Corporate Valuation, Oil & Gas

November 1, 2021

Sharing Growth & Spotlight

Natural Gas & Renewables Join the D-CEO Awards Stage in Dallas

Mercer Capital’s energy team sponsored and attended the D-CEO 2021 Energy Awards in Dallas last week, October 26, 2021.  It was a great event and a good opportunity to connect with clients, peers, and industry leaders in the energy space.   Awards ranged from honoring top executives, including Scott Sheffield of Pioneer Energy, to private equity firm innovators like Pearl Energy Investments.

Oil, Natural Gas, and Renewables

The focus of the night was the interdisciplinary threads between oil, natural gas, and renewables.  “Sustainability and profitability are not mutually exclusive,” said Vikram Agrawal of EarthxCapital who participated on a panel alongside Joe Foran, CEO of Matador Resources.  According to the panelists, renewables and natural gas are to be watched as the energy mix needs evolve in the U.S. and around the world. As an example, natural gas fuels about 40% of our power in the U.S. according to Agrawal.

If the move goes towards more electrification, as illustrated by the news this week that Hertz has ordered 100,000 Tesla electric vehicles, there will be a need for 20% - 40% more power in the next 20 years.  As we’ve discussed before, the current trajectory of renewables appears unable to meet these demand growth needs.  Therefore, cleaner-burning natural gas will be a key contributor.  One panelist mentioned the  exception was hydrogen as a potential contributor.  Interestingly, this was echoed in comments on the latest Dallas Fed Energy Survey:  “The more I become educated on EVs [electric vehicles] and the charging and battery disposal problems, the more I think they will have little effect on the market in the future.  My investigation turns more toward the hydrogen cell as the long-term solution.”

No matter what the source, recent price growth suggests that more investments will be needed.  The panel also stated that oil and gas investment will drop 26% from pre-pandemic levels to $356 billion in 2021.  Various sources, including Exxon, suggest that this figure needs to increase to around $600 billion by 2040.

Optimism for investment opportunities was not limited to upstream, but also infrastructure, with nearly $18 trillion in investment opportunities for energy transmission alone.

Interesting Tidbits & Statistics

Within the theme of investment opportunities, renewables, and natural gas, several interesting factoids from the evening emerged (in no particular order):

1.Electric Vehicles and Charging Stations

    • How many electric vehicles are there for every charging station in the U.S.?
      • The current ratio is 17
      • Many think this ratio needs to be closer to 10 (there are about 42,000 charging stations in the U.S. right now – many at hotels and other overnight destinations)
      • The Biden Administration suggests we need 500,000. Agrawal thinks the real number is 1,000,000 to 1,500,000
2.Electric Cars Are Not a New Thing
    • Did you know that 120 years ago, nearly one-third of our cars were electric?  Granted there were only 4,000 cars at the time.  Did you also know that Thomas Edison invented the first electric-powered car?
3.Investment in the Space Is Picking Up
    • So far this year 35 SPACs acquired businesses worth $100 billion
4.   What Do “Net Zero” or “Carbon Offsets” Really Mean?
    • According to a Wall Street Journal article, only 5% of “carbon offsets” actually remove carbon.

Conclusion

Thanks to our clients, friends, and partners that we saw at the event.  It was fabulous and nostalgic to be getting out again!  And thanks to D-CEO for putting on a great event.  Until next time!

