Category

Energy Valuation Insights

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April 3, 2019 Mineral and Royalty Rights

From Enduro to Permianville

A Closer Look at Permianville Royalty Trust

In previous posts, we have discussed the relationship between public royalty trusts and their market pricing implications to royalty owners. Many publicly traded trusts are restricted from acquiring other interests, so they have relatively fixed resources, and the value of these trusts comes from generally declining distributions. In many cases, the royalty comes from a related operator, though this is neither required nor characteristic of all trusts. There are also other MLPs such as Kimbell Royalty Partners, Viper Energy Partners, Dorchester Minerals, and Black Stone Minerals that are aggregators consistently gobbling up new acreage. In this post, we explore the subject characteristics of Permianville Royalty Trust, formerly known as Enduro Royalty Trust.

March 28, 2019 Eagle Ford Shale

O(i)l Faithful

Eagle Ford Region Overview

Nearly a quarter of the way through 2019, prices have rebounded somewhat after a tumultuous end to 2018.  First quarter energy prices again moved in opposite directions, with crude prices increasing steadily over the period while natural gas prices decreased from $2.94 to $2.80 per Mcf by mid-March despite peaking at over $3.50 in mid-January.

March 21, 2019 Eagle Ford Shale Mergers, Acquisitions, & Divestitures

M&A in the Eagle Ford Shale

Over the last twelve months, the Eagle Ford Shale region has experienced steady growth and healthy transaction activity. The region’s strengths, such as its low cycle times, high oil cuts and Louisiana Light Sweet crude and Brent oil pricing, has facilitated free cash flow and made the area attractive to both investors and operators.

March 11, 2019 Valuation Issues

How to Value Your E&P Company

Our whitepaper “How to Value Your Exploration and Production Company” provides an informative overview of the valuation of exploration and production companies. Because of the historical popularity of this post, we revisit it this week. This post helps you, the reader, understand how E&P companies are valued which may help you understand how to grow the value of your business and maximize returns when it comes time to sell.

March 6, 2019 Special Topics

Supply Management: How The Market Is Handling Capital And Crude In 2019

Bryce Erickson recently attended the 2019 NAPE Expo in Houston, Texas. One of the repeated sentiments among several panelists was that valuations are currently attractive despite declining commodity prices and logistics constraints. If capital and resource supply are managed efficiently, it could align the strong upstream and midstream potential with cash flow reality.

February 26, 2019 Special Topics

Four Themes from Q4 2018 Earnings Calls

We Read the Earnings Calls so You Don’t Have to

Commodity prices exhibited significant volatility to end 2018 with steep declines in crude prices and a spike in natural gas prices that subsequently fell back.  The general market also declined over the period, making it difficult to parse reasons for various stock price gyrations.  While lower prices aren’t ideal for industry operators, earnings calls remind wary investors that there’s more to price than what trades on the NYMEX. Executives this quarter also note a shift in focus when it comes to capital outlays.

This week, we take a look at some of the earnings commentary of large players in the oil and gas space to gain further insight into the challenges and opportunities developing in the industry.

February 18, 2019 Special Topics

David Smith Joins Mercer Capital and Opens Houston Office

Mercer Capital is pleased to announce that J. David Smith, ASA, CFA has joined the firm and leads the firm’s Houston office.

February 15, 2019 Special Topics

Limited Partners, What Are Your Rights?

Legal Rights and Valuation Considerations For Your Limited Partner Interest

A partnership is a business owned by two or more individuals. In its most basic form, a partnership typically falls into one of three categories: a general partnership, a joint venture, or a limited partnership. While the specifics of these three types can vary depending on the goals of the business, they all share similar features. For the purposes of this post, we will be examining benefits and rights we have come across in performing valuations over various types of partnership structures and their relation to value.

February 5, 2019 Valuation Issues

Do The Upstream Sector’s Mosaic Of Indicators Create A Clear Picture?

There are several indicators out there that are sending mixed messages for valuations in the upstream sector. They create a visual of what is happening and what could happen going forward. This post looks at a few of these indicators to gain clarity.

January 28, 2019 Mineral and Royalty Rights Special Topics

Risk and Return

Working Interests and Royalty Interests

When valuing mineral interests, it is important to consider the nuances of the each type of mineral interest. Given that risk and asset values are indirectly related, it is important to keep in mind the various risk factors which pertain to the mineral interest. We’ll begin by examining the various risks surrounding both types of interests.

January 22, 2019 Mineral and Royalty Rights

Mineral Interest Owners: How to Know What You Own

As we’ve discussed, there are plenty of factors to consider when determining the value of mineral interests. While some mineral owners may be very well attuned to decline curves and local pricing dynamics, others may only casually monitor the price of oil and gas to get a general sense of the trend in the industry.  This post is geared towards those mineral interest owners who have less knowledge on the subject and should serve as a guide for those looking to learn more about what they own.

January 17, 2019 Mergers, Acquisitions, & Divestitures

Oilfield Services in 2018

A Year in Review

Companies in the energy sector and the broader market experienced an interesting year showing steady and strong growth in Q1-Q3 and met volatility in Q4, which effectively erased gains on the year and even resulted in negative returns. The oilfield services (OFS) sector, in particular, was impacted heavily during last quarter’s downturn driven primarily by fears of oversupply in the market and E&P companies cutting back and looking for discounts.

