This week, we explore the Q3 2024 earnings calls of Upstream and OFS companies, noting a focus on technological efficiency, optimized capital allocation, and expectations for natural gas demand in the long term. We examine some notable quotes from recent earnings call transcripts to gain insights into how industry leaders are navigating current challenges and positioning themselves for the future in an evolving energy landscape.
The Haynesville/Bossier Shale was discovered in 2008 in East Texas and Western Louisiana. As a play, it differs from other reserves in that it is saturated with smaller independent operators compared to plays like the Eagle Ford and the Permian over the last decade. Despite its challenges, the current market indicates brighter days ahead for the Haynesville. We explore the latest trends in the basin in this week’s post.
In a year where natural gas prices have spent most of the year under $3.00, the stock prices of publicly traded Appalachian gas producers have remained remarkably stable. This could come across as surprising. Appalachia has some disadvantages to other US gas producing basins, such as takeaway capacity, logistics, and longer distances to major LNG production facilities. However, since 2022 the stock market has held steady for these companies; of which this confidence has outlasted commodity price and earnings declines over the past two years.
The economics of oil & gas production vary by region. Mercer Capital focuses on trends in the Eagle Ford, Permian, Haynesville, and Marcellus and Utica plays. The cost of producing oil and gas depends on the geological makeup of the reserve, depth of the reserve, and cost to transport the raw crude to market. We can observe different costs in different regions depending on these factors. In this post, we take a closer look at the Marcellus and Utica shales, specifically the Appalachian basin.
This week, we explore the Q2 2024 earnings calls of Upstream and OFS companies, highlighting the significance of this quarter’s themes across the entire sector. The main themes discussed on these calls include strong international demand for U.S. oil and gas, domestic challenges from natural gas prices, and technological advances in drilling and operational efficiency. We unpack these trends in this week’s post.
The Denver-Julesburg (“DJ”) Basin is a vast and geologically complex basin marked by sedimentary layering, tectonic shifts, and hydrocarbon generation. Encompassing an area of approximately 20,000 square miles, it stretches across regions of Colorado, Wyoming, Nebraska, and Kansas. From an economic standpoint, the DJ Basin has long contributed significantly to the U.S. energy sector. Data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (“EIA”) reveals the DJ Basin was among the top five oil producers in 2023. In this week’s post we explore important production and players in the DJ Basin.
In our prior earnings call post, Themes from Q4 2023 Earnings Calls, we touched on the global focus of both the Upstream and OFS segments and the persistent drive to optimize efficiency in well operations and services with technological advancements, durable inventory, and more. This week, we explore the Q1 2024 earnings calls of upstream and OFS companies, highlighting the appearance of this quarter’s themes across the entire sector: dividends and buybacks and a boost to the gas market.
The SCOOP/STACK is a significant oil and gas play found in the Anadarko Basin of Oklahoma. Historically, the Anadarko Basin has been a prolific area for oil and gas extraction. It spans approximately 70,000 square miles across Western Oklahoma, the Texas Panhandle, and parts of Southwestern Kansas and Southeastern Colorado. The basin’s geology features some of the thickest and highest-quality shale reservoirs in the United States, making it an attractive site for drilling and production. Given that fact pattern, it might surprise some to learn that activity in the SCOOP/STACK has been sluggish, to say the least, in recent times.
There are always going to be barriers to success in an industry. Barriers to entry, barriers to growth, barriers to profitability, and barriers to progress can lurk to name a few. The upstream industry has its share. For gas, its own oversupply and low prices are an issue. For oil, capital constraints are reining in investment. Both commodities also thirst for quality labor to fuel growth and longer-term underlying optimism, but that workforce does not exist right now and may take a while to develop. What does this mean for the future of the industry?
Our latest analysis of Q4 2023 earnings calls in the energy sector reveals a consistent focus on efficiency and the impact of global demand. Upstream companies are capitalizing on international demand for LNG and LPG, while oilfield service firms are benefiting from efforts to enhance energy security worldwide. The industry’s commitment to operational effectiveness is evident in investments in durable inventory, conversion efficiency, and the integration of advanced technologies, positioning companies for future success in a market increasingly driven by sustainable energy solutions.
The Railroad Commission of Texas is overhauling its primary rule for water protection, Statewide Rule 8, to address environmental standards and oil and gas industry practices that have evolved significantly since the rule’s last major revision in 1984. The proposed changes aim to streamline regulations, update requirements for waste management, and enhance the Commission’s ability to track and collect data on oilfield waste transport. These modifications are expected to impact the economics of oil and gas drilling projects, particularly for smaller operators, and could lead to increased demand for oilfield waste disposal services. to understand more, read this week’s post.
