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Energy Valuation Insights

A weekly update on issues important to the oil and gas industry

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Current Events

The Oil & Gas Industry is Pumped Up

NAPE 2025 Recap

Mercer Capital attended the NAPE (North American Prospect Expo) summit on February 5th and 6th, 2025, in Houston, Texas. More than 12,000 primarily upstream oil and gas industry professionals from a wide cross-section of disciplines attended the conference to discuss business opportunities, explore investments, and sharpen their knowledge base. In this week’s post, we focus on four primary themes that emerged from our attendance at various panel discussions featuring operational and financial industry participants as well as policymakers from Washington, D.C. 

Current Events Domestic Production

The Uinta Basin Resurgence

The Uinta Basin is a geological formation located in northeastern Utah that extends into Western Colorado on its easternmost front where it is bound by the Piceance Basin. The Uinta Basin is rich in oil and gas reserves and is a stacked formation with pay zones ranging from around 1,300′ to 18,000′ in depth. Major oil discoveries led to the basin’s first significant development in the 1940s. With the rise of hydraulic fracturing (fracking) and horizontal drilling, the basin’s relevance has resurged, making it a hotspot for tight oil development and a significant contributor to U.S. oil and gas production. We explore the Uinta Basin’s resurgence in this week’s post.

Bakken Shale Domestic Production

Examining Bakken, DJ Basin, and Woodford Shale Production and Activity

While not nearly in the same league as the powerhouse Permian Basin, the Bakken Shale, DJ, and Woodford Shale play an important role in U.S. energy production. While these basins mostly experience the same impacts that U.S. energy policy and geopolitical matters have on the primary U.S. basins, they each have unique characteristics that differentiate them from the larger basins and each other. In this post, we depart from our regular coverage and take a closer look at the Bakken, DJ Basin, and Woodford Shale.

Domestic Production Energy Valuation Insights Mergers, Acquisitions, & Divestitures

Shining Some Light on Four Overshadowed Oil and Gas Plays

Uinta Basin, Bakken Shale, DJ Basin, and SCOOP/STACK

This week, the Mercer Capital Oil and Gas team highlights four popular, but less talked about oil and gas plays: the Uinta Basin, Bakken Shale, DJ Basin, and SCOOP/STACK. From the Uinta’s unique transportation challenges to the Bakken’s enduring output, the DJ’s infrastructure, and the SCOOP/STACK’s operational complexities, we explore their economic profiles and recent M&A activity.

Top 10 Oil & Gas Blog Posts of 2024

Year-end 2024 is quickly approaching so that means it’s time to take a look back at the year. Here are the top ten posts for the year measured by readership. Click on any of the post titles to revisit the post. Thank you to our readers for your constant support! It’s our honor to cover the oil & gas industry for you. We are taking the next two weeks off from the blog to celebrate the holidays but we’ll be back next year!

Valuation Issues

Is There a Ticking Time Bomb Lurking in Your Buy-Sell Agreement?

Buy-sell agreements don’t matter until they do. When written well and understood by all the parties, buy-sell agreements can minimize headaches when a company hits one of life’s inevitable potholes. But far too many are written poorly and/or misunderstood. Directors are always eager to discuss best practices for buy-sell agreements. In this week’s post, we talk to Chris Mercer, Mercer Capital’s founder and author of four books on buy-sell agreements, and ask, “Is there a ticking time bomb lurking in your business?”

D CEO’s 2024 Energy Awards

This year, Mercer Capital had the privilege of attending the 2024 D CEO Energy Awards, an event that celebrates the energy sector and honors leadership and companies from across the value chain that impact the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex. In addition to celebrating individual accomplishments, the event served as a valuable networking opportunity, connecting energy leaders, innovators, and key industry players. In this week’s post, we recap the event and key award winners in the energy industry for our readers.

Now Available: Mercer Capital’s 2024 Energy Purchase Price Allocation Study

Mercer Capital is pleased to announce the release of the 2024 Energy Purchase Price Allocation Study. This study researches and observes publicly available purchase price allocation data from companies primarily contained in one of the four sub-sectors of the energy industry: (i) exploration & production; (ii) oilfield services; (iii) midstream; and (iv) downstream. This study is unlike any other in terms of energy industry specificity and depth.

