When valuing a business using the income approach, one of the most significant inputs is the discount rate, which is used to discount future cash flows to present value. In this piece, we focus on one of the components of the discount rate: the company specific risk premium (“CSRP”).

For further detail about all of the components of the discount rate, see Mercer Capital’s article: Understand the Discount Rate Used in a Business Valuation.

CSRP is an additional premium that captures unique risks to the subject company, above and beyond market, industry, and size risks accounted for in the other ‘build-up’ components to developing a discount rate.

In simple terms, the CSRP captures the unique risk profile of the subject company. As the CSRP is specific to the company at hand, it can be subjective in nature – there is no direct observable market evidence, or data, that can be directly tied to one’s assumption, i.e. chosen premium. Therefore, in determining the CSRP, one should consider: What is the return required by investors to invest in the subject company over an alternative investment? Also, what are the qualitative elements of the business that reduce or increase risk – this could be strengths or weaknesses of the business, and even threats and/or opportunities for the business and its industry. The table below provides a few common factors and questions that may influence and support a CSRP assumption.

Geographic
Concentration
  • Does the company serve a local, regional or national market? What about its competition?
  • Does geographic concentration impact growth or expansion?
  • How does the market served compare or contrast to the overall national economy?

Customer/
Supplier Concentration
  • Any revenue concentration with one or a few customers?
  • Does the company depend on only a few suppliers for inputs? If so, is any risk mitigated by long-term contracts and/or lengthy history of relationship?

Competitive Environment
  • Are there low barriers to entry in the company’s industry?
  • Does the company hold a weak market position compared to competitors?
  • Does the company offer proprietary/differentiated products/services?

Earnings Volatility
  • Is there any further risk to the earnings of the business which has not been captured in the estimation of ongoing earnings?
  • This is an area to exert caution to avoid potential double counting of ‘risk’ in both earnings and the discount rate.

Depth and Quality of Management
  • Is there rapid turnover/short tenure for the management team?
  • Does management have limited industry experience?
  • Is there lack of succession planning, such as absence of a clear management transition strategy?

Key Person Risk
  • Does the company depend on one or a few individuals for success? This could be management and/or revenue generation.
  • Would a key individual leaving lead to a decline in recurring customers?

Operations
  • Employee turnover compared to the industry in which it operates?
  • Are there any challenges hiring a qualified workforce?
  • Are there any inefficiencies or opportunities the company faces that are not standard in its industry?

Technological Obsolescence
  • Is outdated technology a risk for inefficiency?
  • Does the company have older equipment with higher maintenance costs compared to competitors?
  • Does the current software have incompatibility/integration issues?

Conclusion

There is no universal standard to estimating CSRP – each company has unique attributes and risks that are factored into the discount rate, among other areas in the business valuation analysis. Quantifying a CSRP requires a thorough understanding of the qualitative and quantitative factors that affect the subject company. Thus, a competent valuation expert is needed to ensure that the fundamentals of business valuation are applied in a reasonable and appropriate manner.


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