A weekly update on issues important to the Investment Management industry
A racecar is an example of something that, as a whole, is greater than the sum of its parts. An RIA is another example. But, breaking down an RIA into constituent functions yields certain understandings that cannot be seen clearly by focusing on the whole. In this post, we think about what can be learned from component analysis of RIA returns.
A recent CityWire article noted that private equity firms are extending their holding periods for RIA aggregator firms to take advantage of the industry’s higher margins and long-term growth prospects. This stalling tactic shouldn’t spook their LPs since the RIA sector is renowned for its recurring revenue, above-average margins, and demonstrated ability to grow cash flows over an extended period of time. Not many industries have businesses that can sustain The Rule of 40, which posits that venture investors prefer to invest in businesses in which the profit margin plus the growth rate adds up to at least 40%. The investment management industry is a notable exception since it typically boasts EBITDA margins in the 20% to 30% range and annualized growth in revenue on the order of 10% to 15%. So what’s so scary about paying +15x EBITDA for these businesses? We explore in this week’s post.
Alternative asset managers fared particularly well during favorable market conditions for the RIA sector. Over the past year, both alternative asset managers and large RIAs (with assets under management, or AUM, exceeding $250 billion) outperformed the S&P 500, achieving gains of 64.6% and 37.7%, respectively. As these dynamics continue into Q4 2024, the outlook for continued multiple expansion and robust deal activity for alternative asset managers remains favorable.
Following a year where deal volume in the RIA industry nearly matched the all-time high of 2022, RIA M&A activity has cooled in 2024. Fidelity’s September 2024 Wealth Management M&A Transaction Report listed 155 deals through September 2024, down 11% from the 174 deals executed during the same period in 2023. As RIA deal activity experienced a greater decline than the broader M&A market, we explore what this means for your RIA.
RIAs outperformed the S&P in the third quarter of 2024, with alternative asset managers experiencing the strongest returns amid multiple expansion. All groups examined experienced growth in AUM and revenue year-over-year. We explore further in our Q3 2024 Market Update.
In the investment management world, evaluating a firm’s margin isn’t as simple as “more is better.” For RIAs, margin reflects efficiency, but it also reflects the firm’s tradeoffs with compensation. Investment management is a talent business, and striking the right balance between margin and employee compensation that allows the firm to attract, retain, and incentivize talent is critical to an RIA’s success.
To the surprise of many, it’s been another very good year for the RIA community — but success can be fleeting. Whatever brings about the rollover in industry trend lines, we all know it’s coming at some point. So, if 2024 is indeed the peak of the cycle for the investment management industry, what will you one day wish you had done now?
For some reason, we get this question every four years or so: does this election matter to the RIA industry? Let’s start by saying that with all of the hot-button issues the candidates are currently squabbling about, the RIA industry does not appear to be top of mind for the former president and current vice president. We, therefore, have to step back and think about what either candidate’s election would mean for the broader financial services industry, taxes, and stock market returns, which we cover in this week’s post.
Despite the growth of the defined contributions sector, many RIAs have avoided retirement plans in favor of larger opportunities. This leads to the question: are retirement plans an underappreciated growth opportunity for RIAs?
As long as I can remember, RIAs and other closely-held businesses have used corporate owned life insurance to fund redemption provisions in buy-sell agreements. That practice is now in doubt, as the U.S. Supreme Court recently ruled that entity-purchased life insurance is additive to value for fair market value purposes. Has SCOTUS rendered what was long-standing conventional wisdom useless, or is the ruling subject to interpretation? Time will tell. For now, readers of this blog post will want to study the ruling and its implications for their own buy-sell agreements.
Read our updated complimentary whitepaper on valuing asset managers. Understanding the value of an asset management business requires some appreciation for what is simple and what is complex. On one level, a business with almost no balance sheet, a recurring revenue stream, and an expense base that mainly consists of personnel costs could not be more straightforward. At the same time, investment management firms exist in a narrow space between client allocations and the capital markets. They depend on revenue streams that rarely carry contractual obligations and valuable staff members who often are not subject to employment agreements. In essence, RIAs may be both highly profitable and prospectively ephemeral. Balancing the risks and opportunities of a particular investment management firm is fundamental to developing a valuation.
When RIA owners can’t agree on the appropriate price for a shareholder buyout, we’re often jointly retained to value the departing member’s interest in the business pursuant to a buy-sell agreement. Whether we’ve been court-appointed or mutually chosen by the parties to do the project, we’ve done enough of these over the years to learn that the process matters as much as the outcome. In this week’s post we describe the overall valuation process and common issues we’ve experienced surrounding RIA ownership disputes.
