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November 7, 2018

Four Key Takeaways from NARO 2018

I recently attended the 38th Annual National Association of Royalty Owners (NARO) National Convention in Denver, Colorado. NARO is an organization that represents the interests of oil and gas royalty owners. The group promotes education and collaboration among its members for royalty owners to better understand their minerals, what goes into the royalty checks they receive, and the future of both production and legislation for the energy industry.

The conference had educated speakers who talked on a broad range of topics, and the fast-paced and engaging lectures tied together nicely. Royalty owners learned about laws and court cases currently impacting other areas that could affect them in the future. They also learned about the future of production and consumption both in the U.S. and abroad. Additionally, speakers discussed how critical phrasing included (or not included) in their lease can have an impact on the royalties they receive and the importance of advocating on their own behalf. There were even more topics discussed, some of which could have their own blog posts devoted to them, but below are the key takeaways I drew from the conference.

1. Regional Regulation and Legislation Doesn’t Stay Regional

A panel on Thursday discussed current legislative initiatives in various regions of the U.S., such as a court case in Pennsylvania (Briggs v. Southwestern Energy Prod. Co. 2017) currently dealing with the rule of capture. The rule of capture means that the first person to “capture” or extract oil from the ground is the owner of the resource.

[caption id="attachment_22968" align="alignnone" width="404"]

Source: Marcellus Drilling News[/caption] As illustrated in the above picture, sources of oil do not fall along property lines. Even if the oil comes from a common pool that extends to another property owner’s land, common law currently says the resource belongs to whoever can extract it. The court case in Pennsylvania is challenging this ruling, as it grapples with whether or not the “extraordinary means” associated with hydraulic fracturing could cause this means of production to be deemed trespassing. In other words, because fracking requires significantly more effort to extract the oil and could pose more environmental concerns, the impact it could cause to a neighbor’s property may mean that the extraction of oil that crosses property lines could be trespassing. Another big topic was Colorado’s Prop 112 that could increase setback measures to the detriment of royalty owners in the region. As it turns out, this Proposition was defeated 57% to 43%. Regardless of the outcome of these court cases and legislative initiatives, one thing became clear at the conference: rules and regulations, like drilling, have the ability to cross borders, whether they are state lines or property lines.

2. Net Exports Doesn’t Equal Independence

Dr. Mark Cronshaw is a natural resource economist with vast experience in the industry. He discussed different ways in which energy is produced and consumed in different plays and regions in the country as well as across the globe. Of particular note, he spoke on the notion of energy independence. We can view this through the following equation:

Imports/(Exports) = Consumption - Production

For a long time, consumption has outpaced production, requiring imports to balance the equation. However, with consumption flat and increasing production, it is anticipated that production will surpass consumption in 2022, making the U.S. a net energy exporter. Keep in mind that becoming a net energy exporter does not necessarily equate to energy independence. While horizontal drilling and fracking have had a profound impact on U.S. production, exports of LNG, coal, gasoline, etc., are vital for the economy. The U.S. may produce more than it consumes, but trade is still necessary, meaning true “independence” is unlikely.

3. What’s in Your Lease and Maybe More Importantly, What Isn’t

James Holmes, Esq. is an attorney in the Dallas area with diverse experience in oil and gas litigation, operation, and investment. He spoke on post-production deductions (PPDs), which is a continuous cause of concern for royalty owners. As we discussed a while back, PPDs are the expenses incurred in order to get the gas from the wellhead to market, such as gathering, compressing, processing, marketing, dehydrating, and transporting. Royalty owners benefit when their royalty percentage is applied to the ultimate price achieved when the gas is sold in the market. However, the oil and gas companies who bear the costs of making the product marketable would prefer to deduct the expenses they incur after extracting the gas. The laws governing the deductibility of post-production expenses are different depending on location.
Compared to Texas trend states, Oklahoma trend states tend to be more favorable to royalty owners.

Compared to Texas trend states, Oklahoma trend states tend to be more favorable to royalty owners, as they do not allow PPDs by default. Royalty owners are protected by common law in these states, whereas Texas trend states get their best protection from well-crafted lease agreements.

