Corporate Valuation, Oil & Gas

December 2, 2022

Themes from Q3 2022 Earnings Calls

Part 2: Oilfield Service Companies

In a previous post, we highlighted common themes from OFS companies’ Q2 earnings calls, which included the role of OFS in energy security, OFS operators’ focus on margins rather than market share, and industry optimism.  In last week’s post, we noted common themes from E&P companies, including a continued focus on share buybacks, moderate production growth, and the effects of inflation.  This week we focus on the key takeaways from the OFS operators’ Q3 2022 earnings calls.

Expanding Role of International Business Segments

A common theme among OFS operators included the prevalence of quarterly growth in international segments and expectations of continued optimism among international segments.  Executives noted that this growth is primarily driven by the need for updated oilfield equipment and technology outside the U.S.  Their optimism is further enhanced by the surging U.S. dollar’s effect on overseas freight costs and labor.  As broad-based activity increases tighten equipment availability, this will further drive price increases within global business segments.

  • “Over the last few months, we booked orders for equipment into the Middle East and Africa.  We’ll continue to selectively target international markets as we progress plans for more meaningful growth abroad.  On the supply chain front, transit times and overseas freight costs are improving…while a strengthening dollar further supports improving margins.”  – Scott Bender, CEO, Cactus Inc.
  • “Our third quarter performance demonstrates the strength of our strategy to deliver profitable international growth through improved pricing… International revenue in the third quarter for the C&P [Completion and Production] and D&E [Drilling and Evaluation] divisions grew year-over-year from a percentage standpoint in the high teens and mid-20s, respectively, which outpaced international rig count growth and reflects our competitiveness in all markets.  Our year-over-year growth and the margin expansion demonstrated by both divisions give me confidence in the earnings power of our international business.” Jeff Miller, Chairman & CEO, Halliburton Company
  • “I think international markets, in particular, have a long way to go in stepping up their technology that they apply in… in their drilling operations.” – Clay Williams, Chairman, President & CEO, NOV Inc.

The Suspected Result of Near-Term Market Tightness — Long-term Sustainable Growth for Oilfield Service Companies

OFS operators attributed expectations of steady and sustainable growth in their business to near-term tightness in the hydrocarbon commodity market.  Without an immediate fix to the current supply and demand imbalances, equilibrium in the global oil and gas commodity marketplace will require years of investment to level.  The imbalance may be further prolonged by E&P companies focusing on returning cash to shareholders.

  • “While broader market volatility is clear, what we see in our business is strong and growing demand for equipment and services.  There is no immediate solution to balance the world’s demand for secure and reliable oil and gas against its limited supply.  I believe that only multiple years of increased investment in existing and new sources of production will solve the short supply… [E&P operators’] commitments to investor returns require a measured approach to growth and investment.  Service companies follow the same discipline, delivering on their commitments to investor returns and taking a measured approach to growth and investment.  What I think is underappreciated is how this results in more sustainable growth and returns over a longer period of time.” – Jeff Miller, Chairman & CEO, Halliburton Company
  • “There’s very little used equipment that really can be refurbished economically, and what we’ve seen over the past year is more and more pressure pumpers in North America are pivoting towards buying new and the longevity and sort of the overall value offered by going to new versus used, I think, is a lot stronger.” – Clay Williams, Chairman, President & CEO, NOV Inc.
  • “And there’s some drill out rigs that, again, what a couple of our customers have said is that they wanted to --they were out of budget, they were out of wells to complete.  They wanted to stop that in kind of mid-Q4 and then pick them back up in Q1.  Now we’ve had demand that’s kind of been building up behind, and so most of those rigs have already been redeployed… We’re now in a situation where even though there was some budget exhaustion, those rigs are now being put to work.  And we know we have demand coming on the backside and 2023.” – Melissa Cougle, CFO, Ranger Energy Services Inc.

E&P Production Growth Plans Concentrated Amid Strict Budgets

As highlighted in a theme from last week’s post, domestic E&P production is expected to rise, albeit modestly.  This growth is concentrated among certain large contracts; though the top lines may indicate relatively gradual and steady growth across the board, production growth is more concentrated among certain E&P operator plans.  More generally, a limitation on broader growth for oilfield services companies in the near term is attributable to the E&P’s limited budgets.  Considering the fragmentation in domestic production plans, some OFS companies have sought growth through acquisitions.

  • “In terms of concentration, I’m going to guess that two-thirds — maybe a half to two-thirds — have to do with additions from our existing customers, which would be the publics and the other would be new logos.  So, I guess the short answer is, [plans for production growth are] certainly concentrated with the large publicly traded E&Ps, at least ours.” – Scott Bender, CEO, Cactus Inc.
  • “For the fourth quarter, we expect growing opportunities associated with our Completion & Production Solutions segment’s backlog to be mostly offset by certain projects that were pulled forward into the third quarter and supply chains that remain elongated, resulting in revenues that should be relatively flat.” – Jose Bayardo, SVP & CFO, NOV Inc.
  • “It is clear that our acquisitions executed last year are now delivering strong returns, demonstrating the value of our consolidation strategy for Ranger and for the sector more broadly.  The Ranger management team and board believe that consolidation remains an essential and ongoing process for the company within both existing and adjacent product lines.  And we continue to be actively engaged on this front.” – Stuart Bodden, CEO, Ranger Energy Services Inc.
Mercer Capital has its finger on the pulse of the OFS operator space.  As the oil and gas industry evolves through these pivotal times, we take a holistic perspective to bring you thoughtful analysis and commentary regarding the full hydrocarbon stream, including the ancillary service companies that help start and keep the stream flowing.  For more targeted energy sector analysis to meet your valuation needs, please contact the Mercer Capital Oil & Gas Team for further assistance.

