Corporate Valuation, Auto Dealerships
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October 5, 2020

Take Advantage of Current Estate Planning Opportunities While You Can

It’s nearly impossible to discuss anything automobile-related without mentioning the name Henry Ford.  Henry Ford established the Ford Motor Company in 1903 and also became one of the founding fathers of the automated assembly line mode for the production of his Model T vehicle.  One of the famous quotes attributed to Mr. Ford is that “failure is only the opportunity to begin again.”  This adage continues to inspire the auto industry today as it attempts to recover from turbulent economic conditions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, much like its recovery from the Great Recession just a decade ago.

Three converging factors have this fall shaping up to be the busiest estate planning season since 2012.

While economic recovery is still uncertain as the pandemic continues on and new relief bills are on the ropes, there currently exist potentially attractive estate planning opportunities for auto dealer owners.

Three converging factors have this fall shaping up to be the busiest estate planning season since 2012:  1) potentially depressed valuation of assets and businesses; 2) historically low interest rates; and, 3) uncertainty regarding the political administration going forward. Let's delve a little deeper into these three factors.

Potentially Depressed Valuations

At its core, the valuation of a business consists of three assumptions: cash flow, risk and growth.  Cash flow can be defined as the expected earnings of a business into the future.  With no certainty of the future, historical performance and recent performance can serve as a starting point for those future expectations.  The second assumption is risk: what are the risks that the company faces to achieve those expected cash flows?  Risks can be internal such as labor and management or risks can be external such as the economy or competition.  The final assumption to valuation is growth:  how are cash flows expected to grow in the future?

All three of these valuation assumptions have been threatened by the pandemic.  Recent cash flow has been threatened for most industries, not just the hospitality, retail, and restaurant industries.  Certainly, for businesses, operating and economic risks have increased during the pandemic.  As far as growth and recovery, we’ve all gotten an education into the alphabet soup of recovery:  can the recovery for the general economy be described as v-shaped, u-shaped, w-shaped, k-shaped, or some other letter?

Historically Low Interest Rates

Those familiar with the concepts of finance and valuation also understand the relationship between interest rates and value.  Generally, as interest rates (and risk) increase, the value of the asset decreases and vice versa.  The pandemic and summer/fall of 2020 has created a unique opportunity regarding interest rates, as the Fed has brought rates to near zero in order to combat the pandemic.

How are interest rates used in estate planning?  Attorneys utilize many structures when seeking to transfer family wealth from one generation to the next:  Grantor Retained Annuity Trusts (GRATs), Charitable Remainder Unified Trusts (CRUTs), installment sales, interfamily loans, and many other structures.  Most of these structures utilize some form of a note/loan between family members.  Under current tax law, a family member could not make an interest-free loan to a child or grandchild without that portion of the loan being considered as a taxable gift.  To shield that portion of the loan from being a taxable gift, the loan must carry a stated interest rate.  The IRS establishes guidelines for these interest rates in the form of Applicable Federal Rates (AFRs), which are determined monthly by the U.S. Treasury.  The mid-term AFR rates have been historically low, and below 1% for most of 2020.

The mid-term AFR rates have been historically low, and below 1% for most of 2020.

How do low AFRs assist in estate planning?  In addition to satisfying the IRS’ requirement so that the interest portion of the loan will not be treated as a gift, the lower level of AFRs should motivate estate planning this fall.  Often, the structures that attorneys use in this form of planning (discussed above) depend on the cash flow from the asset being transferred (perhaps an operational business as an example) to fund the debt service in connection with the loan.  In times of lower AFRs, the debt service is reduced, and it’s easier for the cash flow from the asset to cover the debt service.  Additionally, the success of these transfer vehicles is usually dependent on the potential growth and appreciation in value of that asset after it is transferred to the next generation.  With historically low AFRs and greater expected rates of return on the transferred assets, there are potential arbitrage opportunities on the spread of those returns.