If a lease in a Texas trend state uses the phrase “at the well,” that means the price on which the royalty percentage will be applied is the value of production when first taken out of the ground, or “at the well.” This is before it makes its way to a refiner, where the value will ultimately be higher. Even with clauses in a lease that specifically restrict PPDs, the phrase “at the well” can act like Pacman, gobbling up all helpful clauses and leaving royalty owners with less money on their royalty checks.

The differences in the two trends and the states that follow each are enumerated in the table below:

While Mr. Holmes emphasized handling these issues up front, particularly in Texas trend states, we learned from another speaker that sometimes implicit beats explicit. It seems obvious that a lease contract should have everything spelled out to protect the royalty owners, but John McArthur talked about implied covenants and how they can help. Implied covenants date back to a court case in 1905 that stated, “a covenant arising by necessary principle is as much a part of the contract—is as effectually a part of its term—as if it had been plainly expressed.” Just because something isn’t explicitly stated, doesn’t mean a producer can give royalty owners the short end of the stick. In general, they must act as a prudent operator and in good faith, along with the other main implied covenants listed below.

4. Royalty Owners Need to be Self Advocates

Many royalty owners have reaped the benefits of consistent and long-lasting production. Mineral interests tend to be passed down from one generation to the next, which distances current owners from the process that was involved with negotiating the original lease. Economic and personal circumstances change, however, and this can leave royalty owners looking for a better lease arrangement.

Frequently, leases are held by production meaning once an E&P company has drilled on the property, their lease will continue as long as they continue to produce. At a certain point, further production at a well may become disadvantageous to an operator if they cannot get a good enough price in the market. The location can also be depleted to the point that it is more expensive to produce than it would be in other areas.

As the saying goes, “the squeaky wheel gets the oil.”

Even if E&P companies don’t intend to produce any more, however, they are not motivated to terminate a lease. The end of a lease requires companies to incur expenses that do not produce revenue, like cleaning up and leaving the site. Additionally, when a company loses access to a reserve, it is removed from the company’s balance sheet. Although production of a reserve is not economical, removal from the balance sheet can impact a key metric used to assess a firm’s value in the marketplace.

Therefore, the onus is on the royalty owner to terminate a lease, which can be done if there is not production in paying quantities (an implied covenant from Garcia v. King 1942). Additionally, royalty owners can also negotiate a new lease for new production in untapped zones, even if the acreage is leased, if the current operator is unable to reach these zones. As the saying goes, “the squeaky wheel gets the oil.”

Conclusion

These takeaways are only some of the topics that were discussed at the NARO 2018 Convention, which provided an excellent platform for new attendees to become informed about the industry while still being beneficial to more experienced people who have been attending the conference for years. Going for the first time myself, I certainly learned about the issues that impact royalty owners most.

In order to fully understand the operations of a business, an analyst must have knowledge of all aspects of the industry. Mercer Capital has over 20 years of experience valuing assets and companies in the oil and gas industry. We have valued companies and minority interests in companies servicing the E&P industry and assisted clients with various valuation and cash flow issues regarding royalty interests.  Contact one of our oil and gas professionals today to discuss your needs in confidence.