The study provides a detailed analysis and overview of valuation and accounting trends in these sub-sectors of the energy space. It also enables key users and preparers of financial statements to better understand the asset mix, valuation methods, and useful life trends in the energy space as they pertain to business combinations under ASC 805 and GAAP fair value standards under ASC 820. We utilized transactions that reported their purchase allocation data in calendar year 2023 and not reported in previous annual filings.

Mergers, Acquisitions, & Divestitures

Premiums for Inventory Scale

In the last year, M&A activity in the upstream area of the oil and gas industry has increasingly become top-heavy, characterized by several headline deals. While the broader North American E&P deal count has been shrinking since 2022, a handful of major acquisitions in the last year have led to a spike in upstream M&A spending. With fewer yet higher-dollar deals and producers eyeing to expand their portfolios of core acreage, the energy industry’s M&A market has greatly shifted in 2024.

Current Events

Oilfield Water Industry Update, Trends, and the Future

The oilfield water industry (OFW, or midstream water) continues to grow in importance within the general upstream energy industry.  So much so that while historically considered part of the Oilfield Services Industry (OFS), midstream water is now considered its own industry within the upstream space, separate from the more general OFS.  In this week’s Energy Valuation Insights blog, we explore the current status, trends, and expectations for the future of midstream water.

Current Events Domestic Production

The Inside “SCOOP”

The SCOOP/STACK is a significant oil and gas play found in the Anadarko Basin of Oklahoma. Historically, the Anadarko Basin has been a prolific area for oil and gas extraction. It spans approximately 70,000 square miles across Western Oklahoma, the Texas Panhandle, and parts of Southwestern Kansas and Southeastern Colorado. The basin’s geology features some of the thickest and highest-quality shale reservoirs in the United States, making it an attractive site for drilling and production. Given that fact pattern, it might surprise some to learn that activity in the SCOOP/STACK has been sluggish, to say the least, in recent times.

Domestic Production

Oil & Gas Roadblocks: Prices, Production, and People Holding Sway

There are always going to be barriers to success in an industry. Barriers to entry, barriers to growth, barriers to profitability, and barriers to progress can lurk to name a few. The upstream industry has its share. For gas, its own oversupply and low prices are an issue. For oil, capital constraints are reining in investment. Both commodities also thirst for quality labor to fuel growth and longer-term underlying optimism, but that workforce does not exist right now and may take a while to develop. What does this mean for the future of the industry?

Mergers, Acquisitions, & Divestitures

5 Reasons Upstream Sellers Need a Quality of Earnings Report

M&A deal flow was sidelined for much of 2022 and 2023, but pent-up M&A demand is expected to compel buyers and sellers to renew their efforts in 2024 and beyond. As deal activity recovers, sellers need to be prepared to present their value proposition in a compelling manner. This is when having an independent Quality of Earnings Report tailored to the seller’s needs becomes crucial. In this post, we review five reasons sellers benefit from a QofE report when responding to an acquisition offer or preparing to take their business models or assets to market.

Valuation Issues

The Benefits of a Quality of Earnings Analysis for E&P Companies

As we’ve often highlighted on this blog, transaction activity in the O&G sector has waned in recent years. Rather than utilizing free cash flows to support expansions via acquisitions, companies have emphasized capital discipline, favoring dividend payouts and buybacks. With this thinning of the buyer market, its more important than ever for a potential seller to be able to provide potential buyers with a clear picture of the company’s capacity for generating cash flows.

In that light, we thought our readers would appreciate a recent Mercer Capital slide deck on quality of earnings (QofE) analysis. The purpose of a QofE analysis is to translate historical reported (GAAP) earnings into a relevant picture of earnings and cash flow that is useful in developing credible forward-looking estimates. The stakes are high in the transaction arena. Whether embarking on a sale process or responding to an unsolicited inquiry, sellers have precious few opportunities to set the tone. A QofE process equips sellers with the confidence of understanding their own position while engaging the buy-side with awareness and transparency that promotes a more efficient negotiating process and the best opportunity for a favorable outcome. Read more in this week’s post.

Domestic Production

Texas Statewide Rule 8 Overhaul

What's in Store for Texas Oilfield Waste Disposal Operators?