Uncertain Political Climate

The fall of 2020 brings with it the national election season, and along with it, potential political change.  Two important tax provisions that affect estate planning are at stake:  the estate tax credit and the step-up basis for tax treatment.  The current estate tax credit is $11.6 million per individual, meaning a married couple can shield and pass an estate worth $23.2 million ($11.6 million times two) to their heirs without incurring estate taxes.  This provision is set to sunset in 2026 and will return to an amount of $5 million-plus inflation adjustments, expected to settle at a figure between $6 - $7 million per individual.  At those levels, the unified estate tax credit limit for couples would lower by approximately $9.2 million, resulting in a greater pool of family estates that would be subject to estate taxes.  If a new party wins the White House this fall, this provision could be debated and potentially changed sooner than 2026.

Two important tax provisions that affect estate planning are at stake.

A second tax provision that aids in estate planning could also be in jeopardy this fall.  Among the pillars of Vice President Joe Biden’s proposed tax plan is the elimination of the step-up basis for taxation.  Under current U.S. tax laws, the assets of an estate pass to their heirs at a tax value established at death (or alternate date of valuation).  The value is transferred to their heirs at this established value at death or a stepped-up basis.  Biden’s proposed tax plan would eliminate this step-up basis.  Consider an estate portfolio with a value of $10 million and a tax basis of $2 million.  Under the current unified estate tax credit, the portfolio example would not be subject to estate taxes and would transfer to the heirs at a stepped-up basis of $10 million.  If the step-up basis was eliminated, the portfolio would transfer to the heirs at a basis of $2 million and would also be taxed on the imbedded capital gains of $8 million.  There are also discussions that a change in power in the White House could also lead to increases in the capital gains tax rates, which are currently set at 15-20%.  Increased capital gains tax rates and the elimination of the step-up basis could greatly diminish the value of a family’s portfolio at the death of the patriarch/matriarch.

Unique Estate Planning Opportunities in Auto Dealer Industry Today

As discussed above, this fall brings a unique opportunity for owners in the auto dealership industry to capitalize on low interest rates for planning tools and potentially lower valuations of the underlying assets being transferred.  Last week’s blog covered the market’s update on Blue Sky multiples.  Despite market optimism, valuation and blue sky multiples of auto dealerships are still very specific to the individual dealership and consider their unique conditions including financial performance, competition, and local economic conditions among other factors.

In a previous Family Business Director blog post, colleague Travis Harms also discussed the impact of real estate on estate planning.  It’s very common for the operations of the dealership to be contained in one entity and the real estate where the dealership resides to be contained in a separate asset holding company.  Often when owners of auto dealerships desire to transfer their wealth/assets to the next generation, they may have children that are active in the business and they may have children that are not active in the business.  We have consulted with owners on a strategy to gift interests in the operating business to the active children and interests in the real estate holding company to the non-active children.  Owners/parents often view this strategy as equitable to their children and seek to reward/incentivize the active children with a direct interest in the operations of the dealership.

Conclusion

Now is a unique time, rife with estate planning opportunities with potentially lower valuation of assets, historically low interest rates, and changing political winds.  Seek qualified professionals to assist you with your estate planning, from the attorneys determining and drafting the plan to the valuation professional providing the valuation.  Not all valuations and valuation professionals are created equally.  The role of all of the professionals in your estate planning process should be to protect the integrity of the proposed transaction.  Often when these transactions are challenged, they are challenged based on the formation factors or the quality/conclusion of the valuation.  Contact a professional at Mercer Capital to assist you and your attorney with your valuation needs involving your estate planning.  Mercer Capital has extensive experience providing valuations for estate planning and valuations specific to the auto dealership industry.

