A weekly update on issues important to the Investment Management industry
It has become a tradition for the RIA team at Mercer Capital to end the blog year with a “unique” annual summary of industry events, riffing off Clement Clark Moore’s classic “A Visit from St. Nicholas.” We hope all of you in the investment management community are enjoying the holiday season and looking forward to the many opportunities of the new year. We look forward to hearing from you in 2025. For now, please enjoy the finest only holiday poem written about money management.
A few months ago, our team attended a business appraisal conference in Portland, Oregon, where we learned about a case involving a “Difficult Partner Discount.” Since we’re often hired when business owners can’t agree on price, we’re well aware of partnership disputes, but are pretty confident we’ve never directly applied a “Difficult Partner Discount” to the value of a business or interest therein. That doesn’t mean that partner disputes and departures can’t significantly impair the value of a company, which we address in this post.
No two RIAs are identical but broadly speaking, firms that seek to serve the same types of clients tend to end up with similar-looking business models. A firm’s structure tends to reflect the types of clients the firm seeks to serve and the value proposition it offers to those clients. The result is that firms tend to cluster around a handful of distinct models, and identifying what those models are and how they differ can be a useful exercise both in analyzing a particular firm and in thinking about practice management issues.
Abu Dhabi has been on a buying spree, announcing this week that their sovereign wealth fund was acquiring CI Financial, taking it private just over a year after a Bain-led consortium invested US$1 billion in the publicly traded investment management firm. We suspect the terms of the Bain deal formed the predicate to this week’s announcement.
There’s been a great deal of interest in RIA acquisitions in recent years from a diverse group of buyers ranging from consolidators, other RIAs, banks, diversified financial services companies, and private equity. These acquirers have been drawn to RIA acquisitions due to the high margins, recurring revenue, low capital needs, and sticky client bases that RIAs often offer. Following these transactions, acquirers are generally required under accounting standards to perform what is known as a purchase price allocation, or PPA. In this whitepaper, we describe the PPA process, including attributes unique to the investment management industry.
Now that the dust has finally settled on the 2024 election, we can turn our attention to its expected impact on the investment management industry. One of the most impactful expected changes is new leadership at the SEC and a reversal of the prior administration’s ESG and crypto initiatives. It’s difficult to say how the market is digesting these prospective changes in the RIA industry, but the coming weeks will likely determine if the current SEC chairman is stepping down and who Trump’s appointee might be. In this week’s post we review these potential changes and their expected impact on the industry.
Organic growth is a key metric for the RIA industry, and it’s one that varies widely across firms. As such, it’s a key differentiator between firms, and it’s also an impactful assumption in determining a firm’s value. In this week’s post we explore organic growth trends in the industry and the impact of organic growth on valuation.
A racecar is an example of something that, as a whole, is greater than the sum of its parts. An RIA is another example. But, breaking down an RIA into constituent functions yields certain understandings that cannot be seen clearly by focusing on the whole. In this post, we think about what can be learned from component analysis of RIA returns.
A recent CityWire article noted that private equity firms are extending their holding periods for RIA aggregator firms to take advantage of the industry’s higher margins and long-term growth prospects. This stalling tactic shouldn’t spook their LPs since the RIA sector is renowned for its recurring revenue, above-average margins, and demonstrated ability to grow cash flows over an extended period of time. Not many industries have businesses that can sustain The Rule of 40, which posits that venture investors prefer to invest in businesses in which the profit margin plus the growth rate adds up to at least 40%. The investment management industry is a notable exception since it typically boasts EBITDA margins in the 20% to 30% range and annualized growth in revenue on the order of 10% to 15%. So what’s so scary about paying +15x EBITDA for these businesses? We explore in this week’s post.
Alternative asset managers fared particularly well during favorable market conditions for the RIA sector. Over the past year, both alternative asset managers and large RIAs (with assets under management, or AUM, exceeding $250 billion) outperformed the S&P 500, achieving gains of 64.6% and 37.7%, respectively. As these dynamics continue into Q4 2024, the outlook for continued multiple expansion and robust deal activity for alternative asset managers remains favorable.
