Corporate Valuation, Oil & Gas
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November 14, 2016

Quick Facts: Permian Basin

Over the past few weeks, we have discussed the increase in M&A activity in the Permian and looked at specific characteristics that make the Permian attractive in a low price environment.  Today, we take a step back and review the broad characteristics of the Permian Basin. Download this information in a convenient PDF at the bottom of this post.

Permian at a Glance

First Discovered1920
Discovery as Viable PlayBegan in 1923, declined post 1970s, increased again after 2007
Primary ProductionOil
Oil TypeSweet, Light Crude
PlayConventional & Unconventional Plays
DrillingVertical (traditionally), Horizontal (81% of recent drilling) and Multi-Stage Hydraulic Fracturing
Top 3 Production CompaniesOccidental, Pioneer, Apache
Breakeven$25 – $63 per barrel 1
Abnormal DUCs433 2
Production Since 20077,156 MMBOE 3
IssuesCheapest Oil Has Already Been Produced
PotentialImproving Technology, Easy Entry, Stacked Play Efficiency, Low Service & Transport Costs, & Under-Explored Layers
1 Bloomberg Intelligence county-level estimates 2 Drilled Uncompleted Wells with > 3 months in inventory as of January 2016; also referred to as fraclog (Bloomberg Intelligence) 3 EIA as of June 2016

Overview of Permian Basin

Stretching over 86,000 sq. miles in western Texas and New Mexico, the Permian Basin is the most productive formation in the U.S. Since 2007, new technologies have created a boom in the region by increasing the production of old wells and enabling drilling in previously underdeveloped geological layers. In the current low price environment, Permian production has been affected less than other large U.S. reserves.

permian-basin-map

Geography & Drilling

The Permian Basin produces from a variety of geological formations. These formations are layered on top of each other, creating stacked reservoirs of limestone, sandstone, and shale. For decades, wells have targeted conventional, permeable reservoir layers that trap oil and gas produced primarily in the shale layers. Recently developed enhanced extraction techniques have maintained these reservoirs’ outputs. However, since 2007, hydraulic fracturing targeting the less permeable tight sand and shale layers has driven over 60% of new production growth. Many of these new wells are “stacked plays” that capitalize on the region’s layered geography by exploiting multiple producing zones (conventional and unconventional) from one surface drill point. The Permian is divided into basins such as the Delaware Basin and Midland Basin which are further divided into zones, or stacks, such as the Wolfcamp, Spraberry, Clearfork, Avalon, and Bone Springs.

Issues & Future Potential

The easiest, cheapest oil and gas to extract from the Permian Basin was produced long ago making many areas uneconomical to produce at low oil prices. However, Permian wells tend to be more efficient than pure shale plays because they drill through many productive layers. For example, Wolfcamp wells are estimated by Bloomberg Intelligence to have the lowest break-even point of any U.S. shale oil play. The Permian will benefit from continued technological advances, development of less-known, potentially productive layers, and an abundance of low cost support services and pipelines.

Permian Production

permian-basin-oil-gas-production Baker Hughes collects and publishes information regarding active drilling rigs in the United States and internationally. The number of active rigs is used as a key indicator of demand for oilfield services & equipment.  However, rig counts can be misleading if not considered along with production. Rig counts in the Permian drastically decreased in late 2014 and throughout 2015. However, production did not experience the same decline. This demonstrates that producers with average or poor locations, higher costs, and inefficiencies were forced out of the market, while those with good locations and lower costs continued to drill for oil and gas in the Permian.
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Quick Facts: Permian Basin