The 4Q23 issue of Mercer Capital’s Exploration & Production newsletter focuses on the Haynesville Shale. Haynesville production held up reasonably well during the 2023 review period, particularly considering the sharp fall-off in the basin’s rig count. Despite the Henry Hub natural gas front month futures prices ending the year well below their starting point, the outlook for the Haynesville basin is favorable and anticipated to continue growing due to rising demand from LNG facilities and petrochemical plant development along the U.S. Gulf Coast.
In addition to our overview of the Haynesville, this newsletter also contains:
– Oil and Gas Commodity Price Update
– 2024 Outlook for the Industry
– Industry M&A Activity
– Public Company Performance
– Production Update
– Rig Counts
Download the newsletter to stay up to date on the industry.
U.S. oil seems to be headed toward a period of upward price pressure. U.S. natural gas on the other hand, appears to be back in a somewhat oversupplied position.
The economics of oil & gas production vary by region. Mercer Capital focuses on trends in the Eagle Ford, Permian, Haynesville, and Marcellus and Utica plays. The cost of producing oil and gas depends on the geological makeup of the reserve, depth of reserve, and cost to transport the raw crude to market. We can observe different costs in different regions depending on these factors. This quarter, we take a closer look at the Haynesville shale.
In 2023, the Haynesville shale, a significant natural gas source in the U.S., experienced a downturn in drilling activity due to low natural gas prices (70% price drop from August 2022). This decline also affected rig counts and day rates, with a notable decrease in both. Despite the market volatility, some M&A activity occurred, including WhiteHawk Energy’s acquisition of mineral interests. Rumored activity included Chevron’s potential sale of its Haynesville assets, indicating a continued interest in this region’s natural gas potential.
The recent America’s Natural Gas conference shed light on crucial themes in the energy sector, highlighting an increasing demand for liquefied natural gas (LNG) amid challenges like insufficient pipeline and storage infrastructure, which poses a substantial hurdle to meeting the soaring need both domestically and internationally. Noteworthy initiatives, such as Mexico Pacific’s strategic LNG facility, aim to bridge infrastructural gaps by delivering responsibly sourced natural gas from the Permian Basin to Asian markets, while also focusing on a sustainable and strategic location to optimize shipping and pricing. The discourse at the conference also underscored the notable reduction of CO2 emissions with the rising market share of natural gas, as well as the pragmatic and logistical challenges faced by renewable energy endeavors, indicating that a balanced, multi-faceted approach to energy transition is imperative in ensuring reliability, sustainability, and affordability in global energy supply.
In the mire of much of the chaotic goings on of the world energy markets and Ukraine over the past year, a lot of things have changed. Uncertainty has ruled the day. Commodity prices have now dropped significantly in the last six months. Yet, between the lines, there is optimism for the upstream industry as profitability and cash flows remain, and the possibility for acquisition premiums for target companies re-emerges in 2023.
Producers have been holding the course towards returns and deleveraging, snubbing pressure from the Biden administration. It has been tempting for producers to ramp up production amid current oil and gas prices. However, with supply chain issues and labor shortages, the appeal has been dampened.
As we await second quarter earnings for publicly traded upstream producers, there are several markers and trends that suggest cash flows and profits will swell. Investment austerity and the recently resulting profits will almost certainly be bandied about on management calls. However, what might not be touted as loudly will be how much longer this can last?
It has been almost a year since crude prices went into the abyss on last April 20th. Markets are fast moving and unforgiving at times, but it appears with $60+ oil prices for 2021, that the upstream business can now start to slow down, look around, and evaluate what direction to go next.
Our previous posts on salt water disposal provided an overview of the sector and detailed the economics of the industry. In this post, we take a deeper dive into specific considerations that are critical to understanding the value of salt water disposal companies.
Saltwater disposal and integrated water logistics companies have attracted a higher proportion of the sparsely available capital flowing into the sector, highlighted by the largest energy IPO of this year: Rattler Midstream LP.
In a prior blog post, we provided an overview of the saltwater disposal (SWD) industry, detailing the source of demand for SWD services, the impact of the shale boom, geographic distribution, site selection, construction, and regulation. We now take a look at the economics of the SWD industry and the trends that impact the economics.
Over the last 12 years the oilfield waste water disposal industry has grown exponentially, both on an absolute basis, and by rank of its importance/size among the oilfield services. This growth has been largely driven by the increased volumes of waste water generated in the production of oil from shale plays. This post discusses the basics of salt water disposal that has become so important given the rise of hydraulic fracturing.