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Themes from the Q4 2025 Energy Earnings Calls
Themes from the Q4 2025 Energy Earnings Calls
Fourth quarter 2025 earnings calls suggest an industry preparing for a transitional 2026, emphasizing organic inventory expansion, structural natural gas demand growth, and tightening service market fundamentals. Management teams appear focused less on short-term volatility and more on positioning for the next upcycle.
NAPE Summit 2026: Dealmaking at the Crossroads of Molecules, Electrons, and Minerals
NAPE Summit 2026: Dealmaking at the Crossroads of Molecules, Electrons, and Minerals
Mercer Capital joined industry leaders at the 2026 NAPE Summit (NAPE Expo), held February 18th to 20th, at the George R. Brown Convention Center in Houston, Texas. As with prior Expos, NAPE delivered a focused marketplace where conversations move quickly from “nice to meet you” to “what would it take to get this done?” This year, Bryce Erickson and David Smith represented Mercer Capital on the expo floor and across the conference programming, meeting with operators, minerals groups, capital providers, and advisors.If there was one defining characteristic of NAPE 2026, it was convergence. The industry’s traditional center of gravity, upstream oil and gas dealmaking, was still very much present. But the surrounding ecosystem is widening, as programming incorporated adjacent (and increasingly intertwined) sectors. The hubs for 2026, included Offshore, Data Centers, and Critical Minerals, as part of an event lineup designed to broaden the deal flow and participant mix. Below are our key takeaways from the conference, with a tour through the hub sessions and the themes that were emphasized.The Hub Sessions Told a Clear Story: Energy Is Becoming a Multi-Asset PortfolioThe 2026 NAPE hubs provided a useful lens into where capital is flowing and how industry priorities are evolving. This year’s programming demonstrated a market that still values traditional upstream opportunities, while increasingly integrating adjacent and emerging sectors into the broader deal landscape.Prospect Preview Hub: Showcasing OpportunitiesNAPE’s Prospect Preview Hub once again served as a platform for exhibitors to showcase available prospects on the expo floor, providing concise overviews of their technical merits and commercial potential. Presenters framed their investment thesis in a narrative that reflects how assets are marketed in a competitive transaction environment.Minerals & NonOp Hub: Strategies and TrendsThe Minerals & NonOp Hub discussions focused on market trends, financing strategies, and technology-driven approaches to sourcing and managing acquisition opportunities. Presentations in this hub addressed strategies, recent trends, technologies, and related developments.Offshore Hub: Long-Cycle Capital with Global ImplicationThe Offshore Hub highlighted exploration frontiers, development innovation, and the broader geopolitical context influencing offshore investment. Particular emphasis was placed on high-potential offshore regions, navigating environmental and regulatory frameworks, supply-demand trends, and the role of offshore energy in the global energy mix. Offshore projects require significant upfront investment and longer development timelines, which heighten sensitivity to regulatory stability, cost control, and commodity price outlook assumptions. In this sense, offshore dealmaking underscores how long-cycle assets must be evaluated differently from shorter-cycle onshore plays.Renewable Energy Hub: An Integrated FrameworkThe Renewable Energy Hub reflected an industry increasingly focused on integration rather than segmentation. Presentations centered on integrating renewables with traditional energy sources, hybrid project models, sustainability pathways with a focus on technology, and strategies for navigating evolving energy markets. Rather than viewing renewables as a standalone vertical, participants frequently discussed how renewable assets fit within broader portfolios that include natural gas, storage, and transmission infrastructure.Critical Minerals Hub: Supply Chain Strategy Comes to the ForefrontThe Critical Minerals Hub emphasized the strategic importance of minerals such as lithium, cobalt, rare earth elements, and graphite within evolving energy supply chains. The three sessions - Exploration/Development, Market Dynamics, and Sustainability/Innovation - featured presentations focused on resource development pathways, supply chain positioning, sourcing practices, and recycling technologies. Unlike traditional upstream projects, critical mineral investments often face unique permitting, processing, and geopolitical risks. As capital flows into the space, differentiation increasingly depends on technical credibility and downstream integration potential.Data Center Hub: Power Demand Is Now a First-Order VariableThe Data Center Hub positioned data centers as a critical component of the global economy, emphasizing the sector’s immense and growing energy needs and the resulting opportunities for collaboration between energy and technology stakeholders. Sessions addressed (i) structuring power supply, interconnection, and grid compliance, (ii) managing data center development risk, and (iii) how rising energy demands impact data center development.In practical terms, this emerged in two ways. First, site selection and power availability are increasingly central to “deal conversations.” Co-location strategies, generation capacity, transmission access, and long-term power contracting are becoming key underwriting considerations. Second, infrastructure constraints are entering valuation frameworks. Power availability, interconnection queues, permitting timelines, and fuel optionality are no longer secondary factors; they directly influence project timing, risk, and expected returns.Our Takeaways: What We Heard Repeatedly on the FloorAcross hub sessions and meetings, three themes came up again and again:Infrastructure constraints are turning into valuation drivers. Power, pipelines, processing, and permitting are not background details—they’re often the gating items that shape cash flow timing, risk, and ultimate marketability.The market is hungry for clarity. Whether the topic is policy, commodity outlook, or capital availability, counterparties are placing a premium on deals with understandable risks and executable paths.Energy dealmaking is becoming “multi-asset” by default. Even when the transaction is traditional upstream, the conversation increasingly touches power, infrastructure, data, or minerals adjacency.Final ThoughtsMercer Capital has long valued NAPE as an event where real deal conversations happen and where shifting industry priorities can be identified early on. As the lines between upstream, infrastructure, power, and emerging energy/minerals continue to blur, independent valuation and transaction advisory services become even more important, since the hardest part isn’t building a model, it’s choosing the right assumptions.We have assisted many clients with various valuation needs in the upstream oil and gas space for both conventional and unconventional plays in North America and around the world. Contact a Mercer Capital professional to discuss your needs in confidence and learn more about how we can help you succeed.
Industry Spotlight: Natural Gas Outlook: Producers Face A Familiar Disconnect In 2026
Industry Spotlight | Natural Gas Outlook: Producers Face A Familiar Disconnect In 2026
Earlier this month, I was in Western Oklahoma for a trial. Surrounded by the wide-open Great Plains and the unmistakable presence of oil and gas infrastructure, it was impossible not to think about the industry’s influence on the region. A few people asked me if I had watched the acclaimed show, Landman, and as I hadn't, I started the series on my flights home.

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