Energy Valuation Insights

A weekly update on issues important to the oil and gas industry

Current Events Valuation Issues

Upstream Natural Gas Valuations: A Big Year

Amid the uncertainty in oil markets, for the past year or so, optimism and valuation metrics for natural gas producers have steadily been rising. According to data from Mercer Capital’s quarterly Value Focus: Exploration and Production, reports whereas a year ago show cash flow multiples (or sometimes referred to as EBITDAX in the oil and gas industry) for both oil and gas producers tended to centralize around four (4) to five (5) times, lately, publicly traded gas producers have EBITDAX multiples in the low- to mid-teens, while predominately oil producing companies’ multiples have dropped.

This has been a dramatic change in the past year compared to the industry’s history. While onshore producers of oil and gas have many similar operational and economic traits, such as the shrinking inventory of top tier wells, this decoupling is representative of a fundamentally different outlook for the future of each commodity.

Special Topics Valuation Issues

Should You Choose an Industry or Valuation Expert?

Choosing an industry expert to value your oil & gas company has several distinct benefits that stem from a deep understanding of the sector’s unique dynamics, trends, and complexities. Selecting a valuation expert to assess your oil & gas company brings a distinct set of advantages rooted in their specialized training, adherence to recognized standards, and a focused approach to valuation. So, which should you choose?

In this post, we make the case for both and provide a solution to this question.

Valuation Issues

Oilfield Services Companies and How To Value Them

Following our post last week in which we covered the latest changes and trends facing oilfield services (OFS) companies, this week we focus on how to value these companies. Understanding the value of an oilfield services (OFS) company is by its very nature a complex matter. Having a firm grasp on the many similarities and distinctions between these businesses is crucial for performing valuations. In our whitepaper, Understanding Oilfield Services Companies & How to Value Them, we provide invaluable guidance in regard to these aspects of the OFS industry.

Current Events Special Topics

Oilfield Services Update for 2025

In our Energy Valuation Insights from recent weeks, we addressed the challenges facing U.S. O&G drillers and covered the uncertainty in the overall O&G sector due to shifting world trade patterns. This week, we look at some of the same themes and how they are affecting in the Oilfield Services (OFS) industry. In particular, we cover changes related to the recent recovery in activity level, the influences of technological advances, the push for energy independence, and expectations going forward.

Eagle Ford Shale Mergers, Acquisitions, & Divestitures

Just Released: Q1 2025 Oil & Gas Industry Newsletter

Regional Focus: Eagle Ford

The Q1 2025 issue of Mercer Capital’s Exploration and Production Newsletter focuses on the Eagle Ford. Despite a notable rig count decline, Eagle Ford production generally remained about flat over the twelve months ended March 2025. Modestly declining commodity prices combined with the formation’s falling rig count pushed the region’s benchmark groups’ stock prices into single-digit declines over the review period. Although M&A activity in the Eagle Ford remained minimal, with only two material transactions over the last twelve months, the Eagle Ford remains the most fragmented of the major unconventional plays and provides substantial opportunities to build via acquisition.

Current Events Special Topics

Uncertainty Rules the Day

Oil Markets Bewildered as World Trade Patterns Shift

Oil markets and energy companies are wrestling with understanding changes in domestic and international energy markets. As company outlooks become cloudier, uncertainty is on the rise. This has been developing for several weeks now, with some early indications showing that executives and investors don’t quite know how to respond yet. It appears it is going to take time for oil companies to figure out what to do next.

Eagle Ford Shale

Eagle Ford Production Edges Downward Again on Reduced Drilling

The economics of oil & gas production vary by region.  Mercer Capital focuses on trends in several plays including the Eagle Ford, Permian, Haynesville, and Marcellus and Utica.  In this week’s post, we take a closer look at the production and activity, commodity prices, and financial performance of the Eagle Ford.

Eagle Ford Shale Mergers, Acquisitions, & Divestitures

Where Have All the Eagle Ford Deals Gone?

Over the past 12 months, deal activity in the Eagle Ford remained stagnant, with only two pure Eagle Ford Shale deals closing compared to two transactions closed in the prior 12-month period. The slowdown in M&A activity in the Eagle Ford over the past two years might be ahead of a global slowdown in upstream M&A activity. According to Rystad Energy, global M&A activity this year is expected to fall short of the highs seen over the past two years, as the major wave of consolidation in the U.S. shale sector has largely run its course. In this week’s post, we review the latest transactions in the Eagle Ford and what this may mean for M&A in the industry in 2025.

Current Events Domestic Production

Challenges for U.S. Drilling Amid Tariff Uncertainties

As in most other industries, President Trump’s tariff policy has created uncertainties for oil and gas businesses, where there is reduced confidence in the stability of commodity prices and the economics for drilling. On April 2nd, Trump announced a 10% across-the-board tariff and additional tariffs on China, the European Union, and Japan. Although energy commodities are exempted from these tariffs, U.S. hydrocarbons are still subject to risks from likely retaliatory tariffs and a slowdown in global economic growth. Ultimately, drilling and capital spending decisions are more challenging and complex for U.S. producers, which can be expected to keep their drilling spending restrained and production growth muted in the near term. 

Oil & Gas

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