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The Role of the Third Appraiser
The Role of the Third Appraiser
After watching some controversial calls unfold this past weekend during the NFL playoffs, I couldn’t help but draw the correlation between throwing the challenge flag and looking for a third appraiser. Overtime in a playoff game, win or go home, the situation is as intense as it gets. Similarly, when a buy-sell agreement calls for a third appraiser, the stakes are high and it is fairly late in the game.
January 2026 | Making Buy-Sell Agreements Work: Valuation Mechanisms and Drafting Pitfalls
Value Matters® January 2026

Making Buy-Sell Agreements Work: Valuation Mechanisms and Drafting Pitfalls

Executive SummaryBuy-sell agreements are a cornerstone of planning for closely held businesses and family enterprises. Advisors spend significant time addressing ownership transitions, funding mechanisms, and tax considerations. Yet despite their importance, valuation provisions in buy-sell agreements are often treated as secondary drafting issues. Too often, they are boilerplate clauses that receive far less scrutiny than they deserve. When buy-sell agreements fail, valuation provisions are often the root cause.This article is the first in a two-part series examining how buy-sell agreements function in practice and why so many fall short of their intended purpose. Part I focuses on the valuation mechanisms commonly used in buy-sell agreements – fixed price, formula pricing, and appraisal-based processes – and explains the structural weaknesses that often undermine them. Drawing on our extensive valuation experience, we offer a practical framework for designing valuation provisions that are more likely to produce fair, predictable, and workable outcomes when a triggering event occurs.Part II will address what is required for buy-sell agreement pricing to be used to fix the value for gift and estate tax matters, including the requirements of Internal Revenue Code §2703 and guidance from key court cases such as Estate of Huffman and Connelly. Together, these articles are intended to help estate planners move beyond theoretical drafting and toward buy-sell agreements that withstand both real-world and IRS scrutiny.Common Buy-Sell Valuation MechanismsMost buy-sell agreements fall into one of four categories based on how price is determined:Fixed priceFormula pricingMultiple appraiser processSingle appraiser processEach approach has perceived advantages, but each also carries structural weaknesses that estate planners should carefully evaluate.Fixed-Price AgreementsFixed-price buy-sell agreements establish a specific dollar value for the business or ownership interests based on the owners’ agreement at a point in time. Their appeal lies in simplicity. The price is clear, easily understood, and inexpensive to administer. In theory, fixed-price agreements encourage owners to revisit and reaffirm value periodically.In practice, however, fixed prices are rarely updated with sufficient frequency. As the business evolves, the fixed price may become materially understated, overstated, or – by coincidence – approximately correct. The fundamental problem is not the use of a fixed price, but the absence of a reliable and consistently followed process for updating it. When the price becomes stale, incentives become misaligned. An unrealistically low price benefits the remaining owners, while an inflated price benefits the exiting owner. These distortions undermine fairness and often surface only after a triggering event, when renegotiation is least likely to succeed.Formula Price AgreementsFormula pricing agreements determine value by applying a predefined calculation, often based on financial statement metrics such as EBITDA multiples, book value, or shareholders’ equity. These agreements are frequently viewed as more objective than fixed prices and are attractive because they appear to adjust automatically as financial results change.The perceived precision of formulas is often illusory. Over time, changes in the business model, capital structure, accounting practices, or industry conditions can render a once-reasonable formula obsolete. Even when formulas are recalculated mechanically, they may fail to reflect economic reality (book value as a formula is a prime example of this). More importantly, most formula agreements lack guidance on when or how the formula itself should be revisited. Without periodic reassessment, formula pricing can embed significant inequities into the agreement while giving shareholders a false sense of certainty of fairness. Formula price agreements also fail to account for any non-operating assets that may have accumulated on the balance sheet. Valuation Process AgreementsValuation process agreements defer the determination of price until a triggering event occurs and rely on professional appraisers to establish value at that time. These agreements generally fall into two categories: multiple appraiser processes and single appraiser processes.Multiple Appraiser ProcessUnder a multiple appraiser process, each side appoints its own appraiser to value the business following a triggering event. If the resulting valuations differ beyond a specified threshold, the agreement typically calls for the appointment of a third appraiser to resolve the difference or render a binding conclusion.While this approach is intended to ensure fairness through balanced input, it often introduces uncertainty, delay, and cost. The final price, timing, and expense of the process are unknown at the outset. In