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Defying the Cycle: Haynesville Production Strength in a Shifting Gas Market
Defying the Cycle: Haynesville Production Strength in a Shifting Gas Market
Haynesville shale production defied broader market softness in 2025, leading major U.S. basins with double-digit year-over-year growth despite heightened volatility and sub-cycle drilling activity. Efficiency gains, DUC drawdowns, and Gulf Coast demand dynamics allowed operators to sustain output even as natural gas prices fluctuated sharply.
Haynesville Shale M&A Update: 2025 in Review
Haynesville Shale M&A Update: 2025 in Review
Key TakeawaysHaynesville remains a strategic LNG-linked basin. 2025 transactions emphasized long-duration natural gas exposure and proximity to Gulf Coast export infrastructure, reinforcing the basin’s importance in meeting global LNG demand.International utilities drove much of the activity. Japanese power and gas companies pursued direct upstream ownership, signaling a shift from traditional offtake agreements toward greater control over U.S. gas supply.M&A was selective but meaningful in scale and intent. While overall deal volume was limited, announced transactions and reported negotiations reflected deliberate, long-term positioning rather than opportunistic shale consolidation.OverviewM&A activity in the Haynesville Shale during 2025 was marked by strategic, LNG-linked transactions and renewed international investor interest in U.S. natural gas assets. While investors remained selective relative to prior shale upcycles, transactions that did occur reflected a clear pattern: buyers focused on long-duration gas exposure, scale, and proximity to Gulf Coast export markets rather than short-term development upside.Producers and capital providers increasingly refocused efforts on the Haynesville basin during the year, including raising capital to acquire both operating assets and mineral positions. This renewed attention followed a period of subdued transaction activity and underscored the basin’s continued relevance within global natural gas portfolios.Although the Haynesville did not experience the breadth of consolidation seen in some oil-weighted plays, the size, counterparties, and strategic motivations behind 2025 transactions reinforced the basin’s role as a long-term supply source for LNG-linked demand.Announced Upstream TransactionsTokyo Gas (TG Natural Resources) / ChevronIn April 2025, Tokyo Gas Co., through its U.S. joint venture TG Natural Resources, entered into an agreement to acquire a 70% interest in Chevron’s East Texas natural gas assets for $525 million. The assets include significant Haynesville exposure and were acquired through a combination of cash consideration and capital commitments.The transaction was characterized as part of Tokyo Gas’s broader strategy to secure long-term U.S. natural gas supply and expand its upstream footprint. The deal reflects a growing trend among international utilities to obtain direct exposure to U.S. shale gas through ownership interests rather than relying solely on long-term offtake contracts or third-party supply arrangements.From an M&A perspective, the transaction highlights continued willingness among major operators to monetize non-core or minority positions while retaining operational involvement, and it underscores the Haynesville’s attractiveness to buyers with a long-term, strategic view of gas demand.JERA / Williams & GEP Haynesville IIIn October 2025, JERA Co., Japan’s largest power generator, announced an agreement to acquire Haynesville shale gas production assets from Williams Companies and GEP Haynesville II, a joint venture between GeoSouthern Energy and Blackstone. The transaction was valued at approximately $1.5 billion.This acquisition marked JERA’s first direct investment in U.S. shale gas production, representing a notable expansion of the company’s upstream exposure and reinforcing JERA’s interest in securing supply from regions with strong connectivity to U.S. LNG export infrastructure.This transaction further illustrates the appeal of the Haynesville to international buyers seeking stable, scalable gas assets and highlights the role of upstream M&A as a tool for portfolio diversification among global utilities and energy companies.Reported Negotiations (Not Announced)Mitsubishi / Aethon Energy ManagementIn June 2025, Reuters reported that Mitsubishi Corp. was in discussions to acquire Aethon Energy Management, a privately held operator with substantial Haynesville production and midstream assets. The potential transaction was reported to be valued at approximately $8 billion, though Reuters emphasized that talks were ongoing and that no deal had been finalized at the time.While the transaction was not announced during 2025, the reported discussions were notable for both their scale and the identity of the potential buyer. Aethon has long been viewed as one of the largest private platforms in the Haynesville, and any transaction involving the company would represent a significant consolidation event within the basin.The reported talks underscored the depth of international interest in Haynesville-oriented platforms and highlighted the potential for large-scale transactions even in an otherwise measured M&A environment.ConclusionWhile overall deal volume remained selective, the transactions and reported negotiations in 2025 reflected sustained global interest in U.S. natural gas assets with long-term relevance. Collectively, the transactions and negotiations discussed above point to a Haynesville M&A landscape driven less by opportunistic consolidation and more by deliberate, long-term positioning. As global energy portfolios continue to evolve, the Haynesville basin remains a focal point for strategic investment, particularly for buyers seeking exposure tied to U.S. natural gas supply and LNG export linkages.
Mineral Aggregator Valuation Multiples Study Released-Data as of 06-11-2025
Mineral Aggregator Valuation Multiples Study Released

With Market Data as of June 11, 2025

Mercer Capital has thoughtfully analyzed the corporate and capital structures of the publicly traded mineral aggregators to derive meaningful indications of enterprise value. We have also calculated valuation multiples based on a variety of metrics, including distributions and reserves, as well as earnings and production on both a historical and forward-looking basis.

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