Family Business Advisory Services

August 3, 2020

Now Is a Great Time to Transfer Stock to Heirs

Depressed Market Values Provide an Opportunity for Tax-Efficient Transfers of Family Wealth for Estate Planning Purposes

The economic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic are dire, and family businesses are not immune to the economic fallout from the virus. Yet we are confident that family businesses are best positioned to survive and lead in the post-pandemic economic recovery.

For family shareholders who are optimistic about the resilience of their family businesses and focused on the long view, this is an ideal time to execute intrafamily transfers in pursuit of estate planning objectives.

Coronavirus and Fair Market Value

The precipitous decline in public equity markets has been well documented. From its Feb. 19 peak, the S&P 500 index lost nearly 24% of its value by the end of the first quarter. Small-cap stocks in the S&P 600 index suffered even more, falling approximately 33% over the same period.

What caused the significant drop in public stock prices? Stock prices reflect three factors.

  • Cash Flow. Stock prices are based on the future, not the past. Historical earnings and cash flows can provide important perspective, but investors are much more focused on what’s visible through the windshield than what is in the rearview mirror. For most public companies, the pandemic has caused investors to reassess the amount of cash flow those companies will generate in the coming year. Lower expected cash flows result in lower stock prices.
  • Risk. When fog or other conditions reduce visibility, smart drivers slow down. Investors do the same thing. The pandemic has caused the range of potential cash flow outcomes for the coming year to be much wider than normal. In other words, stock investors are facing more risk than normal. When risk goes up, stock prices come down.
  • Growth. The growth component describes how fast cash flows are forecast to increase in subsequent years. Theories abound as to whether the economic recovery curve from the pandemic will look a “V” or a “U” or a “W” (or some other letter). To the extent investors expect the negative effect of the pandemic to weigh on cash flows for a prolonged period, stock prices will be cut.
It is impossible to dissect the observed change in stock prices to discern how much of the decrease is attributable to expected cash flow, risk, or growth. What matters is that the three factors, in combination, have caused the reduction in public stock prices. What does all this have to do with the fair market value of illiquid minority interests in private companies? The value of such interests depends on the same three factors. Business appraisers determine the fair market value of shares for gifting or other intrafamily transfers using a two-step process.
  1. First, appraisers estimate the value of the business as if the shares were publicly traded. In other words, they consider how public market investors would view the shares if they had the opportunity to purchase them on the stock market. In doing so, they develop expectations regarding the cash flow, risks, and growth prospects of the family business. If a particular family business is better positioned to weather the COVID-19 storm than its peers, the negative impact on value may be muted. For many family businesses, however, an assessment of these three factors in the midst of the pandemic will likely result in a materially lower value than would have been the case in mid-February.
  2. Next, appraisers consider the appropriate discount, or reduction in value, to account for the fact that the shares in the family business are not publicly traded. All else equal, investors prefer to have liquidity. In order to accept the illiquidity inherent in private company shares, investors require a marketability discount. The size of the marketability discount depends on the specific attributes of the shares, including the likely holding period until a favorable opportunity for liquidity is expected, the amount of expected interim distributions from owning the shares, the expected capital appreciation over the holding period, and the incremental risk associated with illiquidity. The impact of the pandemic on the magnitude of the marketability discount is more ambiguous than the effect on the as-if-freely-traded value. Some of the factors are likely to be neutral relative to the pre-pandemic environment, while others may be negatively or positively affected.
In short, the fair market value of minority shares in family businesses is likely lower today than it was just a couple months ago. It does not matter if your family has no intention of selling the family business at a reduced value; the fact is that – if you were to sell an illiquid minority interest now – the value would reflect current market conditions. The IRS itself makes this clear in Revenue Ruling 59-60:
The fair market value of specific shares of stock will vary as general economic conditions change from ‘normal’ to ‘boom’ to ‘depression,’ that is, according to the degree of optimism or pessimism with which the investing public regards the future at the required date of appraisal. Uncertainty as to the stability or continuity of the future income from a property decreases its value by increasing the risk of loss of earnings and value in the future.