January 11, 2019 Special Topics

Q4 2018 Review and Outlook for 2019

Q4 2018 was truly a dramatic quarter for the industry. It marked the end of the two and a half-year oil price recovery that began in 2016, while natural gas prices reached their highest point since 2014. With ongoing oversupply concerns, stabilizing geopolitical tensions, and lower forecasts for global oil demand, it appears in 2019 oil prices have a long way to recover to its previous high in 2018.

January 2, 2019 Marcellus and Utica Shale

Cooler Weather Could Heat Up Appalachia

As the calendar turns to 2019, we turn our attention to the Appalachia region, and not by coincidence. Cooler temperatures in the winter months tend to lead to increased natural gas prices and consumption, and the Appalachia region is the largest natural gas producer in the country.  Fourth quarter energy prices have moved in opposite directions, with crude prices declining steadily over the period while natural gas prices increased from about $3.0 to $3.5 per Mcf, peaking at over $4.8 in mid-November.

December 27, 2018 Valuation Issues

Falling Oil Prices Are Not The Only Thing Bridling Upstream Valuations

Falling oil prices have a downward pull on operator and mineral values, but they are not the only contributor. There are a host of potential operational issues that can reign in production, cash flow, investor expectations and, ultimately, valuations.

December 17, 2018 Marcellus and Utica Shale

M&A in the Marcellus-Utica Shale

The Beast in the East

The domestic natural gas market has benefitted from large expansion in recent years, and this can be largely attributed to the growth experienced in Appalachia. Despite the continued growth, transaction activity in the Marcellus-Utica in 2018 was slower than in 2017. Some companies have been moving in to capitalize on the increased demand for natural gas while others are restructuring their balance sheets in order to focus primarily on higher margin assets, such as oil.

December 10, 2018 Mineral and Royalty Rights

Before Selling Your Oil and Gas Royalty Interest, Read This

There are many reasons that you may want to sell your oil and gas royalty interest, but a lack of knowledge regarding the worth of your royalty interest could be very costly. Whether an inflow of cash would help you make ends meet or finance a large purchase; you no longer want to deal with the administrative paperwork or accounting cost of reconciling monthly revenue payments; or you would prefer to diversify your portfolio or move your investments to a less volatile industry, understanding how royalty interests are valued will ensure that you maximize the value.

December 4, 2018 Valuation Issues

Accounting for Risk in Oil and Gas Reserve Valuations

Reserve Adjustment Factors and Risk-Adjusted Discount Rates

One of the most complex aspects of oil and gas valuation is accounting for the risk associated with PDNP reserves, PUD reserves, and the less certain probables and possibles (P2 and P3 Reserves). Generally, there are three ways to account for this additional risk: (1) Using a risk-adjusted discount rate, (2) applying a reserve adjustment factor (RAF), or (3) utilizing a modified option pricing model.

November 28, 2018 Valuation Issues

Non-Operated Working Interests: Are You Investing in the Operator, the Oilfield, or Both?

Joint Ventures in Oil and Gas

Executing a successful joint venture requires a number of items working in harmony such as solid due diligence, good location, cooperation between both firms, and a degree of luck on the bet they are making.

It seems a bit contradictory that a large amount of projects are structured as joint ventures if they have such a high failure rate. This begs the question, does the success of the JV hinge on the quality of the oilfield or the technical ability of the operator? The answer, we think, lies somewhere in the middle.

November 21, 2018 Special Topics

Haynesville’s Gigantic Gas Resurgence Could Be A Winner In LNG Export Race

Where many producers are struggling to transport their product to market, companies operating in the Haynesville Shale are uniquely positioned to take advantage of the Gulf Coast LNG export resurgence.

November 14, 2018 Special Topics

Four Themes from Q3 Earnings Calls

We Read the Q3 Earnings Calls so You Don’t Have to

Improvements in technology have driven the shale revolution. Among these improvements are both cost cutting by oilfield service providers and longer laterals from E&P companies. While capacity constraints from a lack of infrastructure has led to pricing differentials (particularly in the Permian Basin), a lack of inventory in the global oil market is expected to support higher prices, while also increasing price volatility.

As we plan to do every quarter, we take a look at some of the earnings commentary of large players in the oil and gas space to gain further insight into the challenges and opportunities developing in the industry.

November 7, 2018 Special Topics

Four Key Takeaways from NARO 2018

David Harkins recently attended the 38th Annual National Association of Royalty Owners (NARO) National Convention in Denver, Colorado. Many topics were discussed, some of which could have their own blog posts devoted to them; however, this post includes four key takeaways from the conference.

November 2, 2018 Mineral and Royalty Rights

Royalty MLPs Are Devouring Mineral Assets To Fund Growing Investor Appetites

The emerging field of royalty-focused MLPs and mineral aggregation has the potential to provide growth through acquisitions, as well as distribution payments that public investors desire. Kimbell’s acquisition of Haymaker is a good example of this.

October 22, 2018 Valuation Issues

How to Interpret Breakeven Prices

Before mid-2014, few investors took notice of efficiency-oriented metrics, instead focusing on stories of new oil discoveries and the development of new wells and new technologies.  Since the crash in oil prices, a new measure of success was brought to the forefront:  breakeven prices.

As more companies present this metric and more investors rely on it as an indication of performance, it becomes increasingly important to understand what it actually measures, and if breakeven prices can be compared consistently from company to company.