The Railroad Commission of Texas is overhauling its primary rule for water protection, Statewide Rule 8, to address environmental standards and oil and gas industry practices that have evolved significantly since the rule’s last major revision in 1984. The proposed changes aim to streamline regulations, update requirements for waste management, and enhance the Commission’s ability to track and collect data on oilfield waste transport. These modifications are expected to impact the economics of oil and gas drilling projects, particularly for smaller operators, and could lead to increased demand for oilfield waste disposal services. to understand more, read this week’s post.

Valuation Issues

Non-Operating Working Interests in Oil & Gas

Part 2: Markets and Valuation Characteristics of Non-Op Working Interests

In the evolving landscape of the oil and gas industry, non-operating working interests are gaining attention for their unique role in upstream capital markets. These interests, characterized by smaller ownership and higher risks, offer a niche opportunity for investors looking for alternative avenues in the energy sector. With a focus on profit margins and cash flow returns, non-op companies like Northern Oil and Gas, Evolution Petroleum Corporation, and others are demonstrating varying degrees of success, presenting both challenges and opportunities for discerning investors.

Domestic Production Haynesville Shale

Just Released | 4Q23 Exploration & Production Newsletter

REGIONAL FOCUS: HAYNESVILLE SHALE

The 4Q23 issue of Mercer Capital’s Exploration & Production newsletter focuses on the Haynesville Shale. Haynesville production held up reasonably well during the 2023 review period, particularly considering the sharp fall-off in the basin’s rig count. Despite the Henry Hub natural gas front month futures prices ending the year well below their starting point, the outlook for the Haynesville basin is favorable and anticipated to continue growing due to rising demand from LNG facilities and petrochemical plant development along the U.S. Gulf Coast.

In addition to our overview of the Haynesville, this newsletter also contains:

– Oil and Gas Commodity Price Update
– 2024 Outlook for the Industry
– Industry M&A Activity
– Public Company Performance
– Production Update
– Rig Counts

Download the newsletter to stay up to date on the industry.

Valuation Issues

Non-Operating Working Interests in Oil & Gas

Part 1: Characteristics of Non-Op Working Interests, the Risks, and the Benefits

In the intricate world of oil and gas investments there are many ways that ownership from hydrocarbon production can be divided. One way is through non-operating working interests which is, to many, a less familiar ownership position. This post explores the nuanced distinctions between traditional operating working interests and non-operating (non-op) interests, highlighting how the latter, despite sharing cost burdens, lack decision-making power in operational matters.

With a focus on the economic implications, risks, and benefits for investors, particularly through the lens of companies like Northern Oil and Gas, we discuss the complex dynamics and strategic financial maneuvers within the industry, setting the stage for a deeper exploration of valuation and economics in next week’s post.

Remembering Charlie Munger

His Investment Wisdom and Legacy

In this week’s post, we honor the late Berkshire Hathaway Vice Chairman by delving into his insightful quotes. Our colleague Brooks Hamner discusses Mungerisms like the pitfalls of flashy investment strategies and the skepticism around cryptocurrency, to the critique of over-diversification and reliance on traditional financial metrics like EBITDA. When it comes to investing in any industry or business, no one had more unique ideas than Charlie Munger.

Mergers, Acquisitions, & Divestitures

Themes from Q3 Earnings Calls

Part 2: Oilfield Service (“OFS”) Companies

Key themes we saw in Q3 earnings calls for oilfield service (“OFS”) companies were a rebound in activity, increased M&A in the space, and a focus on capital returns. Operators agree on a positive outlook for 2024, driven by factors like healthy commodity prices and global demand. As the industry evolves and OFS operators continue to make strategic shifts, we’ll keep you updated on future changes.

Themes from Q3 Earnings Calls

Part 1: Upstream

This week, we look at earnings calls in the upstream sector for Q3 2023. The past quarter saw significant M&A activity, like Exxon Mobil’s acquisition of Pioneer Natural Resources, which emphasizes efficiency and inventory expansion. As domestic operators are increasing production to meet demand, the industry expects a favorable environment going into 2024.

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Key Contacts

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Bryce Erickson, ASA, MRICS

(214) 468-8411

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J. David Smith, ASA, CFA

(832) 432-1011

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Andrew B. Frew, ASA, ABV

(832) 966-0345

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Sebastian S. Elzein

(469) 904-6718

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Derek P. Smith

(932) 966-0307

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