Corporate Valuation, Oil & Gas
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September 4, 2018

Oilfield Service Valuations

Missing The Party Or Just Fashionably Late?

Latecomers are inevitable at parties. They skulk in at the end, missing out on most of the fun, food and games that everyone else has been enjoying. Yet, savvy socialites aim to arrive fashionably late, after the labor of getting the party going but still in time to enjoy the night.

When it comes to valuations, are oilfield servicers late to the proverbial oil patch valuation gala or just in time to enjoy the recovery?

Energy Sector Performance Improving

Since oil prices fell off a cliff in the summer of 2014, most other energy sectors have been climbing back in various phases of recovery:

  • E&P company valuations are recovering as companies have benefited from increases in production, escalating acreage values, lower breakeven prices and a recuperating oil price. This is especially true in the Permian Basin. In fact, activity and production in West Texas is growing so fast that existing pipelines and infrastructure struggle to keep up.
  • Meanwhile, US refiners, feasting on the spread between Brent and WTI, continue to see valuation gains as well. Refineries are busting at the seams, with current utilizations over 98%, and acquisitions abound. Refinery performance appears sustainable for the short to intermediate term, but in the long run, capacity may be a limiting factor.
  • Even midstream and pipeline valuations, after taking a beating through the end of 2015, are recovering nicely. The current West Texas hydrocarbon traffic jam presents a growth opportunity for this sector.

Past Oilfield Service Performance

Oilfield service providers, drillers, pumpers and equipment providers enabled E&P companies to make impressive efficiency leaps. So, where do they stand today? One lens through which to view things is the OSX index–a popular metric to track sector performance.

Since mid-2014, the OSX index does not exactly portray an inspiring comeback by oilfield service companies. In fact, looking at the index alone might lead one to think oilfield servicers have not even received an invitation to this reputed party, much less arrived. Earnings sunk in 2015 and bottomed out in 2016 as a result of producers cutting drilling and completion costs. Balance sheets went through significant write downs, impairments and asset sales. Not surprisingly, bankruptcies for the sector peaked in 2016 with 72 oilfield service companies filing for bankruptcy, up from 39 the year prior. It was a mess, to say the least. Oh, but how things have changed in the past two years.

Current Oilfield Service Performance

Higher oil prices, coupled with lower breakeven costs for producers, are making drillers, completers and a host of other servicers busier than a gopher on a golf course. Capex budgets for E&P companies, known as lead indicators for drillers and contractors, have taken off. While dormant for decades, proven drilling locations (PUDs) now multiply in light of new fracking technologies and their resultant economics. Drilling and completion budgets are not only growing for operators, but an increasing percentage of those budgets are being spent in West Texas.

Utilization Rates and Day Rates

Specifically, as it pertains to oilfield service companies, two key metrics, utilization rates and day rates, have begun to align in a way not seen since 2014.

By the end of 2017, utilization rates for certain rigs averaged around 80%, or almost fully utilized considering necessary downtime and transition from one drilling location to another. However, things are currently so hot that utilization rates have now risen to over 90%.

Day rates, the measure of how much a servicer can charge an operator for every day the rig is operating, have been slower to increase. Increases in day rates started to move upward in the last six months or so. Estimates suggest that day rates will notch up 10-15% by the end of 2018. This is good news for oilfield servicers.

Valuation Turnaround

Now that utilization rates and day rates are both trending upward, valuations should logically respond and by certain aspects, they are.

Take, for example, a selection of guideline company groups: onshore drillers and pressure pumpers (fracking companies). One way to observe the degree of relative value changes is to look at enterprise value (sans cash) relative to total book value of net invested capital (debt and equity) held by the company or “BVIC”. Any multiple over 1.0x indicates valuations above what net capital investors have placed into the firm, which for drillers and pumpers is a notable threshold.

While 2016 was an anomaly (due to the significant balance sheet changes mentioned above), the rest of the time frame shows a clear trend. In 2015, with a multiple below 1.0x, investors didn’t expect to get an adequate return on the capital deployed at these companies. However, as 2017 came to a close and now moving into mid-2018, that trend has reversed. All except Parker Drilling have met or exceeded their 2014 multiples, and the average is around 1.2x. This suggests that the market is recognizing intangible value again for assets such as developed technology, customer relationships, trade names and goodwill. For pressure pumping and fracking concentrated businesses, which are more directly tied into the value expansion in the oil patch, the trend is clear. Intangible asset valuations have grown even faster, more heavily weighted towards pumpers’ developed technology that is driving demand for these companies’ services. However, the recent infrastructure logjam in West Texas has pushed multiples lower.  Nonetheless, the market has been recognizing the value contributions of these companies.

Conclusion

To be clear, nearly all of these companies had to shrink their balance sheets to get these multiples in line. This explains why some of the data is not as meaningful in 2016. However, it appears that’s what was necessary in light of the shift in the market.

Overall rig counts have shifted downward since 2014 and are currently nowhere near prior levels, thereby forcing these companies to shed assets in recent years. That’s the price of market efficiency. However, with those challenges no longer weighing them down, some oilfield services companies may be finally arriving at the valuation party.

Remember the initial question posed in this post: When it comes to valuations, are oilfield servicers late to the proverbial oil patch valuation gala or just in time to enjoy the recovery? Maybe the question to ask is: How much time is left before the celebration ends?