The potential silver lining to the cloud of depressed market values is that it provides an opportunity for more tax-efficient transfers of family wealth for estate planning purposes.

Case Study: Decisive vs. Hesitant Planning

We can illustrate the significance of the current opportunity with an example.  Consider a family business having a pre-pandemic value on an as-if-freely-traded basis of $25 million. Although the long-term prospects of the business remain unchanged, the dislocations caused by coronavirus have triggered a temporary reduction in fair market value of 25%. The founder has yet to do any estate planning and continues to own 100% of the shares.

Exhibit 1 depicts the expected value trajectory for the family business both before and after the pandemic.

Because of the resilience of the family business, the value trajectory resumes its pre-pandemic path after three years. The founder’s tax advisers suggest that – since the long-term prospects of the business are unimpaired – the current depressed fair market value provides an excellent opportunity to begin a program of regular gifts. The current lifetime gift tax exclusion is approximately $12 million, and the founder and his advisers devise a strategy of making an initial gift of $6 million, followed by annual gifts of $1 million in each of the following six years.

We’ll examine two scenarios. In the first, the founder begins the gifting program immediately (the “Decisive” scenario). In the second, the founder defers the gifting program until the uncertainty associated with the pandemic has passed (the “Hesitant” scenario). In both cases, the shares gifted represent illiquid minority interests, so a 25% marketability discount is applied to derive fair market value.

Since the annual gifts are for fixed dollar amounts, lower per-share values result in more shares being transferred, which reduces the amount of shares in the future taxable estate, all else equal. Exhibit 2 summarizes the shares that are transferred under the gifting program for the Decisive and Hesitant scenarios.

Because the gifts under the Decisive scenario were made while share prices were depressed because of the coronavirus, a larger portion of the shares were transferred than in the Hesitant scenario. As a result, the founder retained just 33% of the total shares after using the $12 million lifetime exclusion, compared with 58% under the Hesitant scenario. As shown in Exhibit 3, the effect on the resulting taxable estate is compounded because, under the Hesitant scenario, the 58% retained interest represents a controlling position in the shares and the value is not reduced for the marketability discount. In fact, although not shown in Exhibit 3, a control premium to the as-if-freely traded could be applicable, which would exacerbate the disparity.

In our example, failing to take advantage of the estate planning opportunity presented by the depressed asset prices added $7.2 million to the eventual estate tax bill. Procrastination can be costly.

Estate Planning and Control

Our preceding example was relatively simple. Estate planners often use a variety of strategies involving trusts and other vehicles to accomplish estate planning and other goals. However, our simple example illustrates what is often perceived as a “cost” to aggressive estate planning: the senior generation’s loss of voting control.

In the Decisive scenario, the founder’s ownership percentage fell below 50% in 2022. So, from that point on, the founder could no longer unilaterally make significant corporate decisions. We have seen a variety of strategies used to mitigate this outcome, such as establishing voting and non-voting share classes. These techniques can delay the eventual loss of control, but every business leader will eventually relinquish voting control of their company, whether through estate planning, death, or sale of the business.

In our experience, deferring estate planning to accommodate a desire to maintain voting control is rarely worthwhile. When the desire to maintain control is especially strong, that is often a clue that there are other underlying family issues that need to be addressed. If, as the controlling owner advances in age, the loss of voting control remains unpalatable, that could signal that the family dynamics are such that selling the business might be the best outcome for everyone.

Strike While the Iron Is Hot

Family business leaders are currently facing many pressing issues. Amid the uncertainty, however, family shareholders should know that the estate planning opportunities triggered by lower valuations may not last. Schedule a quick call with your estate planning advisers to see if there are steps you can take to help reduce the burden of future estate taxes on your family and business.


This article originally appeared in Family Business Magazine (April 2020) and was republished with permission.