addition, even well-intentioned appraisers may be perceived as advocates for the parties who selected them, complicating negotiations and eroding confidence in the outcome. For family-owned businesses in particular, the multiple appraiser process can unintentionally escalate conflict at a sensitive moment.Single Appraiser ProcessUnder a single appraiser process, one valuation firm is designated, either in advance or at the time of a triggering event, to perform a valuation. This approach is generally more efficient and cost-effective and avoids dueling opinions. When valuations are performed periodically, it can also make outcomes more predictable well before a triggering event occurs. Its effectiveness, however, depends entirely on careful advance planning and drafting.A More Effective Framework: “Single Appraiser: Select Now, Value Now and Annually (or Periodically) Thereafter”Given the shortcomings of traditional valuation mechanisms, is it possible to design a buy-sell valuation process that reliably produces reasonable outcomes? We believe it is.Based on extensive buy-sell agreement related valuation experience, we recommend a framework built on three principles: selecting the appraiser in advance, exercising the valuation process before a triggering event, and careful drafting of the valuation language in the agreement. 1. Retain an Appraiser NowEstate planners and other attorneys who draft buy-sell agreements should encourage clients to retain a qualified business appraiser at the outset, rather than waiting for a triggering event. Conducting an initial valuation transforms abstract agreement language into a concrete report that shareholders can review, understand, and question. This process reveals ambiguities in the agreement, clarifies expectations, and allows revisions to be made when no party knows whether they will ultimately be a buyer or a seller.This “Single Appraiser: Select Now, Value Now and Annually (or Periodically) Thereafter” approach offers several advantages:The valuation process is known and observed in advanceThe appraiser’s independence is established before any economic conflict arisesValuation methodologies and assumptions are understood by all partiesThe initial valuation becomes the operative price until updated or conditions changeAmbiguities in valuation language are identified and corrected earlyFuture valuations are more efficient, consistent, and less contentious2. Update the Valuation Annually or PeriodicallyStatic valuation mechanisms do not work in a dynamic business environment. Annual or periodic valuation updates help align expectations and reduce the likelihood of surprise or dissatisfaction when a triggering event occurs. In practice, disputes are more often driven by unmet expectations than by the absolute level of value. Regular valuations promote transparency and reduce friction.3. Draft Precise Valuation LanguageEven the best valuation process can fail if the agreement lacks clarity. Attorneys drafting buy-sell agreements should ensure that the agreements address, at a minimum:Standard of value (e.g., fair market value vs. fair value)Level of value (enterprise vs. interest level; treatment of discounts)Valuation date (“as of” date)Funding mechanismAppraiser qualifications (making certain to use business appraiser qualifications. For example, a “certified appraiser” refers to a real estate appraiser, rather than a business valuation expert.) Applicable appraisal standardsAmbiguity on any of these points materially increases the risk of divergent interpretations and unsuccessful outcomes.ConclusionBuy-sell agreements fail not because valuation is inherently subjective, but because valuation provisions are often left ambiguous, untested, or static. Estate planners and other attorneys who draft buy-sell agreements play a critical role in preventing these failures. By selecting appraisers in advance, exercising valuation processes periodically, and carefully drafting valuation language, advisors can dramatically improve the likelihood that a buy-sell agreement will function as intended.When valuation mechanisms are designed with the same rigor as tax and estate plans, buy-sell agreements can become durable planning tools capable of delivering predictability, fairness, and continuity when they are needed most. And the buy-sell agreement pricing may even be able to be used to fix the value for gift and estate tax filings. We will discuss this in Part II.For advisors who want to delve deeper into valuation concepts, planning strategies, and practical applications in estate and business succession planning, we recommend Buy-Sell Agreements: Valuation Handbook for Attorneys by Z. Christopher Mercer, FASA, CFA, ABAR (American Bar Association), written by our firm’s founder and Chairman. This book offers a thorough treatment of valuation issues and provides example language for consideration by attorneys when drafting buy-sell agreements that contain language important to the valuation process.
December 2025 SAAR
December 2025 SAAR
The U.S. auto industry closed 2025 with modest sequential improvement, surpassing 16 million units for the first time since 2019. While volumes stabilized late in the year, continued year-over-year declines, rising incentives, and uneven inventory levels across brands highlight a market that is normalizing rather than accelerating. As the industry moves into 2026, disciplined inventory management and margin preservation will be critical drivers of dealer performance and franchise value.

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