Originally appeared on Forbes.com.

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Defying the Cycle: Haynesville Production Strength in a Shifting Gas Market
Defying the Cycle: Haynesville Production Strength in a Shifting Gas Market
Haynesville shale production defied broader market softness in 2025, leading major U.S. basins with double-digit year-over-year growth despite heightened volatility and sub-cycle drilling activity. Efficiency gains, DUC drawdowns, and Gulf Coast demand dynamics allowed operators to sustain output even as natural gas prices fluctuated sharply.
Haynesville Shale M&A Update: 2025 in Review
Haynesville Shale M&A Update: 2025 in Review
Key TakeawaysHaynesville remains a strategic LNG-linked basin. 2025 transactions emphasized long-duration natural gas exposure and proximity to Gulf Coast export infrastructure, reinforcing the basin’s importance in meeting global LNG demand.International utilities drove much of the activity. Japanese power and gas companies pursued direct upstream ownership, signaling a shift from traditional offtake agreements toward greater control over U.S. gas supply.M&A was selective but meaningful in scale and intent. While overall deal volume was limited, announced transactions and reported negotiations reflected deliberate, long-term positioning rather than opportunistic shale consolidation.OverviewM&A activity in the Haynesville Shale during 2025 was marked by strategic, LNG-linked transactions and renewed international investor interest in U.S. natural gas assets. While investors remained selective relative to prior shale upcycles, transactions that did occur reflected a clear pattern: buyers focused on long-duration gas exposure, scale, and proximity to Gulf Coast export markets rather than short-term development upside.Producers and capital providers increasingly refocused efforts on the Haynesville basin during the year, including raising capital to acquire both operating assets and mineral positions. This renewed attention followed a period of subdued transaction activity and underscored the basin’s continued relevance within global natural gas portfolios.Although the Haynesville did not experience the breadth of consolidation seen in some oil-weighted plays, the size, counterparties, and strategic motivations behind 2025 transactions reinforced the basin’s role as a long-term supply source for LNG-linked demand.Announced Upstream TransactionsTokyo Gas (TG Natural Resources) / ChevronIn April 2025, Tokyo Gas Co., through its U.S. joint venture TG Natural Resources, entered into an agreement to acquire a 70% interest in Chevron’s East Texas natural gas assets for $525 million. The assets include significant Haynesville exposure and were acquired through a combination of cash consideration and capital commitments.The transaction was characterized as part of Tokyo Gas’s broader strategy to secure long-term U.S. natural gas supply and expand its upstream footprint. The deal reflects a growing trend among international utilities to obtain direct exposure to U.S. shale gas through ownership interests rather than relying solely on long-term offtake contracts or third-party supply arrangements.From an M&A perspective, the transaction highlights continued willingness among major operators to monetize non-core or minority positions while retaining operational involvement, and it underscores the Haynesville’s attractiveness to buyers with a long-term, strategic view of gas demand.JERA / Williams & GEP Haynesville IIIn October 2025, JERA Co., Japan’s largest power generator, announced an agreement to acquire Haynesville shale gas production assets from Williams Companies and GEP Haynesville II, a joint venture between GeoSouthern Energy and Blackstone. The transaction was valued at approximately $1.5 billion.This acquisition marked JERA’s first direct investment in U.S. shale gas production, representing a notable expansion of the company’s upstream exposure and reinforcing JERA’s interest in securing supply from regions with strong connectivity to U.S. LNG export infrastructure.This transaction further illustrates the appeal of the Haynesville to international buyers seeking stable, scalable gas assets and highlights the role of upstream M&A as a tool for portfolio diversification among global utilities and energy companies.Reported Negotiations (Not Announced)Mitsubishi / Aethon Energy ManagementIn June 2025, Reuters reported that Mitsubishi Corp. was in discussions to acquire Aethon Energy Management, a privately held operator with substantial Haynesville production and midstream assets. The potential transaction was reported to be valued at approximately $8 billion, though Reuters emphasized that talks were ongoing and that no deal had been finalized at the time.While the transaction was not announced during 2025, the reported discussions were notable for both their scale and the identity of the potential buyer. Aethon has long been viewed as one of the largest private platforms in the Haynesville, and any transaction involving the company would represent a significant consolidation event within the basin.The reported talks underscored the depth of international interest in Haynesville-oriented platforms and highlighted the potential for large-scale transactions even in an otherwise measured M&A environment.ConclusionWhile overall deal volume remained selective, the transactions and reported negotiations in 2025 reflected sustained global interest in U.S. natural gas assets with long-term relevance. Collectively, the transactions and negotiations discussed above point to a Haynesville M&A landscape driven less by opportunistic consolidation and more by deliberate, long-term positioning. As global energy portfolios continue to evolve, the Haynesville basin remains a focal point for strategic investment, particularly for buyers seeking exposure tied to U.S. natural gas supply and LNG export linkages.
Mineral Aggregator Valuation Multiples Study Released-Data as of 06-11-2025
Mineral Aggregator Valuation Multiples Study Released

With Market Data as of June 11, 2025

Mercer Capital has thoughtfully analyzed the corporate and capital structures of the publicly traded mineral aggregators to derive meaningful indications of enterprise value. We have also calculated valuation multiples based on a variety of metrics, including distributions and reserves, as well as earnings and production on both a historical and forward-looking basis.

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