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The Third Appraiser Isn’t There to Split the Difference
The Third Appraiser Isn’t There to Split the Difference
For many family businesses, valuation is treated as a one-time event rather than an ongoing tool. When viewed only at moments of necessity, valuation can create surprises, tension, and misalignment. Directors who treat valuation as a continuous process, however, use it to support better governance, promoting clear communication and more informed decision-making over time.
January 2026 | Making Buy-Sell Agreements Work: Valuation Mechanisms and Drafting Pitfalls
Value Matters® January 2026

Making Buy-Sell Agreements Work: Valuation Mechanisms and Drafting Pitfalls

Executive SummaryBuy-sell agreements are a cornerstone of planning for closely held businesses and family enterprises. Advisors spend significant time addressing ownership transitions, funding mechanisms, and tax considerations. Yet despite their importance, valuation provisions in buy-sell agreements are often treated as secondary drafting issues. Too often, they are boilerplate clauses that receive far less scrutiny than they deserve. When buy-sell agreements fail, valuation provisions are often the root cause.This article is the first in a two-part series examining how buy-sell agreements function in practice and why so many fall short of their intended purpose. Part I focuses on the valuation mechanisms commonly used in buy-sell agreements – fixed price, formula pricing, and appraisal-based processes – and explains the structural weaknesses that often undermine them. Drawing on our extensive valuation experience, we offer a practical framework for designing valuation provisions that are more likely to produce fair, predictable, and workable outcomes when a triggering event occurs.Part II will address what is required for buy-sell agreement pricing to be used to fix the value for gift and estate tax matters, including the requirements of Internal Revenue Code §2703 and guidance from key court cases such as Estate of Huffman and Connelly. Together, these articles are intended to help estate planners move beyond theoretical drafting and toward buy-sell agreements that withstand both real-world and IRS scrutiny.Common Buy-Sell Valuation MechanismsMost buy-sell agreements fall into one of four categories based on how price is determined:Fixed priceFormula pricingMultiple appraiser processSingle appraiser processEach approach has perceived advantages, but each also carries structural weaknesses that estate planners should carefully evaluate.Fixed-Price AgreementsFixed-price buy-sell agreements establish a specific dollar value for the business or ownership interests based on the owners’ agreement at a point in time. Their appeal lies in simplicity. The price is clear, easily understood, and inexpensive to administer. In theory, fixed-price agreements encourage owners to revisit and reaffirm value periodically.In practice, however, fixed prices are rarely updated with sufficient frequency. As the business evolves, the fixed price may become materially understated, overstated, or – by coincidence – approximately correct. The fundamental problem is not the use of a fixed price, but the absence of a reliable and consistently followed process for updating it. When the price becomes stale, incentives become misaligned. An unrealistically low price benefits the remaining owners, while an inflated price benefits the exiting owner. These distortions undermine fairness and often surface only after a triggering event, when renegotiation is least likely to succeed.Formula Price AgreementsFormula pricing agreements determine value by applying a predefined calculation, often based on financial statement metrics such as EBITDA multiples, book value, or shareholders’ equity. These agreements are frequently viewed as more objective than fixed prices and are attractive because they appear to adjust automatically as financial results change.The perceived precision of formulas is often illusory. Over time, changes in the business model, capital structure, accounting practices, or industry conditions can render a once-reasonable formula obsolete. Even when formulas are recalculated mechanically, they may fail to reflect economic reality (book value as a formula is a prime example of this). More importantly, most formula agreements lack guidance on when or how the formula itself should be revisited. Without periodic reassessment, formula pricing can embed significant inequities into the agreement while giving shareholders a false sense of certainty of fairness. Formula price agreements also fail to account for any non-operating assets that may have accumulated on the balance sheet. Valuation Process AgreementsValuation process agreements defer the determination of price until a triggering event occurs and rely on professional appraisers to establish value at that time. These agreements generally fall into two categories: multiple appraiser processes and single appraiser processes.Multiple Appraiser ProcessUnder a multiple appraiser process, each side appoints its own appraiser to value the business following a triggering event. If the resulting valuations differ beyond a specified threshold, the agreement typically calls for the appointment of a third appraiser to resolve the difference or render a binding conclusion.While this approach is intended to ensure fairness through balanced input, it often introduces uncertainty, delay, and