However, since 2022 the stock market has held steady for these companies; of which this confidence has outlasted commodity price and earnings declines over the past two years.

Domestic Production Marcellus and Utica Shale

Navigating Challenges in Appalachian Production

The economics of oil & gas production vary by region. Mercer Capital focuses on trends in the Eagle Ford, Permian, Haynesville, and Marcellus and Utica plays. The cost of producing oil and gas depends on the geological makeup of the reserve, depth of the reserve, and cost to transport the raw crude to market. We can observe different costs in different regions depending on these factors. In this post, we take a closer look at the Marcellus and Utica shales, specifically the Appalachian basin.

Marcellus and Utica Shale Mergers, Acquisitions, & Divestitures

Observing the Negotiations of the Chesapeake – Southwestern Merger

A Marcellus and Utica Shale M&A Update

M&A activity among upstream participants in the Marcellus and Utica Shales has been sparse in recent years, with Shale Experts reporting only one transaction since November 2022.  This week’s Energy Valuation Insights blog takes a break from deal multiples to observe the negotiations of the $7.4 billion merger between Chesapeake Energy Corp. (“Chesapeake”) and Southwestern Energy Co. (“Southwestern”), a significant player in the Marcellus Shale.

Current Events Domestic Production

Themes from Q2 Earnings Calls

Upstream (E&P) and Oilfield Service (“OFS”) Companies

This week, we explore the Q2 2024 earnings calls of Upstream and OFS companies, highlighting the significance of this quarter’s themes across the entire sector. The main themes discussed on these calls include strong international demand for U.S. oil and gas, domestic challenges from natural gas prices, and technological advances in drilling and operational efficiency. We unpack these trends in this week’s post.

Valuation Issues

Unlocking Value in the Oil & Gas Industry

The oil and gas industry is constantly changing, with a lot of moving parts and financial complexities. Accurate valuation of assets within this sector is critical for making informed strategic decisions. At Mercer Capital, we have cultivated a deep understanding of the oil and gas industry through decades of experience. To share our knowledge and insights, we have produced three complimentary whitepapers for our blog readers.

Mineral and Royalty Rights Valuation Issues

What Does the Valuation Process Entail for an Oil and Gas Royalty Interest?

A lack of knowledge regarding the worth of a royalty interest could be very costly. This can manifest itself in a number of ways. A shrewd buyer may offer a bid far below the interest’s fair market value; opportunities for successful liquidity may be missed; or estate planning could be incorrectly implemented based on misunderstandings about value. Understanding how royalty interests are properly appraised will ensure that you maximize the value of your royalty, whenever and however you decide to transfer it.

Valuation Issues

What Does the Valuation Process Entail for an E&P Company?

A lack of knowledge regarding the value of your business could be very costly. Opportunities for successful liquidity may be missed or estate planning could be incorrectly implemented based on misunderstandings about value. In addition, understanding how exploration and production companies are valued may help you understand how to grow the value of your business and maximize your return when it comes time to sell.

Mergers, Acquisitions, & Divestitures Special Topics

Premiums for Inventory Scale

In the last year, M&A activity in the upstream area of the oil and gas industry has increasingly become top-heavy, characterized by several headline deals. While the broader North American E&P deal count has been shrinking since 2022, a handful of major acquisitions in the last year have led to a spike in upstream M&A spending. With fewer yet higher-dollar deals and producers eyeing to expand their portfolios of core acreage, the energy industry’s M&A market has greatly shifted in 2024.

Domestic Production

What’s “Play”-ing in the DJ Basin?

An Introduction to the Denver-Julesburg Basin

The Denver-Julesburg (“DJ”) Basin is a vast and geologically complex basin marked by sedimentary layering, tectonic shifts, and hydrocarbon generation. Encompassing an area of approximately 20,000 square miles, it stretches across regions of Colorado, Wyoming, Nebraska, and Kansas. From an economic standpoint, the DJ Basin has long contributed significantly to the U.S. energy sector. Data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (“EIA”) reveals the DJ Basin was among the top five oil producers in 2023. In this week’s post we explore important production and players in the DJ Basin.

Mergers, Acquisitions, & Divestitures Permian Basin

Just Released | 2Q24 Exploration & Production Newsletter

REGION FOCUS: PERMIAN

The 2Q24 issue of Mercer Capital’s Exploration & Production newsletter focuses on the Permian. Permian production growth over the past year was a positive outlier among the four basins covered in our analysis, with Eagle Ford, Appalachia, and Haynesville all posting production declines (albeit Appalachia’s decline being insignificant at 0.3%). While showing typical reactions to global and national energy economic forces, commodity prices ended the period modestly improved. Rig count declines were greater than production declines, partly due to the continuation of the recent trend in DUC count declines.

In addition to our overview of the Permian, this newsletter also contains:

– Oil and Gas Commodity Price Update
– Macro Update
– Industry M&A Activity
– Public Company Performance
– Production Update
– Rig Counts

Download the newsletter to stay up to date on the industry.

Permian Basin

Permian Production Growth Stands Alone

The economics of Oil & Gas production vary by region.  Mercer Capital focuses on trends in the Permian, Eagle Ford, Haynesville, and Marcellus and Utica plays.  The cost of producing oil and gas depends on the geological makeup of the reserve, the depth of the reserve, and the cost of transporting the raw crude to market.  We can observe different costs in different regions depending on these factors.  In this post, we take a closer look at the Permian.

Current Events Mergers, Acquisitions, & Divestitures Permian Basin

Large Acquisitions Dominate the Permian M&A Landscape

Transaction activity in the Permian Basin declined over the past 12 months, with the transaction count decreasing 53% to nine deals, a decline from the 19 deals that occurred over the prior 12-month period. This level is also well below the 21 deals that occurred in the 12-month period ended mid-June 2022 and the 27 transactions that closed during the same time period in 2021. While the pace of M&A activity in the Permian has waned relative to prior years, deal size is making up for lower deal volume. But despite fewer “big game” targets remaining, the Permian Basin still offers resources to companies seeking to maintain high-quality reserve inventory.

Current Events Domestic Production

Themes from Q1 Earnings Calls

Upstream (E&P) and Oilfield Service (“OFS”) Companies

In our prior earnings call post, Themes from Q4 2023 Earnings Calls, we touched on the global focus of both the Upstream and OFS segments and the persistent drive to optimize efficiency in well operations and services with technological advancements, durable inventory, and more. This week, we explore the Q1 2024 earnings calls of upstream and OFS companies, highlighting the appearance of this quarter’s themes across the entire sector: dividends and buybacks and a boost to the gas market.

Oil & Gas

Mercer Capital provides oil and gas companies, oil and gas servicers, and mineral & royalty owners with corporate valuation, asset valuation, litigation support, transaction advisory, and related services