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Defying the Cycle: Haynesville Production Strength in a Shifting Gas Market
Defying the Cycle: Haynesville Production Strength in a Shifting Gas Market
Haynesville shale production defied broader market softness in 2025, leading major U.S. basins with double-digit year-over-year growth despite heightened volatility and sub-cycle drilling activity. Efficiency gains, DUC drawdowns, and Gulf Coast demand dynamics allowed operators to sustain output even as natural gas prices fluctuated sharply.
Haynesville Shale M&A Update: 2025 in Review
Haynesville Shale M&A Update: 2025 in Review
Key TakeawaysHaynesville remains a strategic LNG-linked basin. 2025 transactions emphasized long-duration natural gas exposure and proximity to Gulf Coast export infrastructure, reinforcing the basin’s importance in meeting global LNG demand.International utilities drove much of the activity. Japanese power and gas companies pursued direct upstream ownership, signaling a shift from traditional offtake agreements toward greater control over U.S. gas supply.M&A was selective but meaningful in scale and intent. While overall deal volume was limited, announced transactions and reported negotiations reflected deliberate, long-term positioning rather than opportunistic shale consolidation.OverviewM&A activity in the Haynesville Shale during 2025 was marked by strategic, LNG-linked transactions and renewed international investor interest in U.S. natural gas assets. While investors remained selective relative to prior shale upcycles, transactions that did occur reflected a clear pattern: buyers focused on long-duration gas exposure, scale, and proximity to Gulf Coast export markets rather than short-term development upside.Producers and capital providers increasingly refocused efforts on the Haynesville basin during the year, including raising capital to acquire both operating assets and mineral positions. This renewed attention followed a period of subdued transaction activity and underscored the basin’s continued relevance within global natural gas portfolios.Although the Haynesville did not experience the breadth of consolidation seen in some oil-weighted plays, the size, counterparties, and strategic motivations behind 2025 transactions reinforced the basin’s role as a long-term supply source for LNG-linked demand.Announced Upstream TransactionsTokyo Gas (TG Natural Resources) / ChevronIn April 2025, Tokyo Gas Co., through its U.S. joint venture TG Natural Resources, entered into an agreement to acquire a 70% interest in Chevron’s East Texas natural gas assets for $525 million. The assets include significant Haynesville exposure and were acquired through a combination of cash consideration and capital commitments.The transaction was characterized as part of Tokyo Gas’s broader strategy to secure long-term U.S. natural gas supply and expand its upstream footprint. The deal reflects a growing trend among international utilities to obtain direct exposure to U.S. shale gas through ownership interests rather than relying solely on long-term offtake contracts or third-party supply arrangements.From an M&A perspective, the transaction highlights continued willingness among major operators to monetize non-core or minority positions while retaining operational involvement, and it underscores the Haynesville’s attractiveness to buyers with a long-term, strategic view of gas demand.JERA / Williams & GEP Haynesville IIIn October 2025, JERA Co., Japan’s largest power generator, announced an agreement to acquire Haynesville shale gas production assets from Williams Companies and GEP Haynesville II, a joint venture between GeoSouthern Energy and Blackstone. The transaction was valued at approximately $1.5 billion.This acquisition marked JERA’s first direct investment in U.S. shale gas production, representing a notable expansion of the company’s upstream exposure and reinforcing JERA’s interest in securing supply from regions with strong connectivity to U.S. LNG export infrastructure.This transaction further illustrates the appeal of the Haynesville to international buyers seeking stable, scalable gas assets and highlights the role of upstream M&A as a tool for portfolio diversification among global utilities and energy companies.Reported Negotiations (Not Announced)Mitsubishi / Aethon Energy ManagementIn June 2025, Reuters reported that Mitsubishi Corp. was in discussions to acquire Aethon Energy Management, a privately held operator with substantial Haynesville production and midstream assets. The potential transaction was reported to be valued at approximately $8 billion, though Reuters emphasized that talks were ongoing and that no deal had been finalized at the time.While the transaction was not announced during 2025, the reported discussions were notable for both their scale and the identity of the potential buyer. Aethon has long been viewed as one of the largest private platforms in the Haynesville, and any transaction involving the company would represent a significant consolidation event within the basin.The reported talks underscored the depth of international interest in Haynesville-oriented platforms and highlighted the potential for large-scale transactions even in an otherwise measured M&A environment.ConclusionWhile overall deal volume remained selective, the transactions and reported negotiations in 2025 reflected sustained global interest in U.S. natural gas assets with long-term relevance. Collectively, the transactions and negotiations discussed above point to a Haynesville M&A landscape driven less by opportunistic consolidation and more by deliberate, long-term positioning. As global energy portfolios continue to evolve, the Haynesville basin remains a focal point for strategic investment, particularly for buyers seeking exposure tied to U.S. natural gas supply and LNG export linkages.
Mineral Aggregator Valuation Multiples Study Released-Data as of 06-11-2025
Mineral Aggregator Valuation Multiples Study Released

With Market Data as of June 11, 2025

Mercer Capital has thoughtfully analyzed the corporate and capital structures of the publicly traded mineral aggregators to derive meaningful indications of enterprise value. We have also calculated valuation multiples based on a variety of metrics, including distributions and reserves, as well as earnings and production on both a historical and forward-looking basis.

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