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Defying the Cycle: Haynesville Production Strength in a Shifting Gas Market
Defying the Cycle: Haynesville Production Strength in a Shifting Gas Market
Haynesville shale production defied broader market softness in 2025, leading major U.S. basins with double-digit year-over-year growth despite heightened volatility and sub-cycle drilling activity. Efficiency gains, DUC drawdowns, and Gulf Coast demand dynamics allowed operators to sustain output even as natural gas prices fluctuated sharply.
Haynesville Shale M&A Update: 2025 in Review
Haynesville Shale M&A Update: 2025 in Review
Key TakeawaysHaynesville remains a strategic LNG-linked basin. 2025 transactions emphasized long-duration natural gas exposure and proximity to Gulf Coast export infrastructure, reinforcing the basin’s importance in meeting global LNG demand.International utilities drove much of the activity. Japanese power and gas companies pursued direct upstream ownership, signaling a shift from traditional offtake agreements toward greater control over U.S. gas supply.M&A was selective but meaningful in scale and intent. While overall deal volume was limited, announced transactions and reported negotiations reflected deliberate, long-term positioning rather than opportunistic shale consolidation.OverviewM&A activity in the Haynesville Shale during 2025 was marked by strategic, LNG-linked transactions and renewed international investor interest in U.S. natural gas assets. While investors remained selective relative to prior shale upcycles, transactions that did occur reflected a clear pattern: buyers focused on long-duration gas exposure, scale, and proximity to Gulf Coast export markets rather than short-term development upside.Producers and capital providers increasingly refocused efforts on the Haynesville basin during the year, including raising capital to acquire both operating assets and mineral positions. This renewed attention followed a period of subdued transaction activity and underscored the basin’s continued relevance within global natural gas portfolios.Although the Haynesville did not experience the breadth of consolidation seen in some oil-weighted plays, the size, counterparties, and strategic motivations behind 2025 transactions reinforced the basin’s role as a long-term supply source for LNG-linked demand.Announced Upstream TransactionsTokyo Gas (TG Natural Resources) / ChevronIn April 2025, Tokyo Gas Co., through its U.S. joint venture TG Natural Resources, entered into an agreement to acquire a 70% interest in Chevron’s East Texas natural gas assets for $525 million. The assets include significant Haynesville exposure and were acquired through a combination of cash consideration and capital commitments.The transaction was characterized as part of Tokyo Gas’s broader strategy to secure long-term U.S. natural gas supply and expand its upstream footprint. The deal reflects a growing trend among international utilities to obtain direct exposure to U.S. shale gas through ownership interests rather than relying solely on long-term offtake contracts or third-party supply arrangements.From an M&A perspective, the transaction highlights continued willingness among major operators to monetize non-core or minority positions while retaining operational involvement, and it underscores the Haynesville’s attractiveness to buyers with a long-term, strategic view of gas demand.JERA / Williams & GEP Haynesville IIIn October 2025, JERA Co., Japan’s largest power generator, announced an agreement to acquire Haynesville shale gas production assets from Williams Companies and GEP Haynesville II, a joint venture between GeoSouthern Energy and Blackstone. The transaction was valued at approximately $1.5 billion.This acquisition marked JERA’s first direct investment in U.S. shale gas production, representing a notable expansion of the company’s upstream exposure and reinforcing JERA’s interest in securing supply from regions with strong connectivity to U.S. LNG export infrastructure.This transaction further illustrates the appeal of the Haynesville to international buyers seeking stable, scalable gas assets and highlights the role of upstream M&A as a tool for portfolio diversification among global utilities and energy companies.Reported Negotiations (Not Announced)Mitsubishi / Aethon Energy ManagementIn June 2025, Reuters reported that Mitsubishi Corp. was in discussions to acquire Aethon Energy Management, a privately held operator with substantial Haynesville production and midstream assets. The potential transaction was reported to be valued at approximately $8 billion, though Reuters emphasized that talks were ongoing and that no deal had been finalized at the time.While the transaction was not announced during 2025, the reported discussions were notable for both their scale and the identity of the potential buyer. Aethon has long been viewed as one of the largest private platforms in the Haynesville, and any transaction involving the company would represent a significant consolidation event within the basin.The reported talks underscored the depth of international interest in Haynesville-oriented platforms and highlighted the potential for large-scale transactions even in an otherwise measured M&A environment.ConclusionWhile overall deal volume remained selective, the transactions and reported negotiations in 2025 reflected sustained global interest in U.S. natural gas assets with long-term relevance. Collectively, the transactions and negotiations discussed above point to a Haynesville M&A landscape driven less by opportunistic consolidation and more by deliberate, long-term positioning. As global energy portfolios continue to evolve, the Haynesville basin remains a focal point for strategic investment, particularly for buyers seeking exposure tied to U.S. natural gas supply and LNG export linkages.
Mineral Aggregator Valuation Multiples Study Released-Data as of 06-11-2025
Mineral Aggregator Valuation Multiples Study Released

With Market Data as of June 11, 2025

Mercer Capital has thoughtfully analyzed the corporate and capital structures of the publicly traded mineral aggregators to derive meaningful indications of enterprise value. We have also calculated valuation multiples based on a variety of metrics, including distributions and reserves, as well as earnings and production on both a historical and forward-looking basis.

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