Alternatives

July 1, 2024

E&P Third Quarter 2024

Appalachian Basin

Executive Summary

Appalachian production declined over the last twelve months due to reduced drilling activity, driven by low natural gas prices and high storage inventory. Consequently, Appalachian E&P stocks generally saw year-over-year price drops across the board.

Despite recent setbacks, there is optimism for 2025. EQT CFO Jeremy Knop mentioned that the Mountain Valley Pipeline (MVP) ramp-up should support Appalachian differentials. EQT also regained ownership of Equitrans Midstream Corp., operator of MVP’s 2 Bcf/d pipeline, key for future gas demand. Additionally, VettaFi Research highlighted that MVP’s start-up is easing takeaway constraints. Meanwhile, EOG Resources is making promising oil discoveries in Ohio’s Utica shale, with results competitive to the Permian basin

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Region Focus: Haynesville Shale

Overall, the Appalachian basin enters late-2025 on firmer footing than a year ago, characterized by stable production, recovering equity performance, and improving infrastructure fundamentals. Continued progress on export capacity and incremental LNG demand should provide a constructive backdrop for basin economics heading into 2026.
EP Fourth Quarter 2025 Haynesville
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The Haynesville demonstrated resilient performance in 2025, with production growth outpacing peer basins despite pronounced month-to-month volatility. Output gains were supported by efficiency improvements and DUC drawdowns, even as rig activity, while rebounding meaningfully from interim lows, remained well below prior cycle peaks. Natural gas front-month futures pricing provided episodic support for activity, with seasonal demand and tightening balances driving a late-year rally after summer weakness.
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