Advising clients on estate planning is a core service offered by wealth management firms, and the best tool for meeting estate planning objectives is often some sort of trust. This dynamic places trust companies closely adjacent to wealth management firms, and, increasingly, RIAs have sought to internalize trust operations through various means in a bid to expand their capabilities and move upmarket to larger clients with more complex needs. For RIAs that can figure it out, there are opportunities for higher growth and retention at the margin relative to a field of competitors that lack robust trust capabilities.
For several years, RIA consolidation was fueled by cheap debt, compelling acquisition multiples, and AUM growth underpinned by rising markets. Today, debt isn’t free, acquisition multiples have been bid up, and public markets have become dependent on a very narrow list of equities for growth. Despite headwinds, the P.E. thesis of investing in the RIA space: sticky revenue, low capital intensity, and dependable margins, has survived the pandemic and rough market years like 2022. The missing element was and is the inaccessibility of public market equity to cash out the P.E. investment thesis and to provide replenishment capital to do new deals.
Most economists and market participants now believe the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates at its September meeting as inflationary trends show signs of easing. Naturally, we’re interested in how expected rate cuts will affect the investment management industry’s transaction multiples. Many industry observers believe anticipated rate cuts will have little or no impact on the sector since most RIAs don’t have any debt on their balance sheets. While it’s true that most investment management firms do not employ leverage in their capital structure, lower interest rates will nonetheless impact their cost of equity and, consequently, their valuations.
One of the most frequently ignored sectors in the wealth management industry may be its first cousin, the independent trust industry. While many still associate trust administration with banks, which account for more than 75% of the space, the growing prominence of independent trust companies is capturing the attention of many participants in the investment management community. In this post, we examine current trends impacting independent trust companies.
Following a year where deal volume in the RIA industry nearly matched the all-time high of 2022, RIA M&A activity has cooled in 2024. Fidelity’s May 2024 Wealth Management M&A Transaction Report (most recent available data) listed 86 deals through May 2024, down 17% from the 103 deals executed during the same period in 2023. In this post, we explore what this means for your RIA now and looking forward.
RIAs underperformed in the second quarter of 2024, with even the largest asset managers facing a decline in stock price in spite of a stronger asset base on which to collect revenue. Despite the price drop, all groups examined experienced growth in fundamentals year-over-year. We explore further in our Q2 2024 Market Update.
Consolidation is a theme that has a lot of traction in the RIA industry. The prevailing narrative is that a growing multitude of buyers are scrambling to compete for a limited number of firms. With the rapid pace of deal activity in the RIA industry, you might expect to see the number of firms decline. Despite consolidation pressures and record levels of acquisition activity, the reality is that the number of RIAs continues to increase, with new formations outpacing consolidation.
Fisher Investments has for many years been the Toyota Corolla of the RIA space. Not fancy. Not interesting. Not exclusive. Advertising for sales leads. Mass affluent customers. Meat and potatoes wealth management. Nothing remarkable, except for an exceptional growth story that led to a huge transaction.
For this week’s post we’re introducing our whitepaper on quality of earnings analysis in the investment management industry. For RIA buyers and sellers, commissioning a QofE report is an essential element of the due diligence process. In essence, a well-executed QofE analysis not only reveals why a firm is profitable but also assesses the likelihood of maintaining and enhancing that profitability after the transaction. This comprehensive approach ensures that both buyers and sellers make well-informed, strategic decisions in the RIA industry.
Just over 30 years ago, the Memphis Area Transit Authority (“MATA”) made the dubious decision to construct a trolley line traversing most of the city’s downtown area, and it hasn’t gone well. If MATA could do it all over again, I suspect they would permanently closed the trolley system altogether, given the issues they’ve had over the years. Last year, many RIA industry participants expected a similar cessation to dealmaking in the sector following the adverse impact of higher interest rates and inflation on investment managers’ AUM balances and profitability in 2022. Fortunately for the industry’s bankers, these economic headwinds haven’t derailed the sector’s M&A momentum.
Before parties to an RIA transaction can close, they must first agree on a price. Narrowing that bid/ask spread is tricky, which is often why negotiations between prospective buyers and sellers fail. Buyers and sellers naturally have different perspectives that lead to different opinions on value: Where a seller sees a strong management team, a buyer sees key person risk. Unsurprisingly, these different perspectives on the same firm lead to varying opinions on value, and the gap can be substantial. Bridging that gap is key to getting a deal done. We address five ways buyers and sellers can bridge a valuation gap.
More often than not, the formula prices we encounter do more harm than good. The simplicity of formula pricing equations means they don’t consider important factors like debt, non-recurring items, loss of key staff or large customers, market conditions, or offers to purchase. Formulas can ground expectations but may set expectations unrealistically low or high, provide a false sense of security, and encourage partner behaviors that do not support the business model.