cost. The final price, timing, and expense of the process are unknown at the outset. In addition, even well-intentioned appraisers may be perceived as advocates for the parties who selected them, complicating negotiations and eroding confidence in the outcome. For family-owned businesses in particular, the multiple appraiser process can unintentionally escalate conflict at a sensitive moment.Single Appraiser ProcessUnder a single appraiser process, one valuation firm is designated, either in advance or at the time of a triggering event, to perform a valuation. This approach is generally more efficient and cost-effective and avoids dueling opinions. When valuations are performed periodically, it can also make outcomes more predictable well before a triggering event occurs. Its effectiveness, however, depends entirely on careful advance planning and drafting.A More Effective Framework: “Single Appraiser: Select Now, Value Now and Annually (or Periodically) Thereafter”Given the shortcomings of traditional valuation mechanisms, is it possible to design a buy-sell valuation process that reliably produces reasonable outcomes? We believe it is.Based on extensive buy-sell agreement related valuation experience, we recommend a framework built on three principles: selecting the appraiser in advance, exercising the valuation process before a triggering event, and careful drafting of the valuation language in the agreement. 1. Retain an Appraiser NowEstate planners and other attorneys who draft buy-sell agreements should encourage clients to retain a qualified business appraiser at the outset, rather than waiting for a triggering event. Conducting an initial valuation transforms abstract agreement language into a concrete report that shareholders can review, understand, and question. This process reveals ambiguities in the agreement, clarifies expectations, and allows revisions to be made when no party knows whether they will ultimately be a buyer or a seller.This “Single Appraiser: Select Now, Value Now and Annually (or Periodically) Thereafter” approach offers several advantages:The valuation process is known and observed in advanceThe appraiser’s independence is established before any economic conflict arisesValuation methodologies and assumptions are understood by all partiesThe initial valuation becomes the operative price until updated or conditions changeAmbiguities in valuation language are identified and corrected earlyFuture valuations are more efficient, consistent, and less contentious2. Update the Valuation Annually or PeriodicallyStatic valuation mechanisms do not work in a dynamic business environment. Annual or periodic valuation updates help align expectations and reduce the likelihood of surprise or dissatisfaction when a triggering event occurs. In practice, disputes are more often driven by unmet expectations than by the absolute level of value. Regular valuations promote transparency and reduce friction.3. Draft Precise Valuation LanguageEven the best valuation process can fail if the agreement lacks clarity. Attorneys drafting buy-sell agreements should ensure that the agreements address, at a minimum:Standard of value (e.g., fair market value vs. fair value)Level of value (enterprise vs. interest level; treatment of discounts)Valuation date (“as of” date)Funding mechanismAppraiser qualifications (making certain to use business appraiser qualifications. For example, a “certified appraiser” refers to a real estate appraiser, rather than a business valuation expert.) Applicable appraisal standardsAmbiguity on any of these points materially increases the risk of divergent interpretations and unsuccessful outcomes.ConclusionBuy-sell agreements fail not because valuation is inherently subjective, but because valuation provisions are often left ambiguous, untested, or static. Estate planners and other attorneys who draft buy-sell agreements play a critical role in preventing these failures. By selecting appraisers in advance, exercising valuation processes periodically, and carefully drafting valuation language, advisors can dramatically improve the likelihood that a buy-sell agreement will function as intended.When valuation mechanisms are designed with the same rigor as tax and estate plans, buy-sell agreements can become durable planning tools capable of delivering predictability, fairness, and continuity when they are needed most. And the buy-sell agreement pricing may even be able to be used to fix the value for gift and estate tax filings. We will discuss this in Part II.For advisors who want to delve deeper into valuation concepts, planning strategies, and practical applications in estate and business succession planning, we recommend Buy-Sell Agreements: Valuation Handbook for Attorneys by Z. Christopher Mercer, FASA, CFA, ABAR (American Bar Association), written by our firm’s founder and Chairman. This book offers a thorough treatment of valuation issues and provides example language for consideration by attorneys when drafting buy-sell agreements that contain language important to the valuation process.
Being Ready for an Unsolicited Offer
Being Ready for an Unsolicited Offer
Preparedness is often mistaken for “getting ready to sell.” In reality, it is a governance discipline, one that gives families clarity about what the business means to them, how decisions will be made under pressure, and whether opportunities will be evaluated thoughtfully rather than reactively.

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